Traders/Unranked

rocky42003

0x2e6…b22e

PnL 10k+1y+WeatherSportPoliticsOther

Polymarket

PnL all-time+$35.0kvol $11.3M

PnL 30d−$10.3kgains $6,898 · losses $6,857

PnL 7d−$5,730win rate 7d 72.2%

Win rate53.9%adj 53.8% · 30d 53.9%

Open value$11.2kcash n/a

Positions367 / 7,301open / all-time

Max drawdown−23.9%of equity peak

Account age1.3ylast trade 2d ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$35.3kbelow peak −$11.1kOct 12

SharpScore inputs

64/ 100 SharpScore · v1

Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale65

Adjusted win rateraw 53.9% · shrunk toward 50%34

Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable100

Recencylast trade; fades over 30d93

Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity76

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Will MrBeast's next video get between 207 and 215 million views on week 1? · Noopen+$446 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? · Noclosed+$403 Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 30? · Noclosed+$390 Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on September 24? · Noclosed+$352 Will Kenneth Östberg be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Västmanland? · Noopen+$340

Worst markets

Will Elon tweet 840-879 times in September 2026? · Noopen−$395 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30? · Noopen−$338 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? · Noclosed−$253 Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on September 20? · Noclosed−$250 Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $74 Week of September 21 2026? · Noclosed−$250

