PnL all-time+$81.3kvol $1.24M
PnL 30d+$9,393gains $13.3k · losses $285
PnL 7d+$1,813win rate 7d 93.8%
Win rate90.2%adj 88.6% · 30d 93.7%
Open value$388cash n/a
Positions6 / 1,206open / all-time
Max drawdown−18.8%of equity peak
Account age1.8ylast trade 2h ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL+$85.2kbelow peak $0Oct 13
SharpScore inputs
85/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale70
Adjusted win rateraw 90.2% · shrunk toward 50%100
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable100
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d100
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity81
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Will Claude Mythos 5 be restored for US customers by June 30? · Yesclosed+$2,916Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? · Noclosed+$2,610Will annual inflation be 3.6% or less in June? · Yesclosed+$2,366Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3? · Yesclosed+$2,268Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? · Yesclosed+$1,788
Worst markets
Will Tesla deliver 475000 or more vehicles in Q2 2026 · Noclosed−$7,791Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3? · Noclosed−$4,665Will 100-124 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3? · Yesclosed−$4,619Will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30? · Yesclosed−$3,920Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17? · Yesclosed−$3,849
Open positions · 4
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31? | No | 400 | 82¢ | 83¢ | $332 | +$4.00 | $0 | |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | No | 50 | 68¢ | 75.5¢ | $38 | +$3.75 | $0 | |
| Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Yes | 50 | 52¢ | 23.5¢ | $12 | −$14 | $0 | |
| Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | Yes | 200 | 16.7¢ | 3.4¢ | $6.69 | −$27 | −$0.45 |
Recent trades
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