| Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year? | No | 4,553 | 77.6¢ | 88¢ | $4,007 | +$473 | +$3.71 | |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Yes | 1,751 | 57.2¢ | 71.5¢ | $1,251 | +$250 | +$82 | |
| Will Tom Homan be arrested before 2027? | No | 859 | 86.4¢ | 92.1¢ | $791 | +$49 | +$32 | |
| Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by December 31? | No | 601 | 91.7¢ | 97.2¢ | $583 | +$33 | $0 | |
| Will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal in December? | Yes | 5,551 | 20.3¢ | 7.6¢ | $419 | −$710 | $0 | |
| Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Yes | 1,460 | 21.5¢ | 28.6¢ | $418 | +$103 | +$7.06 | |
| U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027? | No | 334 | 79.6¢ | 95.5¢ | $319 | +$53 | +$296 | |
| Will Data center utility cost protection become law this year? | No | 352 | 76.4¢ | 79.5¢ | $280 | +$11 | +$0.63 | |
| Will the Critical-minerals stockpile become law this year? | No | 263 | 78¢ | 94¢ | $247 | +$42 | +$22 | |
| Will Yordan Alvarez win the 2026 American League Hank Aaron Award? | Yes | 218 | 81.8¢ | 97.9¢ | $213 | +$35 | $0 | |
| Will the Republican Party win the FL-03 House seat? | Yes | 200 | 89¢ | 94.5¢ | $189 | +$11 | $0 | |
| Will the Democratic Party win the FL-18 House seat? | No | 200 | 88¢ | 93.5¢ | $187 | +$11 | $0 | |
| Will Franco Colapinto win the 2026 Action of the Year? | No | 150 | 96¢ | 98.8¢ | $148 | +$4.14 | $0 | |
| Will South Sudan have an Ebola case in 2026? | No | 151 | 37.5¢ | 75¢ | $113 | +$56 | $0 | |
| Will the Democratic Party win the PA-06 House seat? | Yes | 100 | 95¢ | 96.5¢ | $97 | +$1.50 | −$0.18 | |
| Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the October interest rate announcement? | Yes | 116 | 79.6¢ | 83.1¢ | $96 | +$4.03 | −$7.05 | |
| Will "The Romantic - Bruno Mars" be the top album for 2026? | No | 94 | 90.1¢ | 97.1¢ | $91 | +$6.53 | $0 | |
| Will the Democratic Party win the SC-02 House seat? | No | 100 | 86¢ | 87.4¢ | $87 | +$1.40 | $0 | |
| Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 806 | 28.6¢ | 10.5¢ | $85 | −$146 | −$38 | |
| Will Taylor Swift be the third most streamed artist for 2026? | No | 314 | 32.6¢ | 24.5¢ | $77 | −$25 | +$5.74 | |
| Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? | Yes | 299 | 28.3¢ | 24.5¢ | $73 | −$11 | $0 | |
| Will Finland recognize Palestine before 2027? | No | 64 | 84¢ | 93¢ | $60 | +$5.78 | $0 | |
| Will Yoshinobu Yamamoto win the 2026 NL Cy Young Award? | No | 58 | 91.7¢ | 99¢ | $58 | +$4.22 | $0 | |
| Will the Democratic Party win the NY-21 House seat? | Yes | 200 | 21¢ | 27.5¢ | $55 | +$13 | $0 | |
| Will the Democratic Party win the WI-01 House seat? | Yes | 145 | 27¢ | 36.5¢ | $53 | +$14 | $0 | |
| Will the Democratic Party win the FL-07 House seat? | Yes | 148 | 34¢ | 34.5¢ | $51 | +$0.74 | $0 | |
| Will Taylor Swift be the third most streamed artist for 2026? | Yes | 67 | 55¢ | 75.5¢ | $51 | +$14 | $0 | |
| Will Cristopher Sanchez win the 2026 NL Cy Young Award? | No | 49 | 77.1¢ | 99.6¢ | $49 | +$11 | $0 | |
| Will the Republican Party win the NY-21 House seat? | Yes | 66 | 72¢ | 72.5¢ | $48 | +$0.33 | $0 | |
| Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the October interest rate announcement? | No | 52 | 50.6¢ | 83¢ | $43 | +$17 | +$121 | |
| Will Zack Gelof win the 2026 AL Comeback Player of the Year award? | No | 43 | 93.2¢ | 99.1¢ | $42 | +$2.49 | $0 | |
| Will the Democratic Party win the PA-01 House seat? | Yes | 102 | 46¢ | 38.5¢ | $39 | −$7.66 | −$15 | |
| Will the Republican Party win the PA-01 House seat? | No | 100 | 45.3¢ | 37.5¢ | $37 | −$7.78 | +$0.73 | |
| Will Clayton McCullough win the 2026 NL Manager of the Year? | No | 37 | 91.3¢ | 99.7¢ | $37 | +$3.10 | $0 | |
