PnL all-time+$1,973vol $89.3k
PnL 30d−$8,710gains $3,170 · losses $1,631
PnL 7d−$11.9kwin rate 7d 50.0%
Win rate69.6%adj 60.5% · 30d 55.6%
Open value$16.0kcash n/a
Positions6 / 31open / all-time
Max drawdown0%of equity peak
Account age44dlast trade 1d ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
Not enough history to draw an equity curve.
SharpScore inputs
46/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale47
Adjusted win rateraw 69.6% · shrunk toward 50%51
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable50
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d97
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity100
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Bitcoin Up or Down on October 5? · Upclosed+$3,054Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31? · Yesopen+$241Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by October 31? · Noopen+$221Will the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be between 4.6m & 4.8m square kilometers? · Yesopen+$85Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by October 31? · Yesclosed+$41
Worst markets
Israel closes its airspace by September 30? · Yesclosed−$1,357Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31? · Noclosed−$244Will the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be between 4.6m & 4.8m square kilometers? · Noclosed−$100Will Colorado State have more than 5.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season? · Yesclosed−$30US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11? · Noclosed−$1.79
Open positions · 5
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Katie Zacharia out as Press Secretary by October 31? | Yes | 5,555 | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | $5,555 | +$5.56 | −$0.01 | |
| Katie Zacharia out as Press Secretary by October 19? | Yes | 3,333 | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | $3,333 | +$3.34 | −$0.06 | |
| Katie Zacharia out as Press Secretary by October 23? | Yes | 3,250 | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | $3,250 | +$9.56 | −$0.38 | |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by October 31? | No | 3,000 | 90¢ | 97.4¢ | $2,921 | +$221 | $0 | |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31? | Yes | 5,065 | 21.1¢ | 18.5¢ | $937 | −$133 | +$374 |
Recent trades
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