sharpside
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BeefSlayer

0x331…193f@BeefSlayer_
PnL 50k+PnL 10k+1y+Weather
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$80.6kvol $2.31M
PnL 30d+$3,415gains $9,059 · losses $11.3k
PnL 7d−$955win rate 7d 11.4%
Win rate23.4%adj 24.4% · 30d 23.4%
Open value$11.8kcash n/a
Positions57 / 2,759open / all-time
Max drawdown−1.9%of equity peak
Account age1.1ylast trade 1h ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$87.3kbelow peak −$744Oct 11

SharpScore inputs

64/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale70
Adjusted win rateraw 23.4% · shrunk toward 50%0
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable100
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d100
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity98

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 57

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will there be 1-3 hurricanes during the Atlantic Hurricane Season in 2026?Yes2,65178.8¢97.7¢$2,589+$500−$147
Will Isaias make landfall in Mississippi as a hurricane?No1,19394.3¢99.8¢$1,191+$65$0
Will Isaias make landfall in Louisiana as a hurricane?No1,10392.2¢99.5¢$1,098+$80$0
Will a hurricane make landfall in Florida by November 30, 2026?Yes90688.3¢99.7¢$903+$103$0
Will Isaias peak at Category 2?No54972.9¢99.4¢$545+$145$0
Will a hurricane make landfall in Rhode Island by November 30, 2026?No55395.7¢97.9¢$542+$12$0
Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?No52487.7¢92.5¢$484+$25$0
Will a hurricane make landfall in New York by November 30, 2026?No50095.9¢95.5¢$478−$2.20$0
Will a hurricane make landfall in New Hampshire by November 30, 2026?No34896.9¢98.4¢$342+$5.16$0
Will a hurricane make landfall in Delaware by November 30, 2026?No34495.9¢97.8¢$336+$6.58$0
Will a hurricane make landfall in Maine by November 30, 2026?No33596.1¢97.1¢$325+$3.26$0
Will it snow in Pittsburgh, PA by November 15?Yes36080¢88¢$317+$29$0
Will a hurricane make landfall in Georgia by November 30, 2026?No30193.7¢96.4¢$290+$7.94$0
Will a hurricane make landfall in Virginia by November 30, 2026?No27594.9¢96.6¢$266+$4.44$0
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on October 11?No23685.5¢100¢$236+$34−$3.39
Will a hurricane make landfall in Mississippi by November 30, 2026?No24384.7¢95.4¢$232+$26$0
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on October 11?Yes20073¢97.2¢$194+$48$0
Will a hurricane make landfall in Maryland by November 30, 2026?No19996.2¢96.1¢$191−$0.20$0
Will a hurricane make landfall in New Jersey by November 30, 2026?No16490.9¢94.6¢$155+$5.97$0
Will a hurricane make landfall in Massachusetts by November 30, 2026?No1550¢98.2¢$152+$152$0
Will Isaias peak at Category 3?Yes13982.3¢98.1¢$136+$22+$5.77
Will it snow in Boston, MA by November 30?Yes14077¢83¢$116+$8.40$0
Will there be between 60 and 89 tornadoes in the US in October 2026?No16255¢71.5¢$116+$27$0
Will Rachel peak at Category 3?Yes10468¢98.6¢$102+$32$0
Will there be 7+ hurricanes during the Atlantic Hurricane Season in 2026?No10099.8¢100¢$100+$0.15$0
Will there be 4-6 hurricanes during the Atlantic Hurricane Season in 2026?No10099.7¢97.5¢$98−$2.20$0
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 66-67°F on October 11?Yes46910¢18.3¢$86+$39$0
Will Isaias make landfall in Alabama as a hurricane?No6975¢95.7¢$66+$14$0
Will it snow in Detroit, MI by November 30?Yes5385.4¢88¢$47+$1.40$0
Will it snow in Salt Lake City, UT by November 30?Yes3985.5¢80¢$31−$2.14$0
Will Isaias peak at Category 4?No2285¢99.9¢$22+$3.21+$3.25
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on October 11?Yes60318.1¢1.8¢$11−$98−$7.14
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on October 11?Yes1671¢0.8¢$1.34−$0.33$0
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 64-65°F on October 11?Yes7601.4¢0.1¢$0.38−$10$0
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on October 11?Yes14114.1¢0.1¢$0.07−$20$0
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 58-59°F on October 11?Yes1005¢0.1¢$0.05−$4.95$0
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 62-63°F on October 10?Yes1,2041.5¢0¢$0−$18−$2.73
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 74-75°F on October 10?Yes1,1670.9¢0¢$0−$11−$0.18
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 19°C or below on October 10?Yes1,0000.4¢0¢$0−$4.00$0
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 69°F or below on October 9?Yes7520.5¢0¢$0−$3.76−$0.06
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on October 10?Yes5771.7¢0¢$0−$9.87−$0.60
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on October 10?Yes5661.9¢0¢$0−$11−$0.52
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 72-73°F on October 10?Yes5105.6¢0¢$0−$29−$0.03
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on October 10?Yes5003.7¢0¢$0−$19$0
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 90-91°F on October 10?Yes50025¢0¢$0−$125$0
Will the highest temperature in Austin be 94°F or higher on October 9?Yes5002.9¢0¢$0−$14$0
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 50-51°F on October 10?Yes4820.3¢0¢$0−$1.38−$0.07
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on October 10?Yes4478¢0¢$0−$36+$6.63
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 76-77°F on October 10?Yes4300.3¢0¢$0−$1.33−$0.01
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 92-93°F on October 10?Yes2005¢0¢$0−$10$0
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 88-89°F on October 9?Yes1893¢0¢$0−$5.67$0
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 78°F or higher on October 10?Yes1240.4¢0¢$0−$0.50$0
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 90-91°F on October 10?Yes10569.4¢0¢$0−$73−$13
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 90-91°F on October 9?No4433.2¢0¢$0−$15+$1.29
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 92-93°F on October 9?Yes431.9¢0¢$0−$0.82−$0.19
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 84-85°F on October 10?Yes3024¢0¢$0−$7.20−$0.27
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 88-89°F on October 10?No725¢0¢$0−$1.67$0

Recent trades

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TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY YesWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 64-65°F on October 11?1.8¢50$0.8923%64
SELL YesWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on October 11?10.6¢85$9.0523%64
BUY YesWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 64-65°F on October 11?1.6¢128$2.0123%64
SELL YesWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on October 12?13¢334$4323%64
BUY YesWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 64-65°F on October 11?0.8¢44$0.3723%64
BUY YesWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 66-67°F on October 11?9.9¢73$7.2923%64
BUY YesWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on October 12?12.7¢334$4223%64
SELL YesWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on October 11?50¢54$2723%64
SELL YesWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on October 11?50.7¢191$9723%64
BUY YesWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on October 11?73¢200$14623%64
SELL YesWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on October 11?36.8¢521$19223%64
SELL YesWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on October 11?45.5¢68$3123%64
BUY YesWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on October 11?2.2¢100$2.1523%64
SELL YesWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on October 11?10.3¢302$3123%64
SELL NoWill the lowest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on October 11?81.7¢65$5323%64
BUY YesWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on October 11?16¢5$0.8123%64
BUY NoWill the lowest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on October 11?85.5¢301$25723%64
BUY NoWill there be between 60 and 89 tornadoes in the US in October 2026?55¢162$8923%64
SELL YesWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 90-91°F on October 10?14¢5$0.7023%64
BUY YesWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on October 11?39.8¢630$25123%64