sharpside
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Traders/Rank #3,690

Arpadex

0x329…5a92
SharpWR 80+WR 70+WR 60+Sport
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$9,820vol $1.57M
PnL 30d−$1,852gains $11.6k · losses $734
PnL 7d−$27win rate 7d 88.6%
Win rate90.7%adj 89.2% · 30d 83.5%
Open value$1,970cash n/a
Positions2,000 / 17,695open / all-time
Max drawdown−40.4%of equity peak
Account age10molast trade 9h ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$9,606below peak −$5,513Oct 12

SharpScore inputs

75/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale57
Adjusted win rateraw 90.7% · shrunk toward 50%100
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable100
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d99
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity60

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 100

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will SDA win the most seats in the 2026 Bosnian general election?Yes21695.4¢96.6¢$209+$2.49$0
Will Ella Langley win Entertainer of the Year at the 2026 CMA Awards?Yes25061.6¢80.5¢$201+$47−$5.20
Will “Gary” by Stephen Wilson Jr. win Song of the Year at the 2026 CMA Awards?No20089¢98.5¢$197+$19$0
Will Ilija Srdanović be the next prime minister of Serbia?No20051¢83.5¢$167+$65$0
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?No20071¢75¢$150+$8.00$0
Will “I Can't Love You Anymore” by Ella Langley and Morgan Wallen win Musical Event of the Year at the 2026 CMA Awards?No20078¢67¢$134−$22$0
Will Lainey Wilson win Entertainer of the Year at the 2026 CMA Awards?No9992¢96.7¢$96+$4.67$0
Will Cody Johnson win Entertainer of the Year at the 2026 CMA Awards?No10092¢84.5¢$85−$7.50$0
Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?Yes10039.6¢70.7¢$71+$31$0
Will Ilija Srdanović be the next prime minister of Serbia?Yes40048¢16.5¢$66−$126$0
Will “A Song To Sing” by Miranda Lambert and Chris Stapleton win Musical Event of the Year at the 2026 CMA Awards?Yes14059¢44.5¢$62−$20$0
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Yes20028¢25¢$50−$6.00$0
Will Kraken be first to list tokenized stocks in the US?No6682¢72.5¢$48−$6.27$0
América de Cali leading at halftime?No7970.5¢60.5¢$48−$7.90$0
Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?No10058¢29.3¢$29−$29$0
Orebro SK vs. Varbergs BoIS: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersUnder5149¢50¢$25+$0.51$0
SC Freiburg vs. Crystal Palace: SC Freiburg 1st Half O/U 0.5Under4046¢50¢$20+$1.60$0
Sabah FK vs. Aarhus GF: 2nd Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersUnder4027¢50¢$20+$9.20$0
Sabah FK vs. Aarhus GF: O/U 10.5 Total CornersUnder4059¢50¢$20−$3.60$0
Will any state enact a data center moratorium by December 31?Yes10052.6¢19.7¢$20−$33$0
CDPJuniorFC leading at halftime?Yes4053¢48¢$19−$2.00$0
Will “Choosin' Texas” by Ella Langley win Song of the Year at the 2026 CMA Awards?No4121¢20.5¢$8.30−$0.20$0
Greenland snap election called by December 31?Yes10011¢5.1¢$5.15−$5.85$0
Denmark snap election called by December 31?Yes2009.5¢1.5¢$2.90−$16$0
Dota 2: Dawn Bulls vs The Warriors (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group BThe Warriors10017.4¢0.1¢$0.05−$17$0
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Aurora - Game 2 WinnerLGD Gaming1,22030.6¢0¢$0−$373−$2.00
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Yandex - Game 2 WinnerLGD Gaming1,20025¢0¢$0−$300$0
Dota 2: CyberHero vs Blasterbl (BO3) - PARI Universe Closed Qualifier PlayoffsCyberHero1,05130.1¢0¢$0−$316−$1.12
Brentford FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 10.5 Total CornersUnder99854¢0¢$0−$539$0
Dota 2: 1win vs Pipsqueak+4 - Game 2 Winner Pipsqueak+499035.3¢0¢$0−$350+$4.18
Dota 2: 1win vs Pipsqueak+4 - Game 1 Winner Pipsqueak+483517.2¢0¢$0−$143−$2.14
Dota 2: Team Synapse vs Blasterbl - Game 1 WinnerTeam Synapse80057.9¢0¢$0−$463$0
Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs Blasterbl - Game 1 WinnerYellow Submarine80034.2¢0¢$0−$274−$0.94
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs GamerLegion - Game 1 WinnerGamerLegion75047.6¢0¢$0−$357$0