Open positions · 100

Market	Outcome		Avg entry	Now			Realized	Ends
Will Kenneth Östberg be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Västmanland?	No	503	28.7¢	96¢	$483	+$339	+$0.87	ended
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C on October 10?	No	410	52.1¢	100¢	$410	+$196	+$7.87	ended
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 25°C on October 7?	No	360	49.6¢	100¢	$360	+$181	+$9.99	ended
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 25°C on October 9?	No	337	74.4¢	100¢	$337	+$86	$0	ended
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 25°C on October 4?	No	299	55.8¢	100¢	$299	+$132	−$0.26	ended
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	432	53¢	63.5¢	$275	+$45	−$16	22d 17h
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on October 9?	No	274	75¢	100¢	$274	+$69	+$0.02	ended
Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	Yes	300	88.4¢	89¢	$267	+$1.90	+$59	13d 17h
Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $540 on October 8?	No	262	95.2¢	100¢	$262	+$13	$0	ended
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	No	351	69.7¢	74.5¢	$262	+$17	+$108	18d 17h
Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on October 2?	Down	223	32.6¢	100¢	$223	+$150	$0	ended
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 23°C on October 9?	No	219	74.9¢	100¢	$219	+$55	+$2.37	ended
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on October 5?	No	209	24.1¢	100¢	$209	+$158	$0	ended
Will MrBeast's next video get between 207 and 215 million views on week 1?	No	206	20.5¢	100¢	$206	+$164	+$283	ended
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	299	63¢	63.5¢	$190	+$1.50	+$130	22d 17h
Will Trump name an AI czar by October 4, 2026?	Yes	190	35.6¢	100¢	$190	+$122	+$98	ended
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 22°C on October 3?	No	189	66.3¢	100¢	$189	+$64	+$5.65	ended
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 25°C on October 3?	No	185	52.7¢	100¢	$185	+$87	−$6.84	ended
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 22°C on October 9?	No	178	84¢	100¢	$178	+$28	+$5.14	ended
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 33°C on October 9?	No	172	62.4¢	100¢	$172	+$65	+$0.97	ended
Will "The Widower: 'Til Death Do Us Part" be the top US Netflix movie this week?	No	162	90.9¢	100¢	$162	+$15	$0	ended
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 28°C on October 7?	No	155	60.7¢	100¢	$155	+$61	+$23	ended
Will Yashar win the second-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	319	48¢	48.5¢	$155	+$1.59	$0	15d 17h
Will Yashar win the second-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	300	52¢	51.5¢	$155	−$1.50	$0	15d 17h
Will Choi-wan peak at severe tropical storm grade or weaker?	No	150	93.2¢	100¢	$150	+$10	$0	3d 17h
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 16°C on October 3?	No	149	73.4¢	100¢	$149	+$40	+$5.02	ended
Game Spread: Carlos Alcaraz (-3.5) vs Jiri Lehecka (+3.5)	Jiri Lehecka	148	46¢	100¢	$148	+$80	$0	17h 25m
Will the Democratic Party win the NC-01 House seat?	No	415	33¢	31¢	$129	−$8.18	$0	22d 17h
World Championship of Legends: Australia Champions vs Pakistan Champions	Pakistan Champions	250	35.5¢	50¢	$125	+$36	$0	ended
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 26°C on October 7?	No	125	87¢	100¢	$125	+$16	+$1.29	ended
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on October 8?	No	121	89¢	100¢	$121	+$13	+$0.17	ended
Will Bad Bunny be the top artist for 2026?	No	935	14.7¢	12.5¢	$117	−$20	+$60	4mo
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	166	68.8¢	69.2¢	$115	+$0.57	−$2.82	18d 17h
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 64-65°F on October 5?	No	111	88.9¢	100¢	$111	+$12	$0	ended
Will the Rhine River return to normal levels between October 1 and October 31, 2026?	No	146	45.9¢	74.5¢	$109	+$42	+$15	18d 17h
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 90-91°F on October 1?	No	107	90.3¢	100¢	$107	+$10	+$0.40	ended
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 24°C on October 10?	No	105	58.1¢	100¢	$105	+$44	+$5.66	ended
Will KT Rolster win the Demacia Cup Global Invitational 2026?	No	200	27.5¢	50.5¢	$101	+$46	$0	19d 17h
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on October 7?	Yes	95	62.2¢	100¢	$95	+$36	+$74	ended
Will the Republican Party win the OH-10 House seat?	No	576	16¢	16.5¢	$95	+$2.80	+$0.06	22d 17h
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 24°C on October 8?	No	94	74¢	100¢	$94	+$24	$0	ended
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 28°C on October 11?	No	93	74.7¢	100¢	$93	+$23	−$0.47	ended
Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs Sinners (BO1) - ROG Journey Group A	Sinners	91	41¢	100¢	$91	+$53	+$16	ended
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on October 10?	No	85	26.8¢	100¢	$85	+$62	+$29	ended
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	221	55¢	36.5¢	$81	−$41	−$29	22d 17h
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 94-95°F on October 11?	No	80	79¢	100¢	$80	+$17	+$2.04	ended
Heat vs. Raptors	Heat	80	37¢	100¢	$80	+$50	$0	ended
KBO: Lotte Giants vs. KT Wiz	KT Wiz	80	61¢	100¢	$80	+$31	$0	ended
Will Bolivia vs. Gambia end in a draw?	Yes	80	86.5¢	100¢	$80	+$11	$0	ended
Will Charlie Crist win the St. Petersburg mayoral election?	No	770	15.5¢	10¢	$77	−$42	+$0.94	ended
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 78-79°F on October 6?	No	75	48.6¢	100¢	$75	+$39	+$6.22	ended
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 3?	No	72	42.6¢	100¢	$72	+$41	+$32	ended
Will the lowest temperature in London be 13°C on October 3?	No	69	46.7¢	100¢	$69	+$37	+$2.69	ended
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 74-75°F on October 4?	No	67	38.5¢	100¢	$67	+$41	$0	ended
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029?	Yes	300	28¢	21.5¢	$65	−$20	$0	39mo
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 23°C on October 7?	No	62	55.5¢	100¢	$62	+$28	−$1.24	ended
Will Oborevwori Sheriff Francis Orohwedor win the 2027 Delta State gubernatorial election?	No	307	15.7¢	20¢	$61	+$13	$0	4mo
Will Elon tweet 800-839 times in September 2026?	No	61	92.6¢	100¢	$61	+$4.49	+$57	ended
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 25°C on October 8?	No	60	75¢	100¢	$60	+$15	$0	ended
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 16°C on October 1?	No	60	67.8¢	100¢	$60	+$19	+$0.84	ended
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 30°C on October 1?	No	58	72.4¢	100¢	$58	+$16	+$1.17	ended
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 22°C on October 7?	No	56	53.8¢	100¢	$56	+$26	−$8.40	ended
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2028?	Yes	300	21¢	18.5¢	$56	−$7.50	$0	27mo
US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026?	No	65	80¢	83.5¢	$55	+$2.29	+$0.57	3mo
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 25°C on October 11?	No	53	49¢	100¢	$53	+$27	$0	ended
Will tkzin have the most kills on a single map at VALORANT Champions 2026?	Yes	54	85¢	92.6¢	$50	+$4.12	$0	36d 17h
Eritrea invades Ethiopia by October 31?	Yes	262	38.1¢	18.5¢	$48	−$51	−$8.89	19d 17h
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on October 11?	No	48	74¢	100¢	$48	+$12	$0	ended
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 16°C on October 1?	No	48	74.5¢	100¢	$48	+$12	−$2.51	ended
Will Jeremiah Smith win the 2026 Heisman Trophy?	Yes	79	63¢	58¢	$46	−$3.93	$0	ended
Will MrBeast's next video get at least 223 million views on week 1?	No	43	71.5¢	100¢	$43	+$12	+$12	ended
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on October 3?	No	43	70¢	100¢	$43	+$13	−$4.96	ended
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 31°C on October 10?	No	42	61¢	100¢	$42	+$16	+$2.20	ended
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 26°C on October 10?	No	41	94.1¢	100¢	$41	+$2.42	−$0.06	ended
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 15°C on October 11?	No	39	64.2¢	100¢	$39	+$14	$0	ended
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 14°C on October 1?	No	37	78.2¢	100¢	$37	+$7.97	+$0.10	ended
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 18°C on October 3?	No	36	69¢	100¢	$36	+$11	+$8.05	ended
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 74-75°F on October 9?	No	36	75.4¢	100¢	$36	+$8.90	+$0.60	ended
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on October 6?	No	35	90.1¢	100¢	$35	+$3.46	+$5.22	ended
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C on October 7?	No	35	71.5¢	100¢	$35	+$9.89	+$6.97	ended
Eritrea invades Ethiopia by December 31?	Yes	106	42¢	32.5¢	$34	−$10	$0	3mo
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on October 3?	No	34	41.2¢	100¢	$34	+$20	−$14	ended
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 26°C on October 9?	No	34	55.9¢	100¢	$34	+$15	+$1.96	ended
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 32°C on October 9?	No	33	76¢	100¢	$33	+$7.92	$0	ended
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 92-93°F on October 1?	No	33	86.4¢	100¢	$33	+$4.43	$0	ended
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on October 3?	No	30	92¢	100¢	$30	+$2.44	+$0.07	ended
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on October 5?	Yes	30	28.2¢	100¢	$30	+$22	+$0.60	ended
Will Bolivia win on 2026-10-04?	No	30	89.7¢	100¢	$30	+$3.10	+$5.25	ended
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?	Yes	300	10¢	9.5¢	$29	−$1.50	$0	15mo
AI bubble burst by June 30, 2027?	Yes	154	16¢	18.5¢	$28	+$3.85	$0	9mo
Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on October 6?	No	28	75¢	100¢	$28	+$7.00	$0	ended
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 66-67°F on October 5?	No	26	67¢	100¢	$26	+$8.66	+$7.47	ended
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 23°C on October 7?	Yes	26	85.7¢	100¢	$26	+$3.67	+$4.44	ended
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 74-75°F on October 1?	No	26	79.6¢	100¢	$26	+$5.22	+$0.57	ended
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 16°C on October 1?	No	25	38.1¢	100¢	$25	+$15	$0	ended
Will Trump be impeached by December 31, 2026?	Yes	1,249	14.5¢	2¢	$25	−$156	$0	3mo
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 68-69°F on October 5?	Yes	24	44¢	100¢	$24	+$14	+$36	ended
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 23°C on October 1?	No	24	89¢	100¢	$24	+$2.62	+$5.98	ended
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on October 11?	No	24	71.4¢	100¢	$24	+$6.72	$0	ended
Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	No	26	89.9¢	88.5¢	$23	−$0.37	+$15	13d 17h

