PnL all-time−$19.2kvol $1.44M
PnL 30d+$4,558gains $2,701 · losses $3,951
PnL 7d−$174win rate 7d 100.0%
Win rate56.1%adj 55.4% · 30d 50.0%
Open value$15.2kcash n/a
Positions13 / 168open / all-time
Max drawdown−56.4%of equity peak
Account age1.9ylast trade 4h ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL−$11.1kbelow peak −$8,489Oct 13
SharpScore inputs
39/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 56.1% · shrunk toward 50%39
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable74
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d99
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity44
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
US strikes Iran by March 2, 2026? · Yesclosed+$5,730Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yesclosed+$3,756Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yesopen+$3,607Will Assad remain President of Syria through 2024? · Noclosed+$3,150Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? · Noclosed+$2,701
Worst markets
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? · Noclosed−$24.5kWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yesclosed−$4,240Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? · Yesclosed−$3,200Lord Miles completes 40-day water fast in the desert? · Yesclosed−$2,750Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: O/U 0.5 · Underopen−$1,866
Open positions · 13
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 8,500 | 46¢ | 86.4¢ | $7,340 | +$3,432 | +$175 | |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | Yes | 10.9k | 59.2¢ | 61.5¢ | $6,703 | +$253 | +$21 | |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 1,000 | 48¢ | 63.5¢ | $635 | +$155 | $0 | |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | Yes | 2,500 | 20¢ | 19.5¢ | $488 | −$13 | $0 | |
| Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: O/U 0.5 | Under | 4,000 | 45.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1,837 | −$30 | |
| Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 3.5 | Under | 1,500 | 30¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$450 | −$9.45 | |
| Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 1.5 | Under | 1,500 | 39¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$585 | −$11 | |
| Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? | Yes | 1,500 | 82¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1,230 | −$6.64 | |
| Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 4.5 | Under | 1,000 | 36¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$360 | −$6.91 | |
| Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 1.5 | Under | 1,000 | 29¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$290 | −$6.18 | |
| Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 1.5 | Under | 1,000 | 18.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$189 | +$85 | |
| United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5 | Under | 750 | 22¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$165 | −$3.02 | |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May? | Yes | 1 | 18.7¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$0.24 | −$1,392 |
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