PnL all-time+$17.9kvol $375k
PnL 30d−$24.1kgains $0 · losses $0
PnL 7d−$187win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate100.0%adj 78.3% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$98.0kcash n/a
Positions9 / 35open / all-time
Max drawdown−40.3%of equity peak
Account age11molast trade 4mo ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL+$25.7kbelow peak −$4,881Oct 11
SharpScore inputs
41/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale61
Adjusted win rateraw 100.0% · shrunk toward 50%96
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable51
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d0
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity60
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election? · Noclosed+$11.1kWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán? · Noclosed+$7,171Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · Noopen+$5,712Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election? · Yesclosed+$4,362Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? · Noopen+$2,580
Worst markets
Open positions · 9
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | No | 50.7k | 85.7¢ | 97¢ | $49.1k | +$5,712 | $0 | |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? | No | 24.3k | 89¢ | 100¢ | $24.3k | +$2,671 | −$91 | |
| US strike on Mexico by December 31? | No | 9,189 | 68.8¢ | 96.2¢ | $8,835 | +$2,512 | $0 | |
| Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026? | No | 7,946 | 91.6¢ | 96.4¢ | $7,660 | +$382 | $0 | |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30? | No | 3,630 | 87.3¢ | 100¢ | $3,630 | +$462 | $0 | |
| Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31? | No | 5,073 | 88.3¢ | 69.5¢ | $3,526 | −$956 | $0 | |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? | No | 1,000 | 94¢ | 100¢ | $1,000 | +$60 | $0 | |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | No | 15.8k | 35.2¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$5,543 | $0 | |
| US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026? | No | 14.4k | 81¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$11.7k | $0 |
Recent trades
auto-refresh 30s