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s

Time	Side	Market	Price	Shares	Value	Trader WR	Sharp
2d ago	SELL No	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on October 10?	55¢	5	$2.75	54%	64
2d ago	SELL Yes	Will MrBeast's next video get between 207 and 215 million views on week 1?	61¢	114	$70	54%	64
2d ago	SELL No	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	30¢	142	$43	54%	64
2d ago	SELL Aurora Gaming	Map Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs 1WIN (+1.5)	41¢	80	$33	54%	64
4d ago	SELL No	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 23°C on October 7?	33¢	32	$11	54%	64
4d ago	SELL No	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on October 7?	45¢	25	$11	54%	64
4d ago	SELL Yes	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on October 7?	97.9¢	8	$7.83	54%	64
5d ago	SELL No	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on October 7?	39¢	9	$3.51	54%	64
5d ago	SELL No	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 28°C on October 7?	57¢	50	$29	54%	64
5d ago	SELL No	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	32.8¢	148	$49	54%	64
5d ago	SELL No	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	33.8¢	151	$51	54%	64
5d ago	SELL No	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	33.8¢	151	$51	54%	64
10d ago	SELL No	Will Rachel peak at Category 3?	44¢	10	$4.40	54%	64
13d ago	SELL Yes	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on September 29?	47¢	5	$2.35	54%	64
13d ago	SELL Yes	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on September 29?	47¢	5	$2.35	54%	64
13d ago	SELL No	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on September 29?	50¢	13	$6.50	54%	64
13d ago	SELL No	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on September 29?	57¢	115	$66	54%	64
13d ago	SELL No	Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	21¢	126	$26	54%	64
13d ago	SELL No	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on September 29?	54¢	9	$4.86	54%	64
14d ago	SELL Washington Nationals	New York Mets vs. Washington Nationals	39¢	57	$22	54%	64