PnL all-time+$135vol $356k
PnL 30d$0gains $0 · losses $0
PnL 7d$0win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate50.7%adj 50.6% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$2,800cash n/a
Positions8 / 154open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age2.2ylast trade 1y ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL+$135below peak −$9,921Oct 12
SharpScore inputs
32/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale30
Adjusted win rateraw 50.7% · shrunk toward 50%27
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable73
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d0
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2024 meeting? · Yesclosed+$4,700Will Fed cut interest rates 4 times in 2024? · Yesclosed+$3,310Another Iran strike on Israel in 2024? · Noclosed+$1,770Will the Eagles win Super Bowl 2025? · Yesclosed+$1,425Trump ends Gaza war in first 100 days? · Yesclosed+$1,410
Worst markets
Trump declassifies Epstein list in first 100 days? · Noclosed−$6,540Will Joe pardon Hunter Biden? · Noclosed−$2,486Will Trump launch a coin before the election? · Noclosed−$2,460Trump declassifies JFK files in first 100 days? · Noopen−$2,325Will Fed cut interest rates 5 times in 2024? · Yesclosed−$1,555
Open positions · 8
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister? | Yes | 1,000 | 72¢ | 100¢ | $1,000 | +$280 | $0 | |
| Ukraine election held by December 31, 2025? | No | 1,000 | 58¢ | 100¢ | $1,000 | +$420 | $0 | |
| Will Donald Trump visit Saudi Arabia in 2025? | Yes | 500 | 89¢ | 100¢ | $500 | +$55 | $0 | |
| Price of dozen eggs hits $5 before April? | Yes | 300 | 88¢ | 100¢ | $300 | +$36 | $0 | |
| Trump declassifies JFK files in first 100 days? | No | 3,500 | 66.4¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$2,325 | $0 | |
| Will the AfD win 25-30% of the vote in the German election? | Yes | 2,000 | 17.8¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$356 | $0 | |
| Will Victor Wembanyama win 2024-25 NBA Defensive Player of the Year? | Yes | 500 | 88¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$440 | $0 | |
| Will David Sacks be a member of the Trump administration? | No | 319 | 78¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$249 | $0 |
Recent trades
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