sharpside
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Traders/Rank #1,641

apmt

0x328…f7a9
SharpWhalePnL 50k+PnL 10k+WR 70+WR 60+Politics
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$89.3kvol $2.31M
PnL 30d+$19.5kgains $24.1k · losses $8,612
PnL 7d+$489win rate 7d 100.0%
Win rate79.0%adj 74.2% · 30d 87.5%
Open value$208kcash n/a
Positions34 / 134open / all-time
Max drawdown−7.6%of equity peak
Account age10molast trade 5d ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$114kbelow peak −$2,961Oct 8

SharpScore inputs

75/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale71
Adjusted win rateraw 79.0% · shrunk toward 50%86
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable71
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d83
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity92

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election? · Yesclosed+$13.3kWill Trump release the Epstein files by December 19? · Yesclosed+$10.4kWill United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yesclosed+$8,522Will Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election? · Noclosed+$7,116US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? · Yesclosed+$6,466

Worst markets

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? · Yesclosed−$8,612Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more? · Yesclosed−$6,469US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? · Noclosed−$4,832Will João Cotrim Figueiredo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election? · Yesclosed−$4,814Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? · Yesclosed−$1,802

Open positions · 34

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No39.3k68.6¢81.5¢$32.1k+$5,078+$1,145
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes32.1k82.9¢90.5¢$29.0k+$2,434$0
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?No27.2k84.7¢98¢$26.7k+$3,622$0
US strike on Cuba by December 31?No21.5k66.7¢87.5¢$18.8k+$4,476$0
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No18.8k80.1¢84.5¢$15.9k+$835+$1,777
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?No14.2k79.4¢84.5¢$12.0k+$727$0
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Yes16.3k64.5¢71.5¢$11.7k+$1,140$0
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?No12.1k84.9¢95¢$11.5k+$1,226$0
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseYes12.0k46¢63.5¢$7,620+$2,100$0
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?No6,69282.9¢97.8¢$6,542+$992+$5,173
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Yes8,00085.5¢79.5¢$6,360−$480$0
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Yes9,48549.5¢63.5¢$6,023+$1,325$0
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes8,90445.1¢63.5¢$5,654+$1,642$0
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No5,38793.9¢99.4¢$5,352+$295$0
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes18.8k11.4¢15.1¢$2,822+$678$0
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Yes4,81865.9¢57.5¢$2,770−$405−$312
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes25.3k9.4¢10.1¢$2,555+$172$0
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes2,96077.1¢82.5¢$2,442+$158$0
Will Lorne Doerkson be the next Premier of British Columbia?No2,90070.3¢41.5¢$1,203−$834$0
Will David Eby be the next Premier of British Columbia?Yes1,70364.6¢42¢$715−$386−$182
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No50093¢99.7¢$498+$33$0
Will the Democratic Party win the OH-07 House seat?Yes20080¢81¢$162+$2.00$0
Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?Yes10087¢85.5¢$86−$1.50$0
Will 150-174 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 6-July 12?Yes1,83819.6¢0¢$0−$361$0
Will turnout in the first round of the 2026 Portuguese presidential election be at least 50%?No1,50430.7¢0¢$0−$462−$219
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?Yes1,12314¢0¢$0−$157$0
Will Trump meet with Machado by January 16?No9746¢0¢$0−$58$0
Will 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?Yes79365¢0¢$0−$515$0
Will Warsh say "Dissent" during July Press Conference?Yes59734¢0¢$0−$203$0
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?Yes36337.7¢0¢$0−$137$0
Will 175-199 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 6-July 12?Yes23028.9¢0¢$0−$66$0
Will António José Seguro win the second round by 20–30%?Yes10027¢0¢$0−$27$0
Will 200-224 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 6-July 12?Yes4429.2¢0¢$0−$13$0
Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?Yes1039¢0¢$0−$3.90−$0.10

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY YesWill the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?87¢100$8779%75Sharp
BUY YesWill the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?72¢5,000$3,60079%75Sharp
BUY NoWill Lorne Doerkson be the next Premier of British Columbia?72¢400$28879%75Sharp
BUY YesWill David Eby be the next Premier of British Columbia?67¢50$3479%75Sharp
BUY YesWill Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?87¢2,000$1,74079%75Sharp
BUY YesWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?85¢5,000$4,25079%75Sharp
BUY YesWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?79¢5,321$4,20479%75Sharp
SELL YesWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?43¢3,000$1,29079%75Sharp
SELL YesWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?46¢3,533$1,62579%75Sharp
SELL NoStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?67¢2,500$1,67579%75Sharp
BUY YesWill United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?76¢2,000$1,52079%75Sharp
BUY YesWill the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?70¢1,000$70079%75Sharp
BUY YesWill the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?89¢2,000$1,78079%75Sharp
BUY YesWill the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?50¢7,000$3,50079%75Sharp
BUY YesWill the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?64¢1,000$64079%75Sharp
BUY YesWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?78¢300$23479%75Sharp
SELL NoWill Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?96.4¢1,800$1,73579%75Sharp
BUY NoStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?88¢2,000$1,76079%75Sharp
SELL NoWill Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?96.4¢2,000$1,92879%75Sharp
BUY NoStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?86¢200$17279%75Sharp