Dota 2: 1win vs PARIVISION (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs1win73125.7¢0¢$0−$188−$1.01
Dota 2: GamerLegion vs 1win - Game 1 Winner1win70053.4¢0¢$0−$374−$1.22
Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs Conventus Stellarum - Game 2 WinnerConventus Stellarum70041.3¢0¢$0−$289$0
Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs Blasterbl - Game 2 WinnerBlasterbl70033.7¢0¢$0−$236$0
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 1 WinnerTeam Yandex63037.7¢0¢$0−$237−$1.25
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs GamerLegion - Game 2 WinnerGamerLegion60531¢0¢$0−$188+$7.64
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 1 WinnerXtreme Gaming60028.5¢0¢$0−$171$0
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs 1win - Game 1 Winner1win60021.8¢0¢$0−$131$0
Dota 2: Aurora vs GamerLegion - Game 1 WinnerGamerLegion60043.8¢0¢$0−$263+$36
Dota 2: CyberHero vs Blasterbl - Game 2 WinnerBlasterbl60050.7¢0¢$0−$304$0
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs MOUZ - Game 1 WinnerMOUZ60024.3¢0¢$0−$146$0
Dota 2: HULIGANI vs CyberHero - Game 2 WinnerCyberHero60047.5¢0¢$0−$285$0
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 4 WinnerTeam Spirit5007.2¢0¢$0−$36$0
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam PlayoffsLGD Gaming50026¢0¢$0−$130$0
Dota 2: Team Synapse vs LEGION - Game 2 WinnerTeam Synapse50031.2¢0¢$0−$156$0
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Natus Vincere - Game 3 WinnerNatus Vincere50022¢0¢$0−$110$0
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Wallachia PlayoffsLGD Gaming50042¢0¢$0−$210$0
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 WinnerNatus Vincere50022¢0¢$0−$110$0
Dota 2: OG vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - BLAST Slam Group CBetBoom Team50042.6¢0¢$0−$213$0
Dota 2: Aurora vs GamerLegion - Game 2 WinnerGamerLegion50031.4¢0¢$0−$157$0
Dota 2: GamerLegion vs 1win - Game 2 WinnerGamerLegion50031.4¢0¢$0−$157−$1.12
Spread: FK Rubin Kazan (-1.5)FK Rubin Kazan4948¢0¢$0−$39$0
Spread: FK Baltika Kaliningrad (-2.5)FK Baltika Kaliningrad4948¢0¢$0−$39$0
Counter-Strike: BET-M 33 vs HyperSpirit (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group StageHyperSpirit48326.5¢0¢$0−$128+$0.84
Dota 2: Conventus Stellarum vs 1win - Game 2 Winner1win47033.5¢0¢$0−$158−$0.71
LoL: Deer Gaming vs DMG Esports (BO3) - NLC PlayoffsDMG Esports45931.8¢0¢$0−$146$0
Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs MOUZ - Game 2 WinnerMOUZ45037.5¢0¢$0−$169+$7.20
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs 1win - Game 1 WinnerNatus Vincere44034¢0¢$0−$149$0
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Aurora - Game 1 WinnerAurora41022.9¢0¢$0−$94$0
Arsenal FC vs. Coventry City FC: Arsenal FC O/U 0.5Under4037¢0¢$0−$28$0
Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Aston Villa FC: Aston Villa FC O/U 2.5Over40316¢0¢$0−$64$0
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 WinnerNatus Vincere40030¢0¢$0−$120$0
Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs Conventus Stellarum (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group StageConventus Stellarum40016¢0¢$0−$64−$0.11
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Aurora - Game 2 WinnerLGD Gaming40038.8¢0¢$0−$155$0
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 WinnerLGD Gaming40034.5¢0¢$0−$138−$1.07
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 WinnerLGD Gaming40021¢0¢$0−$84$0
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Pibbles Corp - Game 1 WinnerPibbles Corp4009¢0¢$0−$36−$1.19
Dota 2: HULIGANI vs CyberHero - Game 1 WinnerHULIGANI40061¢0¢$0−$244$0
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Aurora - Game 2 WinnerTeam Spirit40040¢0¢$0−$160−$1.25
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Nemesis - Game 2 WinnerTeam Nemesis40031.4¢0¢$0−$125−$1.19
Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs Conventus Stellarum - Game 1 WinnerTeam Nemesis40023.5¢0¢$0−$94$0
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Aurora - Game 1 WinnerLGD Gaming40034.5¢0¢$0−$138$0