| Will Credit-card routing competition become law this year? | No | 36 | 90.8¢ | 87.1¢ | $32 | −$1.36 | $0 | |
| Will Ciryl Gane be the UFC Heavyweight Champion on December 31, 2026? | No | 97 | 31.2¢ | 32.5¢ | $32 | +$1.31 | +$0.66 | |
| Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau engaged by end of 2026? | Yes | 312 | 19.1¢ | 8¢ | $25 | −$35 | $0 | |
| US grants license for new nuclear reactor in 2026? | No | 26 | 80.3¢ | 93.5¢ | $24 | +$3.42 | +$1.26 | |
| Will the US federal government take a stake in Anduril Industries, Inc.? | No | 30 | 71.3¢ | 79.5¢ | $24 | +$2.43 | $0 | |
| Will Daniel Suarez win the 2026 NASCAR Cup Series championship? | No | 20 | 95.4¢ | 99.9¢ | $20 | +$0.89 | $0 | |
| Will Tom Begich win the 2026 Alaska governor election? | No | 20 | 52.5¢ | 98.8¢ | $20 | +$9.26 | $0 | |
| Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the October interest rate announcement? | No | 117 | 8.8¢ | 16.9¢ | $20 | +$9.41 | +$113 | |
| Will the Republican Party win the FL-14 House seat? | No | 27 | 69¢ | 71.5¢ | $19 | +$0.67 | $0 | |
| Will the Republican Party win the NY-21 House seat? | No | 66 | 23.9¢ | 27.5¢ | $18 | +$2.39 | +$5.81 | |
| Will the Democratic Party win the FL-25 House seat? | Yes | 24 | 62¢ | 75.5¢ | $18 | +$3.22 | $0 | |
| Will Aisha Wahab win the CA-14 House seat? | Yes | 21 | 82.2¢ | 83.5¢ | $17 | +$0.28 | −$8.06 | |
| Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins win the 2026 Alaska governor election? | Yes | 20 | 12¢ | 78.5¢ | $16 | +$13 | $0 | |
| Will Jimmy Gomez win the CA-34 House seat? | No | 21 | 36.3¢ | 74¢ | $15 | +$7.85 | +$323 | |
| Will Drake be the second most streamed artist for 2026? | Yes | 20 | 51.4¢ | 76.5¢ | $15 | +$5.03 | +$35 | |
| Will Monterrey win the 2026 Liga MX Apertura? | No | 15 | 88.8¢ | 93.5¢ | $14 | +$0.70 | $0 | |
| Will Ciryl Gane be the UFC Heavyweight Champion on December 31, 2026? | Yes | 20 | 30¢ | 67.5¢ | $14 | +$7.50 | $0 | |
| Kylie Jenner and Timothée Chalamet engaged in 2026? | No | 15 | 63.2¢ | 86.5¢ | $13 | +$3.46 | +$8.54 | |
| Will the Democratic Party win the CO-03 House seat? | No | 16 | 62¢ | 72.5¢ | $12 | +$1.68 | −$1.58 | |
| Will the Democratic Party win the MI-04 House seat? | No | 22 | 52.8¢ | 51.5¢ | $11 | −$0.28 | $0 | |
| Will Mark Sutcliffe win the 2026 Ottawa mayoral election? | Yes | 12 | 64¢ | 91¢ | $11 | +$3.24 | $0 | |
| Will Trump cut corporate taxes before 2027? | No | 11 | 87.4¢ | 92.5¢ | $11 | +$0.58 | +$3.06 | |
| Will the Democratic Party win the TX-24 House seat? | No | 10 | 86¢ | 92.5¢ | $9.25 | +$0.65 | +$0.28 | |
| Will the Republican Party win the SC-07 House seat? | No | 200 | 7¢ | 4.5¢ | $9.00 | −$5.00 | $0 | |
| Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? | No | 10 | 66¢ | 89.5¢ | $8.95 | +$2.35 | $0 | |
| Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the October interest rate announcement? | Yes | 52 | 24.9¢ | 17¢ | $8.81 | −$4.10 | +$20 | |
| Will Mike Thompson win the CA-04 House seat? | Yes | 10 | 62¢ | 81¢ | $8.10 | +$1.90 | $0 | |
| Will Drake be the third most streamed artist for 2026? | No | 10 | 76¢ | 81¢ | $8.10 | +$0.50 | $0 | |
| Will Man I Need – Olivia Dean be the #2 song in the US for 2026? | Yes | 73 | 66.6¢ | 10.8¢ | $7.89 | −$41 | $0 | |
| Will the Democratic Party win the FL-25 House seat? | No | 24 | 24¢ | 24.5¢ | $6.00 | +$0.13 | +$0.37 | |
| Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | No | 7 | 86¢ | 84.1¢ | $5.89 | −$0.13 | $0 | |
| Will the Democratic Party win the TN-05 House seat? | Yes | 79 | 2.8¢ | 7.4¢ | $5.87 | +$3.63 | $0 | |
| Will the Democratic Party win the PA-08 House seat? | No | 20 | 36¢ | 27.5¢ | $5.50 | −$1.70 | $0 | |
