PnL all-time+$138vol $6,034
PnL 30d−$79gains $0 · losses $0
PnL 7d−$22win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate63.6%adj 54.8% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$337cash n/a
Positions6 / 17open / all-time
Max drawdown−40.4%of equity peak
Account age1.3ylast trade 5mo ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL−$179below peak −$403Oct 13
SharpScore inputs
23/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale31
Adjusted win rateraw 63.6% · shrunk toward 50%37
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable41
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d0
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity60
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California in 2025? · Noclosed+$153Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026? · Yesclosed+$90Will Norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics? · Yesclosed+$60Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? · Yesclosed+$57Will Finland win Eurovision 2026? · Noopen+$54
Worst markets
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? · Yesopen−$286More EU sanctions on Russia by September 30? · Yesclosed−$200Will the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election? · Yesclosed−$100Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March? · Yesclosed−$50Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · Yesopen−$46
Open positions · 6
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Finland win Eurovision 2026? | No | 154 | 64.8¢ | 100¢ | $154 | +$54 | $0 | |
| Will OpenAI announce a phone in 2026? | No | 112 | 89.4¢ | 96¢ | $107 | +$7.41 | $0 | |
| Will OpenAI announce a watch in 2026? | No | 60 | 83.1¢ | 94.5¢ | $57 | +$6.84 | $0 | |
| Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | Yes | 786 | 38.1¢ | 1.8¢ | $14 | −$286 | $0 | |
| Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | Yes | 1,662 | 3¢ | 0.3¢ | $4.15 | −$46 | $0 | |
| Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League? | Yes | 62 | 20.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$13 | +$21 |
Recent trades
auto-refresh 30s