sharpside
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Traders/Rank #2,640

katbot

0x300…763a
Whale1y+Politics
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$7,379vol $1.35M
PnL 30d−$7,704gains $17.4k · losses $23.7k
PnL 7d+$1,626win rate 7d 87.5%
Win rate52.2%adj 52.0% · 30d 43.2%
Open value$106kcash n/a
Positions21 / 178open / all-time
Max drawdown−40.8%of equity peak
Account age1.2ylast trade 10m ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$36.1kbelow peak −$16.6kOct 8

SharpScore inputs

58/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale55
Adjusted win rateraw 52.2% · shrunk toward 50%30
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable75
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d100
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity59

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 21

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?No42.8k37.4¢88.5¢$37.9k+$21.9k$0
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Yes12.5k80.7¢82.5¢$10.3k+$230+$335
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes11.1k61¢71.3¢$7,945+$1,153−$2.45
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?No9,14677.3¢80.5¢$7,363+$297$0
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Yes14.8k49.4¢48.1¢$7,129−$206$0
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?No6,27866.9¢85.5¢$5,368+$1,168$0
Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31?No6,06451¢88.5¢$5,367+$2,272+$292
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No5,33880.7¢84.5¢$4,510+$203−$474
US strike on Cuba by December 31?No4,14261.6¢87.5¢$3,624+$1,074$0
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Yes2,85567.8¢78.5¢$2,241+$306−$529
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?Yes11.4k20.8¢19.5¢$2,223−$143$0
Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026?Yes3,03872.4¢71.1¢$2,160−$40$0
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026?Yes5,32935.4¢36¢$1,918+$32$0
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?Yes2,77762.9¢58.5¢$1,625−$122+$87
Will the US strike 8 countries in 2026?Yes2,72363.7¢58.3¢$1,588−$147$0
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?Yes11.4k10.9¢11.5¢$1,311+$69$0
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31?Yes5,38124.5¢18.5¢$996−$323$0
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?No1,04576.5¢89.5¢$935+$135$0
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?Yes1,23870.8¢62.5¢$774−$102$0
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31?No78471.7¢86.5¢$678+$116+$56
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 15?No5,37261¢0¢$0−$3,278$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY YesUS announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026?36¢300$10852%58
BUY YesUS announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?22¢800$17652%58
BUY YesUS announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?48.3¢129$6252%58
BUY YesUS announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?48.1¢251$12152%58
BUY YesUS announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?21¢1,000$21052%58
BUY YesUS announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?23¢400$9252%58
BUY YesUS announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?48.5¢22$1152%58
BUY YesUS announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?48.5¢7$3.3952%58
BUY YesUS announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?21¢600$12652%58
BUY YesUS announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026?37¢300$11152%58
BUY YesUS announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?21¢800$16852%58
BUY YesUS announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?49.9¢200$10052%58
BUY YesUS announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?49.7¢741$36852%58
BUY YesUS announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?49.6¢184$9152%58
BUY YesUS announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?49.5¢6$2.7352%58
BUY YesUS announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?49.4¢95$4752%58
BUY YesUS announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?9¢1,200$10852%58
BUY YesUS announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?21¢1,400$29452%58
BUY YesUS announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?21¢1,000$21052%58
BUY YesUS announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?48.9¢500$24552%58