| Will Doris Matsui win the CA-07 House seat? | Yes | 9 | 36.4¢ | 58.5¢ | $5.34 | +$2.01 | $0 | |
| Will the Republican Party win the MN-01 House seat? | Yes | 7 | 65.3¢ | 75.5¢ | $5.34 | +$0.72 | $0 | |
| Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 Action of the Year? | No | 7 | 66¢ | 75¢ | $5.25 | +$0.63 | $0 | |
| Will Jimmy Gomez win the CA-34 House seat? | Yes | 20 | 13¢ | 26¢ | $5.20 | +$2.60 | +$53 | |
| Will Drake be the second most streamed artist for 2026? | No | 20 | 28.3¢ | 23.5¢ | $4.81 | −$0.99 | −$8.46 | |
| Will another country leave OPEC in 2026? | No | 5 | 67¢ | 91.5¢ | $4.58 | +$1.23 | $0 | |
| Will Angela Gonzales-Torres win the CA-34 House seat? | Yes | 6 | 67.8¢ | 74.5¢ | $4.47 | +$0.40 | +$2.91 | |
| Will OpenAI be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026? | Yes | 207 | 6¢ | 2.2¢ | $4.46 | −$8.07 | −$1.51 | |
| Will the Democratic Party win the CO-03 House seat? | Yes | 16 | 37.5¢ | 27.5¢ | $4.44 | −$1.62 | $0 | |
| Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins win the 2026 Alaska governor election? | No | 20 | 60.8¢ | 21.6¢ | $4.33 | −$7.89 | −$25 | |
| Will James Clapper be arrested before 2027? | Yes | 96 | 13.8¢ | 4.5¢ | $4.33 | −$8.96 | $0 | |
| Will Kyle Larson win the 2026 NASCAR Cup Series championship? | Yes | 9 | 20.9¢ | 44.9¢ | $4.06 | +$2.17 | $0 | |
| Will Pope Leo XIV be TIME Person of the Year 2026? | Yes | 41 | 17.6¢ | 9.5¢ | $3.85 | −$3.28 | −$4.70 | |
| Will Aisha Wahab win the CA-14 House seat? | No | 20 | 15.3¢ | 16.5¢ | $3.34 | +$0.24 | $0 | |
| Will Gavin Newsom be arrested before 2027? | Yes | 133 | 6¢ | 2.5¢ | $3.33 | −$4.65 | $0 | |
| Will the US federal government take a stake in OpenAI? | No | 4 | 71.3¢ | 85.5¢ | $3.25 | +$0.54 | +$184 | |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | Yes | 31 | 10.9¢ | 8.7¢ | $2.69 | −$0.69 | −$4.49 | |
| Will Taylor Swift be the second most streamed artist for 2026? | No | 3 | 78.5¢ | 81.5¢ | $2.67 | +$0.10 | −$1.50 | |
| Kylie Jenner and Timothée Chalamet engaged in 2026? | Yes | 14 | 18.8¢ | 13.5¢ | $1.91 | −$0.75 | $0 | |
| Will Mike Thompson win the CA-04 House seat? | No | 10 | 24.9¢ | 19¢ | $1.90 | −$0.59 | +$7.19 | |
| Will Drake be the third most streamed artist for 2026? | Yes | 10 | 26.5¢ | 19¢ | $1.81 | −$0.71 | −$1.13 | |
| Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 Action of the Year? | Yes | 7 | 29¢ | 25¢ | $1.75 | −$0.28 | −$0.41 | |
| Will Angela Gonzales-Torres win the CA-34 House seat? | No | 6 | 40¢ | 25.5¢ | $1.53 | −$0.87 | $0 | |
| Will José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero be arrested before 2027? | Yes | 23 | 11¢ | 4.5¢ | $1.03 | −$1.49 | $0 | |
| Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31? | No | 1 | 66.4¢ | 87.5¢ | $0.90 | +$0.22 | +$75 | |
| Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? | Yes | 1 | 76.4¢ | 66.5¢ | $0.75 | −$0.11 | −$109 | |
| Cap on gambling loss deductions repealed before 2027? | Yes | 1 | 24.6¢ | 36¢ | $0.50 | +$0.16 | −$4.61 | |
| Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Yes | 2 | 12.5¢ | 23.5¢ | $0.40 | +$0.19 | +$442 | |
| Will Mark Sutcliffe win the 2026 Ottawa mayoral election? | No | 3 | 37¢ | 9¢ | $0.27 | −$0.84 | −$7.95 | |
| Will Craig Stammen win the 2026 NL Manager of the Year? | Yes | 13 | 2.3¢ | 1.5¢ | $0.19 | −$0.12 | −$4.67 | |
| Will Guadalajara win the 2026 Liga MX Apertura? | Yes | 1 | 14.6¢ | 16.5¢ | $0.18 | +$0.02 | +$0.83 | |
| Will Cristopher Sanchez win the 2026 NL Cy Young Award? | Yes | 20 | 18¢ | 0.5¢ | $0.09 | −$3.51 | $0 | |
| Will Tyler Reddick win the 2026 NASCAR Cup Series championship? | Yes | 12 | 10¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.07 | −$1.13 | −$1.26 | |