sharpside
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Traders/Rank #3,027

ocpna

0x310…d672
PnL 10k+WR 60+1y+PoliticsSport
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$23.4kvol $969k
PnL 30d+$1,794gains $216 · losses $25
PnL 7d−$631win rate 7d 50.0%
Win rate62.3%adj 61.4% · 30d 66.7%
Open value$30.2kcash n/a
Positions129 / 390open / all-time
Max drawdown−27.7%of equity peak
Account age2.2ylast trade 3h ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$25.6kbelow peak −$3,189Oct 14

SharpScore inputs

69/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale62
Adjusted win rateraw 62.3% · shrunk toward 50%54
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable86
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d100
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity72

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 48

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseYes15.1k55.7¢62.5¢$9,448+$1,035+$76
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes9,75284.8¢90.5¢$8,826+$559+$454
Blue wave in 2026?Yes2,84581.2¢84.5¢$2,404+$94$0
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?No1,93691.4¢90.5¢$1,752−$18$0
Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Yes4,23036.8¢38.5¢$1,628+$72+$2.22
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Yes1,46351¢62.5¢$914+$168+$52
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Yes92356.9¢73.5¢$679+$153+$61
Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes99865¢63.5¢$634−$15$0
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?Yes96554.6¢61.5¢$594+$66+$12
Will the Republican Party hold below 190 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Yes1,96024¢24¢$471−$0.47+$59
Will the Democratic Party win the NY-07 House seat?Yes47094.1¢97¢$456+$14−$0.43
Blue tsunami in 2026?Yes83950¢48¢$403−$17$0
Will the Democratic Party win the NY-10 House seat?Yes35593.8¢98.3¢$349+$16+$1.87
Will the Democratic Party win the VA-02 House seat?Yes32982¢87¢$286+$16$0
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?Yes62941.3¢42.5¢$267+$7.64+$0.92
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?No17196.2¢98.7¢$169+$4.28+$16
Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31 and will the Democratic Party win the House in 2026?Yes10178.2¢90.8¢$92+$13+$62
Will the Republicans win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?No10091¢86.5¢$87−$4.50$0
Will the Democratic Party win the NJ-07 House seat?Yes8490¢91.5¢$77+$1.27$0
Will Republicans hold ≤46 Senate seats and ≤192 House seats after the 2026 midterms?Yes31416.7¢21.9¢$69+$16$0
Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?Yes6092¢86.5¢$52−$3.29$0
Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?Yes6968.8¢74¢$51+$3.60$0
Will the Democratic Party win the VA-05 House seat?Yes19221.7¢23.5¢$45+$3.44$0
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes6364¢63.5¢$40−$0.31−$1.78
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Florida Senate election by 0%-3%?Yes4887.6¢7.8¢$38+$0.84$0
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?No4665¢73.5¢$34+$3.92$0
Will the Republican Party win the VA-05 House seat?No12919¢23.5¢$30+$5.85+$0.54
Will the Democratic Party win the VA-01 House seat?Yes5540.9¢54.5¢$30+$7.47$0
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes20019.7¢14.7¢$29−$10$0
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?Yes20014¢14.5¢$29+$1.00$0
Will David Raya (Arsenal) record the most clean sheets in the 2026-27 Premier League season?Yes4753.2¢58.5¢$27+$2.49$0
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 51 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?No3089¢91.5¢$27+$0.75$0
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes1219.2¢17.8¢$21+$10$0
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?No2388¢93.5¢$21+$1.25$0
Will Republicans hold 53+ Senate seats and 208–222 House seats after the 2026 midterms?No2291.6¢95.1¢$21+$0.76$0
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Alaska be 320,000 or more?Yes701.4¢23.7¢$17+$16$0
Will Republicans hold 47–49 Senate seats and ≤192 House seats after the 2026 midterms?Yes1818.7¢9¢$16+$0.50+$5.88
Will the Democrats win the Florida Senate race in 2026?Yes15710.3¢9.5¢$15−$1.33−$1.28
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes10016.1¢13.9¢$14−$2.20$0
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes1005¢13.2¢$13+$8.15$0
Will the Republicans win the South Dakota Senate race in 2026?No2004.9¢5.6¢$11+$1.40$0
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Yes2968¢35.5¢$10−$9.56$0
Will the Democratic Party win the ME-02 House seat?Yes2040¢37.5¢$7.50−$0.50$0
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?No2289.8¢29.3¢$6.53−$13$0
Will Democrats sweep the Alaska Senate and Governor elections?Yes867¢69.5¢$5.45+$0.20$0
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes1005.4¢5.1¢$5.05−$0.35$0
Will the Republican Party hold between 190 and 194 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Yes2017¢11¢$2.20−$1.20$0
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Virginia be between 3,750,000 and 4,000,000?Yes2017.1¢10.5¢$2.09−$1.33$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY Yes2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House63¢476$30062%69
SELL YesWill the Democratic Party win the NY-17 House seat?59¢50$3062%69
SELL YesWill Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?62¢56$3562%69
BUY YesBlue tsunami in 2026?46¢103$4762%69
SELL YesWill the Democrats win the Florida Senate race in 2026?10¢52$5.2462%69
SELL YesWill the Democrats win the Florida Senate race in 2026?10¢33$3.3062%69
BUY Yes2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House62¢16$1062%69
SELL Yes2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House63¢75$4762%69
SELL YesWill the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?63¢63$3962%69
SELL YesWill the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026?88¢116$10262%69
BUY YesWill the Democratic Party win the VA-05 House seat?22¢45$1062%69
BUY YesWill the Democratic Party win the VA-05 House seat?22¢91$2062%69
BUY YesWill the Democratic Party win the NJ-07 House seat?90¢22$2062%69
BUY YesWill the Democratic Party win the NJ-07 House seat?90¢44$4062%69
BUY Yes2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House64¢313$20062%69
BUY YesWill the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?39¢256$10062%69
BUY YesWill the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?39¢256$10062%69
BUY YesWill the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?42¢238$10062%69
BUY YesBlue tsunami in 2026?55¢36$2062%69
BUY YesWill the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?93¢108$10062%69