sharpside
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Traders/Rank #1,557

truthteller

0x30e…5102@AbrahamKurland
WhalePnL 100k+PnL 50k+PnL 10k+1y+PoliticsCrypto
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$123kvol $149M
PnL 30d−$42.5kgains $9,981 · losses $42.0k
PnL 7d−$905win rate 7d 85.7%
Win rate56.8%adj 56.5% · 30d 52.5%
Open value$40.1kcash n/a
Positions108 / 2,557open / all-time
Max drawdown−54.0%of equity peak
Account age5.2ylast trade 3d ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$132kbelow peak −$145kOct 10

SharpScore inputs

60/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale73
Adjusted win rateraw 56.8% · shrunk toward 50%41
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable100
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d90
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity46

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 100

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes116k3.3¢10.2¢$11.8k+$7,925+$8,512
Will the Republicans win the Georgia Senate race in 2026?No9,91693.9¢96.5¢$9,564+$257+$0.13
Will the Democrats win the Georgia Senate race in 2026?Yes7,25394.1¢96.6¢$7,003+$180+$17
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?Yes26.3k23.1¢22.5¢$5,925−$160$0
Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes56.0k1.8¢2.4¢$1,344+$330+$865
Will Elissa Slotkin win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes780k0.3¢0.2¢$1,170−$833$0
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes4,34029.7¢24.5¢$1,063−$227+$259
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Yes3,33333¢15.5¢$517−$583+$6.66
Will Rand Paul win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes177k0.2¢0.3¢$442+$30+$1,597
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?No1,51926¢25.5¢$387−$7.60$0
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes2,25220¢14.9¢$334−$116−$858
Will Steve Bannon win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes99.3k0.2¢0.2¢$149−$67+$1,744
Situational Awareness announces fund wind-down by December 31, 2026?Yes4,05211.9¢3.4¢$138−$344−$1,355
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?Yes11.7k1.2¢1.1¢$129−$12$0
Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting?Yes16.9k6.3¢0.6¢$101−$955−$728
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?Yes1,2315.4¢2.7¢$33−$34+$9.32
Cornell President out by October 31?Yes2675.9¢3.5¢$9.35−$6.27−$2.41
Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes120k0.1¢0¢$0−$120−$3.60
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on September 4?No112k2¢0¢$0−$2,258−$73
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?Yes102k4.3¢0¢$0−$4,392−$1,052
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on September 4?No64.4k1.8¢0¢$0−$1,128−$53
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on September 4?No57.1k2.3¢0¢$0−$1,334−$57
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in May?Yes54.3k2¢0¢$0−$1,110−$2,803
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on September 5?No51.9k2.9¢0¢$0−$1,516−$97
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on September 6?No47.4k2.3¢0¢$0−$1,111−$68
Will Jay Collins be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?Yes44.3k0.2¢0¢$0−$79+$8.60
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on September 5?No40.5k2.4¢0¢$0−$964−$66
Fed rate hike in 2026?No39.0k6.7¢0¢$0−$2,606+$1,915
Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?No34.7k0.9¢0¢$0−$318+$8.58
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on September 6?No32.4k1.9¢0¢$0−$607−$40
Will Bitcoin dip to $68,000 August 31-September 6?Yes30.3k2.5¢0¢$0−$767−$44
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $70,000 on September 4?Yes27.7k3.6¢0¢$0−$994−$48
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 August 31-September 6?Yes25.5k3.3¢0¢$0−$844−$45
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on September 12?No24.5k3.1¢0¢$0−$749−$48
Will Bitcoin dip to $64,000 August 31-September 6?Yes23.5k0.8¢0¢$0−$195−$9.10
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?Yes21.6k5.3¢0¢$0−$1,140+$2,166
Will Bitcoin dip to $66,000 August 31-September 6?Yes19.8k1.3¢0¢$0−$258−$23
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on September 7?Yes19.2k1.8¢0¢$0−$355−$24
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on September 5?No18.7k2.6¢0¢$0−$483−$33
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on September 12?Yes18.3k2.9¢0¢$0−$523−$32
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on September 8?No15.0k1.7¢0¢$0−$259−$18
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $70,000 on September 7?Yes15.0k1.9¢0¢$0−$281−$18
Will Ethereum reach $2,600 August 31-September 6?Yes14.7k6.1¢0¢$0−$899−$58
Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?Yes13.8k2.8¢0¢$0−$383−$50
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on September 11?Yes12.4k9.2¢0¢$0−$1,148−$73
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on September 6?No12.1k3¢0¢$0−$368−$25
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $70,000 on September 6?Yes12.1k1.7¢0¢$0−$202−$14
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $68,000 on September 5?Yes11.9k1.9¢0¢$0−$233−$16
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on September 4?No11.8k2.3¢0¢$0−$276−$19
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 27?No10.1k2.5¢0¢$0−$256−$17
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on September 7?Yes10.0k6¢0¢$0−$603−$40
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on September 11?Yes9,8904.6¢0¢$0−$459−$29
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on September 8?Yes9,8402.8¢0¢$0−$274−$19
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $68,000 on September 8?Yes8,7711¢0¢$0−$91−$6.26
