sharpside
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Traders/Unranked

ynadinsky

0x2ff…7c7b
WR 60+PoliticsSport
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$353vol $61.6k
PnL 30d+$403gains $478 · losses $0
PnL 7d−$103win rate 7d 100.0%
Win rate65.0%adj 60.0% · 30d 100.0%
Open value$5,186cash n/a
Positions40 / 80open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age5molast trade 14h ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$322below peak −$1,471Oct 12

SharpScore inputs

35/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale36
Adjusted win rateraw 65.0% · shrunk toward 50%50
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable63
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d98
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 40

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?No69571.9¢95.9¢$667+$167$0
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes1,00050¢63.5¢$635+$135$0
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes64178¢90.5¢$580+$80$0
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?No25678¢85.5¢$219+$19$0
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No22887.6¢92.2¢$210+$10$0
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026?No28670¢72.5¢$207+$7.14$0
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No25578.4¢80.4¢$205+$4.97$0
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 30?No26077¢77¢$200$0$0
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?No54137¢36.5¢$197−$2.70$0
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes49140.7¢40¢$196−$3.69$0
Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by December 31?No26077¢75.5¢$196−$3.90$0
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?No45344.1¢43¢$195−$5.03$0
Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027?Yes87023¢22¢$191−$8.69$0
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?No20848¢89¢$185+$85$0
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes74127¢17.5¢$130−$70$0
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No12083¢97¢$117+$17$0
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes1,0429.6¢10.4¢$108+$7.81$0
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027?Yes1,11118¢9.5¢$106−$94$0
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?Yes62516¢16.5¢$103+$3.13$0
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes2,1324.7¢4.6¢$97−$2.98$0
Iran leadership change by December 31?Yes83312¢11.5¢$96−$4.17$0
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes26037¢36.5¢$95−$1.30$0
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes1,40914.2¢5.5¢$77−$122$0
Will Dune: Messiah get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?Yes59716.8¢12.7¢$75−$25$0
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes59916.7¢9¢$54−$46$0
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?Yes1,4297¢1.6¢$22−$78$0
Will Alexander Volkov become UFC champion in 2026?Yes18653.8¢8.5¢$16−$84$0
Will Arman Tsarukyan become UFC champion in 2026?Yes19052.6¢2.9¢$5.42−$95$0
Will Israel Adesanya be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026?Yes1,2290.8¢0.1¢$0.61−$9.38$0
Exact Score: Spain 1 - 3 Argentina?Yes3,3333¢0¢$0−$100−$4.85
Exact Score: Spain 0 - 2 Argentina?Yes2,4414.1¢0¢$0−$100−$4.80
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Yes2,1412.3¢0¢$0−$50$0
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes1,2827.8¢0¢$0−$100−$4.61
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceArgentina1,22041¢0¢$0−$500−$15
Fight to Go the Distance?No56653¢0¢$0−$300−$7.05
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes43917.1¢0¢$0−$75−$1.87
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?No37027¢0¢$0−$100$0
Will Russia enter Huliaipilske by May 31?No24341.1¢0¢$0−$100$0
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No17956¢0¢$0−$100$0
Will Trump speak to Maria Corina Machado in May?Yes1546.5¢0¢$0−$10.00$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY YesWill the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?37¢260$9665%35
BUY YesWill Dune: Messiah get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?16.8¢597$10065%35
BUY NoUS-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 30?77¢260$20065%35
BUY YesIran leadership change by December 31?12¢833$10065%35
BUY YesIran leadership change by June 30, 2027?23¢870$20065%35
BUY YesBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?16¢625$10065%35
BUY NoIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?44.1¢453$20065%35
BUY NoIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?37¢541$20065%35
BUY YesWill Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?40.7¢491$20065%35
BUY NoUS announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026?70¢286$20065%35
BUY NoSaudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by December 31?77¢260$20065%35
BUY YesWill United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?72¢1,553$1,11865%35
BUY YesWill the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?50¢1,000$50065%35
BUY NoUS-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?78¢256$20065%35
BUY YesWill Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?9.6¢1,042$10065%35
BUY NoWill Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?87.6¢228$20065%35
BUY NoWill JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?78.4¢255$20065%35
BUY YesWill Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?4.7¢2,132$10065%35
BUY NoFight to Go the Distance?53¢566$30065%35
BUY Islam MakhachevUFC 330: Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card)76¢1,316$1,00065%35