PnL all-time−$174vol $13.5k
PnL 30d+$3.84gains $3.65 · losses $0
PnL 7d+$0.78win rate 7d 100.0%
Win rate94.0%adj 88.2% · 30d 100.0%
Open value$314cash n/a
Positions1 / 134open / all-time
Max drawdown−19.1%of equity peak
Account age12molast trade 1d ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL−$172below peak −$185Oct 12
SharpScore inputs
61/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 94.0% · shrunk toward 50%100
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable71
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d97
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity81
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 21°C or below on July 1? · Noclosed+$2.51Will the highest temperature in Paris be 44°C or higher on June 26? · Noclosed+$0.80Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 22°C or below on July 31? · Noclosed+$0.68Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C or higher on June 26? · Noclosed+$0.67Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 23°C or below on July 7? · Noclosed+$0.62
Worst markets
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 34°C or higher on July 22? · Noclosed−$190Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on July 17? · Noclosed−$2.62Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 33°C on July 22? · Noclosed−$1.87Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 32°C on August 5? · Noclosed−$0.88Will the Tennessee Titans win Super Bowl 2026? · Noclosed−$0.51
Open positions · 1
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Milan be 13°C or below on October 13? | No | 314 | 99.9¢ | 99.9¢ | $314 | $0 | $0 |
Recent trades
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