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 1?No8,7211¢0¢$0−$86−$5.99
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,000 on September 11?Yes8,4441.3¢0¢$0−$110−$7.58
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on September 8?No8,0001.9¢0¢$0−$152−$10
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on September 7?Yes7,9501¢0¢$0−$82−$5.66
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on September 5?No7,8632.1¢0¢$0−$161−$11
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on September 6?Yes7,1122.6¢0¢$0−$183−$11
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on September 4?No6,8921.7¢0¢$0−$118−$6.57
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on September 5?No6,4142.4¢0¢$0−$153−$10
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on September 3?No6,0931.4¢0¢$0−$83−$4.61
Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 September 7-13?Yes5,8743.1¢0¢$0−$180−$12
Will Ethereum dip to $1,900 August 31-September 6?Yes5,5551¢0¢$0−$56$0
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on September 4?Yes5,0001.2¢0¢$0−$60−$4.15
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on September 8?Yes5,0001.9¢0¢$0−$94−$6.46
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $68,000 on September 9?Yes4,9743¢0¢$0−$149−$10
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $72,000 on September 3?Yes4,8902¢0¢$0−$98$0
Will Ethereum reach $2,700 August 31-September 6?Yes4,8390.7¢0¢$0−$35−$2.41
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on September 11?Yes4,4003¢0¢$0−$132−$8.96
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?Yes4,36648.4¢0¢$0−$2,114+$2.90
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on September 13?No4,0002¢0¢$0−$80−$5.48
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on September 6?No4,0001.5¢0¢$0−$60−$4.14
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in April?Yes3,4454.5¢0¢$0−$155$0
Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 August 31-September 6?Yes3,3331.5¢0¢$0−$50$0
Will Bitcoin dip to $63,000 on June 17?Yes3,33310.2¢0¢$0−$340$0
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in April?Yes3,2198.3¢0¢$0−$267$0
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,600 and $2,700 on September 6?Yes3,0001.1¢0¢$0−$33−$2.27
United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Team to AdvanceBosnia and Herzegovina2,99018¢0¢$0−$538−$0.13
Will United States win on 2026-07-01?No2,98232¢0¢$0−$954$0
Will Ethereum reach $3,300 in September?Yes2,9596.3¢0¢$0−$186−$12
Will the price of Ethereum be less than $2,000 on September 8?Yes2,8001.1¢0¢$0−$31−$2.13
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?No2,78343.8¢0¢$0−$1,219+$515
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes2,50021.3¢0¢$0−$533−$747
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?No2,47760¢0¢$0−$1,485−$14
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 3:15PM-3:20PM ETDown2,22014.2¢0¢$0−$316$0
Will Croatia win on 2026-07-02?Yes2,00013.5¢0¢$0−$270+$209
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in September?Yes1,8801.5¢0¢$0−$28−$1.91
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 27?No1,5770.5¢0¢$0−$7.88−$0.55
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on September 8?Yes1,44810¢0¢$0−$145−$9.12
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 31?No1,34824.8¢0¢$0−$334−$197
Will the price of Ethereum be less than $2,000 on September 4?Yes8011.3¢0¢$0−$10$0
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 1?No7822¢0¢$0−$16−$1.02
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 3:30PM-3:35PM ETDown71911.9¢0¢$0−$86+$12
Netherlands vs. Morocco: Netherlands O/U 0.5Under62723¢0¢$0−$144+$42
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 3:25PM-3:30PM ETDown55522.6¢0¢$0−$125$0
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in June?No42226.1¢0¢$0−$110−$5.62
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on September 11?Yes40021¢0¢$0−$84−$4.65
Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 September 7-13?Yes37124.8¢0¢$0−$92$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY YesUS x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15?91¢5,000$4,55057%60
BUY YesUS x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15?91¢6,000$5,46057%60
SELL YesWill Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?15.2¢2,189$33357%60
BUY YesUS x Iran ceasefire continues through October 7?97.4¢3,400$3,31257%60
BUY YesUS x Iran ceasefire continues through October 9?95¢1,443$1,37157%60
SELL NoWill Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?29.4¢207$6157%60
SELL YesSituational Awareness announces fund wind-down by December 31, 2026?4¢10.1k$40457%60
BUY YesWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?1.2¢569$6.8357%60
BUY YesUS x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15?77¢157$12157%60
SELL YesAny of the Cornell 7 charged with a felony sex crime?36¢25.8k$9,29557%60
BUY YesAny of the Cornell 7 charged with a felony sex crime?41¢1,000$41057%60
BUY YesWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?22¢7,000$1,54057%60
BUY YesWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?21¢1,617$34057%60
BUY YesAny of the Cornell 7 charged with a felony sex crime?38¢3,600$1,36857%60
BUY YesUS x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?39¢900$35157%60
BUY YesUS x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?48¢410$19757%60
BUY YesUS x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15?80¢30$2457%60
BUY YesUS x Iran ceasefire continues through October 7?91¢180$16457%60
BUY YesAny of the Cornell 7 charged with a felony sex crime?37¢2,000$74057%60
BUY YesAny of the Cornell 7 charged with a felony sex crime?37¢5,800$2,14657%60