PnL all-time+$0.33vol $35.5k
PnL 30d−$73gains $0 · losses $2.43
PnL 7d−$77win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate66.7%adj 52.2% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$127cash n/a
Positions9 / 14open / all-time
Max drawdown−27.2%of equity peak
Account age4molast trade 5d ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL−$53below peak −$232Oct 12
SharpScore inputs
22/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 66.7% · shrunk toward 50%31
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable38
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d83
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity73
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Worst markets
Will there be at least 12500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? · Yesopen−$81Lionel Messi: 2+ goals · Yesopen−$26Will Blake Lively attend Taylor Swift's wedding? · Yesopen−$22Will there be at least 2400 measles cases in the U.S. by July 31, 2026? · Yesopen−$21Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yesopen−$10
Open positions · 9
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will there be at least 12500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? | Yes | 1,862 | 10.9¢ | 6.6¢ | $122 | −$81 | $0 | |
| Will the United States have an Ebola case in 2026? | Yes | 30 | 33.2¢ | 10¢ | $3.01 | −$6.99 | $0 | |
| Ebola pandemic in 2026? | Yes | 143 | 7¢ | 1.7¢ | $2.36 | −$7.64 | $0 | |
| Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 10.0k | 0.1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$9.99 | −$0.30 | |
| Will there be at least 2400 measles cases in the U.S. by July 31, 2026? | Yes | 250 | 8¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$20 | −$0.74 | |
| Will Blake Lively attend Taylor Swift's wedding? | Yes | 209 | 10¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$21 | −$0.94 | |
| Exact Score: Argentina 0 - 0 Cabo Verde? | Yes | 106 | 4.7¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$5.00 | −$0.14 | |
| Lionel Messi: 2+ goals | Yes | 81 | 31¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$25 | −$0.52 | |
| Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 0 Cabo Verde? | Yes | 26 | 19¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$5.00 | −$0.12 |
Recent trades
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