Traders/Rank #3,015

CaprioDiLeo

0x2eb…3e31

Politics

Polymarket

PnL all-time+$1,131vol $3.79M

PnL 30d+$2,400gains $23.7k · losses $38.8k

PnL 7d+$4,393win rate 7d 47.3%

Win rate47.2%adj 47.3% · 30d 40.3%

Open value$11.1kcash n/a

Positions321 / 821open / all-time

Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak

Account age4mo

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$2,066below peak $0Oct 8

SharpScore inputs

33/ 100 SharpScore · v1

Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale44

Adjusted win rateraw 47.2% · shrunk toward 50%18

Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable97

Recencylast trade; fades over 30d0

Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026? · Yesclosed+$2,340 Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026? · Yesclosed+$1,889 Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026? · Noclosed+$1,238 Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026? · Yesopen+$1,224 Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026? · Yesclosed+$1,157

Worst markets

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026? · Noclosed−$2,278 Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026? · Noclosed−$1,551 Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026? · Noclosed−$1,376 Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026? · Noclosed−$1,150 Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026? · Yesclosed−$1,111

Open positions · 100

Market	Outcome		Avg entry	Now			Realized	Ends
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	No	1,522	88.9¢	88.6¢	$1,348	−$4.70	−$184	50m
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	No	1,194	98¢	96.5¢	$1,151	−$18	−$419	50m
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	No	753	99.3¢	99.4¢	$748	+$0.74	−$635	50m
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	No	452	94.5¢	94.5¢	$427	−$0.15	$0	7d 0h
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	No	442	91.1¢	93.1¢	$411	+$8.77	−$517	4d 0h
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	No	404	90.1¢	90.3¢	$365	+$0.69	−$82	4d 0h
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	1,451	19.4¢	25.2¢	$365	+$83	+$539	50m
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	No	389	87.9¢	91.5¢	$356	+$14	+$1.73	7d 0h
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	No	351	99.6¢	99.8¢	$350	+$0.64	+$0.03	50m
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	No	330	94.7¢	96.3¢	$317	+$5.38	−$236	4d 0h
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	No	285	96.7¢	96.4¢	$275	−$1.00	−$203	7d 0h
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	No	308	57.3¢	82.5¢	$254	+$78	+$1.42	1d 0h
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	No	278	85.9¢	90.5¢	$252	+$13	$0	7d 0h
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	No	250	96¢	93.1¢	$233	−$7.29	+$0.02	1d 0h
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	671	33¢	33¢	$221	−$0.63	+$868	50m
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	1,634	7.3¢	11.9¢	$194	+$74	+$6.24	4d 0h
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	1,947	7¢	9.6¢	$186	+$50	+$80	4d 0h
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	No	204	82.8¢	88.5¢	$180	+$12	$0	7d 0h
Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	No	182	93.9¢	94.1¢	$171	+$0.36	−$12	4d 0h
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	1,996	3.2¢	8¢	$159	+$95	+$225	4d 0h
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	No	180	84.8¢	86.7¢	$156	+$3.42	−$5.28	1d 0h
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	908	9.6¢	13.8¢	$125	+$38	+$17	4d 0h
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	818	1.8¢	15.1¢	$123	+$108	+$213	50m
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	1,996	1.7¢	5.9¢	$117	+$83	+$15	4d 0h
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	No	110	90.9¢	100¢	$110	+$9.96	+$90	50m
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	No	109	94.6¢	100¢	$109	+$5.85	−$303	50m
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	No	145	76.6¢	74.1¢	$108	−$3.72	−$36	1d 0h
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	No	107	93.3¢	100¢	$107	+$7.13	−$127	4d 0h
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	No	104	97.8¢	99.8¢	$104	+$2.03	+$110	4d 0h
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	No	100	95.1¢	99.6¢	$100	+$4.47	+$82	4d 0h
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	No	100	96.3¢	98.9¢	$98	+$2.62	−$113	4d 0h
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Yes	1,211	6.6¢	8.1¢	$97	+$18	+$5.82	7d 0h
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	2,478	1.2¢	3.9¢	$97	+$66	+$31	4d 0h
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	831	14.2¢	11.5¢	$95	−$23	+$785	50m
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	1,197	2.4¢	7.8¢	$93	+$65	+$188	50m
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Yes	2,427	0.4¢	3.4¢	$83	+$74	+$12	7d 0h
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Yes	2,787	0.3¢	2.9¢	$79	+$71	+$7.55	7d 0h
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	No	79	97.5¢	96.7¢	$76	−$0.66	−$72	1d 0h
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Yes	763	9.4¢	9.2¢	$70	−$2.20	+$41	7d 0h
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	Yes	239	35.2¢	27.5¢	$66	−$19	$0	1d 0h
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	2,037	2.4¢	3.2¢	$65	+$16	+$30	4d 0h
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	No	86	74¢	72.5¢	$62	−$1.27	−$2.61	1d 0h
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	No	59	94.6¢	97.3¢	$58	+$1.60	+$2.83	1d 0h
