PnL all-time+$976vol $47.2k
PnL 30d+$3,163gains $4,604 · losses $449
PnL 7d+$509win rate 7d 100.0%
Win rate88.0%adj 71.1% · 30d 88.9%
Open value$2,053cash n/a
Positions19 / 44open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age8molast trade 4h ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL+$974below peak $0Oct 14
SharpScore inputs
35/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale43
Adjusted win rateraw 88.0% · shrunk toward 50%78
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable55
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d99
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23? · Yesclosed+$1,148Trump renames AI by October 31? · Yesclosed+$1,069Trump renames AI by September 30? · Yesclosed+$661Will Trump say "Crime" or "Criminal" 15+ times during his remarks in North Carolina? · Yesclosed+$661Will Trump say "Crime" or "Criminal" 10+ times during his Midterm Rally in New York? · Yesclosed+$465
Worst markets
Will Green Party (MP) win between 7% and 9% of all valid votes? · Yesopen−$731Will Sweden Democrats (SD) win between 18% and 20% of all valid votes? · Yesopen−$613Will Moderate Party (M) win between 16% and 18% of all valid votes? · Yesopen−$391Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 20+ times during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly? · Yesopen−$377Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? · Noclosed−$339
Open positions · 6
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Katie Zacharia out as Press Secretary by December 31? | Yes | 3,047 | 29.6¢ | 27.5¢ | $838 | −$64 | $0 | |
| Will Trump say "TSMC" or "Taiwan" during his Midterm Rally in Arizona? | Yes | 1,023 | 68¢ | 70¢ | $716 | +$21 | $0 | |
| Will Trump say "Chip" during his Midterm Rally in Arizona? | Yes | 502 | 68¢ | 68.5¢ | $344 | +$2.51 | $0 | |
| Katie Zacharia out as Press Secretary by October 31? | Yes | 1,236 | 8.1¢ | 8.5¢ | $104 | +$4.32 | +$4.03 | |
| Will the Left Party (V) be in the next Swedish government? | No | 59 | 62.2¢ | 75.5¢ | $45 | +$7.86 | $0 | |
| Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Yes | 25 | 48¢ | 23.5¢ | $5.99 | −$6.24 | $0 |
Recent trades
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