sharpside
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chopin

0x30f…b824@chopinknig91604
SharpWR 80+WR 70+WR 60+1y+SportPoliticsCrypto
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$8,262vol $1.02M
PnL 30d+$515gains $1,365 · losses $6.47
PnL 7d−$104win rate 7d 100.0%
Win rate80.6%adj 79.4% · 30d 96.3%
Open value$2,024cash n/a
Positions213 / 1,365open / all-time
Max drawdown−43.5%of equity peak
Account age2.0ylast trade 10h ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$9,248below peak −$513Oct 12

SharpScore inputs

74/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale56
Adjusted win rateraw 80.6% · shrunk toward 50%99
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable100
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d99
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity57

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 100

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026?No55172.6¢85.5¢$471+$71$0
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?No30099.9¢99.9¢$300−$0.15$0
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?No22290¢92.5¢$206+$5.56$0
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in October?No20697.1¢97.7¢$201+$1.26$0
Trump out as President before 2027?No20887.7¢96.2¢$200+$18$0
Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch?Yes20074¢94¢$188+$40$0
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?No12281.6¢87.5¢$107+$7.16$0
Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?No10595.2¢100¢$105+$4.99$0
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?No11091¢71.5¢$79−$21$0
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2026?No7764.5¢66.5¢$52+$1.52$0
Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch?Yes5066¢88.5¢$44+$11$0
Coventry City FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 2.5Under10042¢41.5¢$41−$0.50$0
Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch?Yes3459¢87¢$30+$9.52+$3.18
Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch?Yes150¢82.5¢$1.21+$0.48$0
Will LeBron James play for the San Antonio Spurs in 2026-27?Yes10.0k0.6¢0¢$0−$60−$0.26
Will LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Lakers in 2026-27?Yes9,0000.3¢0¢$0−$25−$0.06
Will LeBron James play for the Washington Wizards in 2026-27?Yes8,0460.3¢0¢$0−$24+$6.82
Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes5,6254.7¢0¢$0−$263$0
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes4,0005.9¢0¢$0−$236$0
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes3,5747.3¢0¢$0−$260−$48
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes2,80035.3¢0¢$0−$988+$47
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes2,10046.8¢0¢$0−$983−$9.80
Will LeBron James play for the New York Knicks in 2026-27?Yes2,0910.3¢0¢$0−$5.38+$28
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 2.5Over2,02243¢0¢$0−$870−$0.16
Exact Score: France 1 - 0 England?Yes2,0006¢0¢$0−$120$0
Spread: Spain (-1.5)Spain1,80078¢0¢$0−$1,403−$4.80
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes1,5661¢0¢$0−$15−$0.45
Exact Score: England 2 - 0 DR Congo?Yes1,50018¢0¢$0−$270−$6.64
Will LeBron James play for the Minnesota Timberwolves in 2026-27?Yes1,4301¢0¢$0−$14+$10
Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw?Yes1,05632.5¢0¢$0−$343−$6.94
Will Tunisia vs. Japan end in a draw?Yes1,0253¢0¢$0−$31$0
Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: O/U 2.5Over1,02039¢0¢$0−$398−$7.28
Exact Score: France 3 - 2 Spain?Yes1,0002.5¢0¢$0−$25$0
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes1,00015.6¢0¢$0−$156$0
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5Over1,00061¢0¢$0−$610$0
Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 1 Switzerland?Yes1,0005¢0¢$0−$50$0
Exact Score: Norway 0 - 2 England?Yes1,0008¢0¢$0−$80$0
United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5Over1,00053¢0¢$0−$530$0
Panama vs. England: O/U 2.5Over70068¢0¢$0−$476$0
Exact Score: Spain 0 - 0 Austria?Yes5005¢0¢$0−$25$0
Exact Score: Portugal 1 - 0 Croatia?Yes50011¢0¢$0−$55$0
Exact Score: France 1 - 1 England?Yes50010¢0¢$0−$50$0
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes5004¢0¢$0−$20−$0.58
Spain vs. Austria: Both Teams to ScoreYes50043¢0¢$0−$215$0
Exact Score: Portugal 0 - 1 Croatia?Yes5005¢0¢$0−$25$0
Exact Score: Spain 1 - 0 Austria?Yes50013¢0¢$0−$65$0
Exact Score: Any Other Score?Yes5007¢0¢$0−$35−$10.00
Exact Score: Portugal 0 - 0 Croatia?Yes5007¢0¢$0−$35$0
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 2.5Over40035.9¢0¢$0−$143−$4.28
Spain vs. Austria: O/U 9.5 Total CornersOver36844¢0¢$0−$162$0
Exact Score: France 1 - 2 England?Yes3386¢0¢$0−$20$0
Exact Score: Switzerland 3 - 0 Algeria?Yes3364¢0¢$0−$13$0
Exact Score: England 1 - 0 DR Congo?Yes30016¢0¢$0−$48−$1.21
France vs. Morocco: O/U 4.5Over24512.3¢0¢$0−$30$0
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes2382.1¢0¢$0−$5.00−$0.15
Will Lauri Saaskilahti Win the 2026 WSOP Main Event?Yes22039.7¢0¢$0−$88−$1.33
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?Yes20349.8¢0¢$0−$101−$0.14
Colombia vs. Portugal: O/U 2.5Over20055¢0¢$0−$110−$1.49
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18?No20048¢0¢$0−$96−$1.50
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-13?Yes1861.3¢0¢$0−$2.42$0
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 1.5Over18063¢0¢$0−$113−$1.26
Switzerland vs. Canada: O/U 2.5Under17557¢0¢$0−$100−$1.29
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14?No14050¢0¢$0−$70−$1.05
Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5Under13751¢0¢$0−$70−$1.03
France vs. Morocco: O/U 3.5Over13526¢0¢$0−$35−$0.11
Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw?Yes13330¢0¢$0−$40−$0.84
New York Yankees vs. Chicago White SoxNew York Yankees12695¢0¢$0−$120−$0.30
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30?Yes12133¢0¢$0−$40−$0.80
DR Congo vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 2.5Under12056¢0¢$0−$67−$0.89
Portugal vs. Spain: Team to AdvancePortugal11834¢0¢$0−$40−$0.79
Manchester United FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 3.5Over11643¢0¢$0−$50−$1.43
Will Argentina vs. Austria end in a draw?Yes11526¢0¢$0−$30−$0.67
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14?Yes11526¢0¢$0−$30−$0.67
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20?Yes11587¢0¢$0−$100−$0.39
Exact Score: Argentina 0 - 0 Cabo Verde?Yes1144.4¢0¢$0−$5.00−$0.14
Mexico vs. Ecuador: O/U 2.5Over10637.9¢0¢$0−$40−$0.72
Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?Yes10025.5¢0¢$0−$26−$1.79
England vs. Argentina: O/U 5.5Over1003.8¢0¢$0−$3.80$0
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 1?No10012¢0¢$0−$12+$0.53
Knicks vs. SpursSpurs10064¢0¢$0−$64−$0.69
Crystal Palace FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 2.5Under10052¢0¢$0−$52$0
United States vs. Belgium: Team to AdvanceUnited States10054¢0¢$0−$54−$0.75
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to AdvanceColombia10061¢0¢$0−$61−$0.71
Arsenal FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 2.5Under10049¢0¢$0−$49−$1.25
Ipswich Town FC vs. Fulham FC: O/U 2.5Under10045¢0¢$0−$45$0
Sunderland AFC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 2.5Over10054¢0¢$0−$54−$1.24
England vs. Argentina: O/U 3.5Over10021¢0¢$0−$21$0
Hull City AFC vs. Everton FC: O/U 2.5Under10054¢0¢$0−$54$0
Aston Villa FC vs. Brentford FC: O/U 2.5Under10043¢0¢$0−$43$0
Liverpool FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 3.5Over10039¢0¢$0−$39$0
Will Croatia vs. Ghana end in a draw?Yes9731¢0¢$0−$30−$0.62
Knicks vs. SpursSpurs9232.7¢0¢$0−$30−$53
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13?Yes9182¢0¢$0−$75+$14
Exact Score: Mexico 0 - 0 England?Yes8711.5¢0¢$0−$10.00−$0.27
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5)Switzerland8559¢0¢$0−$50−$0.61
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?Yes8318¢0¢$0−$15−$0.61
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?Yes8018.7¢0¢$0−$15−$0.61
Manchester United FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 4.5Over8025¢0¢$0−$20−$0.75
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?Yes8019¢0¢$0−$15−$0.62
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw?Yes7832¢0¢$0−$25+$20

