PnL all-time−$442vol $74.8k
PnL 30d−$185gains $34 · losses $0
PnL 7d$0win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate68.1%adj 64.9% · 30d 100.0%
Open value$166cash n/a
Positions5 / 98open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age1.7ylast trade 21d ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL−$434below peak −$1,565Oct 12
SharpScore inputs
32/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 68.1% · shrunk toward 50%62
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable66
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d28
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Will Inter Milan win the UEFA Champions League? · Noclosed+$460Will PSG win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1? · Yesclosed+$343Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025? · Noclosed+$199Liverpool wins the Premier League? · Yesclosed+$130Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025? · Yesclosed+$121
Worst markets
Open positions · 5
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Linke win the third-most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? | Yes | 111 | 90¢ | 100¢ | $111 | +$11 | −$0.40 | |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | Yes | 55 | 91¢ | 100¢ | $55 | +$4.95 | $0 | |
| Saints vs. Ravens | Ravens | 80 | 87¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$70 | $0 | |
| Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-05? | Yes | 56 | 18¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$10.00 | −$0.25 | |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06? | Yes | 38 | 26¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$10.00 | −$0.22 |
Recent trades
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