PnL all-time−$84.4kvol $3.27M
PnL 30d+$2,495gains $2,360 · losses $17.9k
PnL 7d−$88win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate67.5%adj 65.9% · 30d 80.0%
Open value$40.6kcash n/a
Positions3 / 215open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age12molast trade 23d ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL−$80.4kbelow peak −$105kOct 10
SharpScore inputs
31/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 67.5% · shrunk toward 50%65
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable78
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d21
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
US forces enter Iran by April 30? · Yesclosed+$9,654US x Iran ceasefire by March 31? · Noclosed+$5,594No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting? · Yesclosed+$4,639Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? · Noclosed+$4,276Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting? · Yesclosed+$3,680
Worst markets
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15? · Noclosed−$30.5kFed rate hike in 2026? · Yesclosed−$17.9kWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? · Yesclosed−$17.7kStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? · Yesclosed−$13.3kUS x Iran ceasefire by April 30? · Noclosed−$8,960
Open positions · 3
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | 30.2k | 86¢ | 95.6¢ | $28.9k | +$2,896 | +$450 | |
| US recession by end of 2026? | No | 12.4k | 88¢ | 93.5¢ | $11.6k | +$682 | −$336 | |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | No | 104 | 92.9¢ | 95.1¢ | $99 | +$2.24 | $0 |
Recent trades
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