sharpside
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Betocantu

0x2e5…f95d
PoliticsOther
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$2,426vol $34.2k
PnL 30d+$2,723gains $2,688 · losses $296
PnL 7d+$84win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate85.7%adj 59.3% · 30d 83.3%
Open value$4,926cash n/a
Positions20 / 27open / all-time
Max drawdown−12.6%of equity peak
Account age4molast trade 15h ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$4,003below peak $0Oct 12

SharpScore inputs

35/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale48
Adjusted win rateraw 85.7% · shrunk toward 50%48
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable48
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d98
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity87

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 20

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes2,20226.9¢86.9¢$1,912+$1,320+$712
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?Yes3,20515.6¢15.9¢$510+$9.60$0
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?Yes1,00549.7¢48.5¢$488−$12$0
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Pará?Yes1,1378.8¢21¢$239+$139$0
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from abroad?Yes63531.5¢33.5¢$213+$13$0
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes51538.8¢40¢$206+$5.93$0
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes1,03419.3¢19.9¢$205+$5.33$0
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amazonas?Yes37253.8¢51.5¢$191−$8.60$0
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseYes2,2229¢8.5¢$189−$11$0
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?Yes53927.8¢24.5¢$132−$18$0
Jair Bolsonaro released from custody by March 31, 2027?Yes16361.5¢66.5¢$108+$8.13$0
Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?Yes61716.2¢17.5¢$108+$7.91$0
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 50+ bps at the December meeting?Yes40025¢26.5¢$106+$6.00$0
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseYes16162¢61.5¢$99−$0.81$0
Another Fed rate hike in 2026?No41224.3¢22.5¢$93−$7.25$0
Will Professora Maria do Carmo win the 2026 Amazonas gubernatorial second round?Yes58317.2¢15.5¢$90−$9.63$0
Lula x Flávio Bolsonaro debate before second round?No20524.4¢17.8¢$37−$13$0
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?Yes5,1909.7¢0¢$0−$503−$18
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes2,9416.8¢0¢$0−$200−$5.59
Will Renan Santos win less than 2% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes816¢0¢$0−$1.23−$0.04

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY YesWill JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?19.3¢1,034$20086%35
BUY YesWill Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?38.8¢515$20086%35
BUY NoAnother Fed rate hike in 2026?24.3¢412$10086%35
BUY Yes2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House9¢2,222$20086%35
BUY Yes2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House62¢161$10086%35
BUY YesWill the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 50+ bps at the December meeting?25¢400$10086%35
BUY YesWill Professora Maria do Carmo win the 2026 Amazonas gubernatorial second round?17.2¢583$10086%35
BUY NoLula x Flávio Bolsonaro debate before second round?24.4¢205$5086%35
BUY YesWill Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from abroad?32¢313$10086%35
BUY YesWill Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from abroad?31¢323$10086%35
BUY YesWill Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Pará?8.8¢1,137$10086%35
BUY YesWill Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amazonas?53.8¢372$20086%35
BUY YesAlexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?16.2¢617$10086%35
BUY YesWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?49.7¢1,005$50086%35
BUY YesWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?27.8¢539$15086%35
BUY YesWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?15.6¢3,205$50086%35
BUY YesJair Bolsonaro released from custody by March 31, 2027?61.5¢163$10086%35
SELL YesWill Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?1.6¢639$1086%35
BUY YesWill Renan Santos win less than 2% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?16¢8$1.2386%35
BUY YesWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%?28.9¢735$21386%35