PnL all-time+$17vol $3,534
PnL 30d$0gains $0 · losses $0
PnL 7d$0win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate80.0%adj 56.0% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$305cash n/a
Positions2 / 7open / all-time
Max drawdown−1.2%of equity peak
Account age10molast trade 6mo ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL+$17below peak $0Oct 12
SharpScore inputs
22/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale17
Adjusted win rateraw 80.0% · shrunk toward 50%40
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable28
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d0
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity99
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31? · Noopen+$11Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on January 25? · Yesclosed+$4.03Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31? · Noopen+$0.82Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025? · Noclosed+$0.77Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? · Noclosed+$0.40
Worst markets
Open positions · 2
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31? | No | 205 | 99.6¢ | 100¢ | $205 | +$0.82 | $0 | |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 31? | No | 100 | 90.5¢ | 100¢ | $100 | +$9.50 | +$1.50 |
Recent trades
auto-refresh 30s
| Time | Side | Market | Price | Shares | Value | Trader WR | Sharp | Flags | Transaction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BUY No | US x Iran ceasefire by March 31? | 91¢ | 100 | $91 | 80% | 22 | |||
| BUY No | Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | 95.6¢ | 402 | $385 | 80% | 22 | |||
| BUY No | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? | 96.9¢ | 103 | $100 | 80% | 22 | |||
| SELL Yes | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on January 25? | 99.8¢ | 100 | $100 | 80% | 22 | |||
| SELL Yes | No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting? | 99.1¢ | 384 | $380 | 80% | 22 | |||
| BUY Yes | No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting? | 99.2¢ | 384 | $381 | 80% | 22 | |||
| BUY No | Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025? | 99.1¢ | 383 | $380 | 80% | 22 |