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Yes	2,595	0.2¢	2.2¢	$57	+$51	+$11	7d 0h
Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	No	54	99.2¢	99.1¢	$53	−$0.09	+$0.06	1d 0h
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	Yes	297	23.8¢	17.5¢	$52	−$19	$0	1d 0h
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	No	57	91.6¢	87.5¢	$50	−$2.31	$0	7d 0h
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Yes	990	4¢	4.9¢	$48	+$8.87	+$16	7d 0h
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	429	9.8¢	10.8¢	$46	+$4.13	+$74	4d 0h
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	Yes	175	10.8¢	26¢	$45	+$27	+$35	1d 0h
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Yes	2,652	0.2¢	1.7¢	$45	+$39	+$3.24	7d 0h
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	1,328	1.3¢	2.7¢	$36	+$19	+$34	4d 0h
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Yes	328	11.2¢	10.9¢	$36	−$1.08	+$2.16	7d 0h
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	1,002	1¢	3.6¢	$36	+$25	+$439	50m
Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Yes	872	1¢	3.9¢	$34	+$25	+$64	7d 0h
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Yes	2,812	0.2¢	1.1¢	$30	+$24	+$3.55	7d 0h
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	No	29	99¢	100¢	$29	+$0.28	−$615	50m
Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	463	5.6¢	5.9¢	$28	+$1.43	+$88	4d 0h
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Yes	2,011	1.7¢	1.3¢	$25	−$9.03	−$1.44	7d 0h
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Yes	2,601	0.2¢	1¢	$25	+$20	+$3.46	7d 0h
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Yes	2,337	0.2¢	1.1¢	$25	+$20	+$4.85	7d 0h
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Yes	2,589	0.2¢	0.8¢	$19	+$14	+$2.15	7d 0h
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	No	19	99.7¢	100¢	$19	+$0.06	−$343	50m
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	No	17	97.7¢	99.9¢	$17	+$0.37	+$1.78	50m
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	No	15	99.4¢	100¢	$15	+$0.09	−$350	50m
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	No	15	99.6¢	100¢	$15	+$0.05	−$60	4d 0h
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	No	14	99.8¢	99.9¢	$14	+$0.01	$0	50m
Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	No	14	99.8¢	99.9¢	$14	+$0.01	−$2.48	50m
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	No	13	99.6¢	100¢	$13	+$0.04	−$78	50m
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	No	13	99.8¢	99.9¢	$13	+$0.01	$0	50m
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	Yes	97	3.2¢	13.3¢	$13	+$9.82	+$8.06	1d 0h
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	No	12	99.4¢	100¢	$12	+$0.06	−$225	4d 0h
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	No	11	97.6¢	100¢	$11	+$0.26	−$881	50m
Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	No	11	98.9¢	99.7¢	$11	+$0.09	$0	1d 0h
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	Yes	149	0.4¢	6.9¢	$10	+$9.66	$0	1d 0h
Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	No	10	99.3¢	99.6¢	$9.96	+$0.03	+$0.05	1d 0h
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	96	12.8¢	9.7¢	$9.33	−$2.93	+$70	4d 0h
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Yes	140	15¢	5.5¢	$7.69	−$13	$0	7d 0h
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	No	7	99.7¢	100¢	$7.45	+$0.02	−$80	4d 0h
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Yes	2,029	0.6¢	0.4¢	$7.10	−$4.96	−$0.56	7d 0h
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Yes	2,538	0.3¢	0.3¢	$6.34	−$1.19	−$0.61	7d 0h
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	728	0.5¢	0.7¢	$4.73	+$0.82	+$640	50m
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	2,681	0.3¢	0.1¢	$1.34	−$5.42	$0	4d 0h
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	2,088	1.2¢	0.1¢	$1.04	−$24	+$6.33	4d 0h
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	333	0.1¢	0.3¢	$0.83	+$0.44	$0	50m
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	758	1.4¢	0.1¢	$0.38	−$10	−$5.04	4d 0h
Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	Yes	28	0.3¢	1¢	$0.27	+$0.17	$0	1d 0h
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	Yes	2	0.2¢	3.3¢	$0.07	+$0.06	+$74	1d 0h
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	20	0.3¢	0.1¢	$0.01	−$0.06	+$904	50m
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?	Yes	2,729	1.3¢	0¢	$0	−$36	+$214	ended
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026?	Yes	2,638	0.3¢	0¢	$0	−$8.34	+$0.31	ended
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	Yes	2,623	0.8¢	0¢	$0	−$21	+$2.44	ended
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	Yes	2,617	0.4¢	0¢	$0	−$10	−$1.72	ended
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	Yes	2,591	0.3¢	0¢	$0	−$6.98	+$3.48	ended
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?	Yes	2,565	2.5¢	0¢	$0	−$65	+$397	ended
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	Yes	2,557	1.1¢	0¢	$0	−$29	+$283	ended
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?	Yes	2,551	0.4¢	0¢	$0	−$11	+$359	ended
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?	Yes	2,491	0.7¢	0¢	$0	−$17	+$410	ended
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026?	Yes	2,420	0.2¢	0¢	$0	−$5.06	+$0.27	ended
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?	Yes	2,402	0.6¢	0¢	$0	−$15	+$4.19	ended

Recent trades

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Time	Side	Market	Price	Shares	Value	Trader WR	Sharp	Flags	Transaction
No trades yetThis wallet hasn’t traded in the period we index.