Recent trades

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TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
SELL YesWill J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?48.4¢200$9781%74Sharp
BUY NoWill Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?99.9¢300$30081%74Sharp
BUY NoWill Bitcoin reach $100,000 in October?97.1¢103$10081%74Sharp
BUY NoWill Bitcoin reach $100,000 in October?97.1¢103$10081%74Sharp
BUY NoWill Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?95.2¢105$10081%74Sharp
SELL YesPredict.fun FDV above $100M one day after launch?94¢214$20181%74Sharp
SELL NoWill Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?96.1¢279$26881%74Sharp
SELL YesPredict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?96.2¢260$25081%74Sharp
BUY OverManchester United FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 4.525¢80$2081%74Sharp
BUY OverManchester United FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 3.543¢116$5081%74Sharp
SELL YesPredict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?96¢87$8381%74Sharp
SELL YesPredict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch?80¢16$1381%74Sharp
BUY OverSunderland AFC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 2.554¢100$5481%74Sharp
BUY UnderArsenal FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 2.549¢100$4981%74Sharp
SELL NoWill Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?95.3¢137$13181%74Sharp
BUY NoWill Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026?86¢116$10081%74Sharp
SELL NoWill Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?97.2¢415$40481%74Sharp
BUY NoWill Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2026?64.5¢77$5081%74Sharp
BUY NoWill Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?81.6¢122$10081%74Sharp
BUY YesWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026?20¢70$1481%74Sharp