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 WinnerNatus Vincere40036.2¢0¢$0−$145−$1.17
Will Justin Rose finish in the Top 5 at the 2026 FedEx St. Jude Championship?Yes4009.3¢0¢$0−$37$0
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora - Game 1 WinnerAurora39212.1¢0¢$0−$47$0
Dota 2: PlayTime vs Team Cobra - Game 1 WinnerTeam Cobra37028.2¢0¢$0−$104−$1.75
Will América de Cali win on 2026-08-26?No35441.5¢0¢$0−$147$0
Dota 2: Aurora vs Pipsqueak+4 (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage Pipsqueak+434013.5¢0¢$0−$46−$0.45
Games Total: O/U 2.5Over33944¢0¢$0−$149$0
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 2 WinnerTeam Spirit3386¢0¢$0−$20$0
Counter-Strike: Sashi Esport vs ex-RUSTEC (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #7 PlayoffsSashi Esport33566.1¢0¢$0−$222+$5.51
Counter-Strike: INOX Division vs SPARTA (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group StageSPARTA33541.2¢0¢$0−$138$0
Will UD Oliveirense win on 2026-08-30?No32515.2¢0¢$0−$50$0
Counter-Strike: ALKA vs Turma do Pagode (BO3) - ESL Challenger League South America Cup #1 PlayoffsALKA32330.1¢0¢$0−$97$0
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 1 WinnerLGD Gaming31060.4¢0¢$0−$187−$1.19
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs PARIVISION - Game 1 WinnerTeam Spirit30021.7¢0¢$0−$65$0
Dota 2: CyberHero vs Blasterbl - Game 1 WinnerCyberHero30040¢0¢$0−$120$0
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 WinnerLGD Gaming30021¢0¢$0−$63$0
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs MOUZ - Game 2 WinnerMOUZ30022.7¢0¢$0−$68$0
Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?Yes30021¢0¢$0−$63$0
Dota 2: Aurora vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 WinnerAurora30026¢0¢$0−$78+$40
Dota 2: 1win vs Hokori - Game 1 WinnerHokori30012.7¢0¢$0−$38$0
Dota 2: Aurora vs Pipsqueak+4 - Game 1 WinnerAurora30034.7¢0¢$0−$104$0
Dota 2: Ivory vs Team Nemesis Academy (BO3) - DreamLeague Southeast Asia Open Qualifier 2 PlayoffsTeam Nemesis Academy30031.3¢0¢$0−$94$0
First Blood in Game 1?LGD Gaming3006¢0¢$0−$18$0
Dota 2: GamerLegion vs Team Cobra - Game 1 WinnerTeam Cobra30048.7¢0¢$0−$146$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY The WarriorsDota 2: Dawn Bulls vs The Warriors - Game 1 Winner23.4¢42$9.8591%75Sharp
BUY The WarriorsDota 2: Dawn Bulls vs The Warriors - Game 1 Winner27¢10$2.7091%75Sharp
SELL Team YandexDota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 4 Winner81¢91$7491%75Sharp
BUY Team YandexDota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 4 Winner43¢100$4391%75Sharp
SELL Team YandexDota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 3 Winner99¢300$29791%75Sharp
BUY Team YandexDota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winner52¢100$5291%75Sharp
BUY Team YandexDota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winner56¢100$5691%75Sharp
BUY 1winDota 2: 1win vs PARIVISION (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs28¢100$2891%75Sharp
BUY 1winDota 2: 1win vs PARIVISION - Game 2 Winner7¢100$7.0091%75Sharp
BUY Team SpiritDota 2: Team Spirit vs Aurora (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs61¢100$6191%75Sharp
BUY Team SpiritDota 2: Team Spirit vs Aurora - Game 2 Winner49¢100$4991%75Sharp
SELL Team SpiritDota 2: Team Spirit vs Aurora - Game 1 Winner57¢40$2391%75Sharp
BUY BlasterblDota 2: LEGION vs Blasterbl - Game 4 Winner23¢50$1291%75Sharp
BUY Team YandexDota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Yandex (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs40.2¢189$7691%75Sharp
BUY BlasterblDota 2: Team Synapse vs Blasterbl - Game 2 Winner26¢100$2691%75Sharp
SELL LGD GamingDota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner99.9¢150$15091%75Sharp
BUY YesWill one team kill two Tormentors in a single game at the BLAST Slam VIII Playoffs?87¢40$3591%75Sharp
BUY CyberHeroDota 2: CyberHero vs Blasterbl (BO3) - PARI Universe Closed Qualifier Playoffs34¢100$3491%75Sharp
BUY LEGIONDota 2: Team Synapse vs LEGION - Game 2 Winner46¢71$3391%75Sharp
BUY Yellow SubmarineDota 2: Yellow Submarine vs Blasterbl - Game 1 Winner25¢100$2591%75Sharp