PnL all-time+$16.4kvol $695k
PnL 30d+$21.8kgains $189 · losses $1,893
PnL 7d+$9,144win rate 7d 50.0%
Win rate90.0%adj 76.7% · 30d 80.0%
Open value$97.4kcash n/a
Positions9 / 49open / all-time
Max drawdown−37.9%of equity peak
Account age7molast trade 41m ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL+$31.0kbelow peak −$1,477Oct 9
SharpScore inputs
55/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale60
Adjusted win rateraw 90.0% · shrunk toward 50%92
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable56
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d100
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity62
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch? · Yesopen+$4,934Tea FDV above $80M one day after launch · Noclosed+$4,477Predict.fun FDV above $800M one day after launch? · Yesopen+$3,504Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch? · Yesopen+$3,335GRVT FDV above $200M one day after launch? · Yesclosed+$2,741
Worst markets
Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch? · Yesclosed−$2,445Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch? · Noclosed−$1,893Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch? · Yesclosed−$34Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2027? · Noopen−$23Will Solstice launch a token by June 30 2026? · Yesclosed−$7.71
Open positions · 9
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch? | Yes | 37.7k | 71.6¢ | 80.5¢ | $30.3k | +$3,356 | −$22 | |
| Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch? | Yes | 35.2k | 56.5¢ | 70.5¢ | $24.8k | +$4,934 | $0 | |
| Predict.fun FDV above $800M one day after launch? | Yes | 38.3k | 39.3¢ | 48.5¢ | $18.6k | +$3,504 | +$0.19 | |
| Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch? | Yes | 33.5k | 19.6¢ | 20.6¢ | $6,901 | +$326 | $0 | |
| Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch? | Yes | 10.4k | 57.6¢ | 61¢ | $6,332 | +$350 | −$13 | |
| Predict.fun FDV above $1.5B one day after launch? | Yes | 21.9k | 23.7¢ | 26.6¢ | $5,815 | +$625 | $0 | |
| Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch? | Yes | 12.5k | 30.3¢ | 32.3¢ | $4,021 | +$253 | $0 | |
| Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch? | Yes | 740 | 81.1¢ | 84.5¢ | $626 | +$25 | $0 | |
| Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2027? | No | 474 | 12.3¢ | 2.9¢ | $14 | −$44 | +$21 |
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