sharpside
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Traders/Rank #9,547

rogamba

0x2f0…a861
WR 70+WR 60+PoliticsOther
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$97vol $3,664
PnL 30d+$6.88gains $0 · losses $0
PnL 7d−$0.33win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate75.0%adj 61.1% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$490cash n/a
Positions5 / 21open / all-time
Max drawdown−35.7%of equity peak
Account age12molast trade 5mo ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$43below peak −$114Oct 13

SharpScore inputs

27/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale28
Adjusted win rateraw 75.0% · shrunk toward 50%53
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable44
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d0
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity64

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by January 24? · Noclosed+$111Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31? · Yesopen+$90U.S. strike on Somalia by January 31? · Yesclosed+$31Gemini 3.5 released by June 30? · Yesopen+$22U.S. strike on Somalia by January 31? · Yesclosed+$21

Worst markets

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? · Noclosed−$100Will Texas Instruments (TXN) beat quarterly earnings? · Yesclosed−$100Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yesopen−$60Will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31? · Yesopen−$50Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair? · Yesclosed−$3.77

Open positions · 5

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31?Yes24062.6¢100¢$240+$90$0
Gemini 3.5 released by June 30?Yes17287¢100¢$172+$22$0
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes28635¢14.2¢$40−$60$0
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?No3891¢97.1¢$37+$2.33$0
Will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31?Yes13936¢0¢$0−$50$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY YesWill there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31?36¢139$5075%27
BUY YesWill there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31?62.6¢240$15075%27
BUY YesGemini 3.5 released by June 30?87¢172$15075%27
SELL NoWill NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?91.1¢167$15275%27
SELL NoKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?96.9¢215$20875%27
SELL NoIsrael strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?90¢18$1675%27
BUY YesWill Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?3.7¢102$3.7775%27
BUY NoIsrael strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?82¢18$1575%27
BUY NoKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?84¢119$10075%27
SELL YesWill Trump visit China by April 30?86¢120$10475%27
BUY NoKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?93¢215$20075%27
BUY YesWill Trump visit China by April 30?83¢120$10075%27
BUY NoWill Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of January?86.3¢82$7175%27
SELL NoWill Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of January?78.2¢82$6475%27
BUY NoWill NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?89.9¢167$15075%27
BUY NoWill Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of January?32.5¢31$1075%27
BUY NoWill Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of January?89¢52$4675%27
BUY YesU.S. strike on Somalia by January 31?70¢71$5075%27
BUY YesWill Alphabet (GOOGL) beat quarterly earnings?93¢54$5075%27
BUY YesWill Texas Instruments (TXN) beat quarterly earnings?83.3¢120$10075%27