| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 1,000 | 91¢ | 90.5¢ | $905 | −$5.00 | +$27 | |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | No | 1,000 | 92.5¢ | 90.5¢ | $905 | −$20 | +$20 | |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31? | No | 916 | 93.9¢ | 96.1¢ | $881 | +$20 | +$2.88 | |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? | No | 878 | 93.4¢ | 93.5¢ | $821 | +$0.52 | +$200 | |
| Will Meta have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? | No | 755 | 87.5¢ | 91.5¢ | $690 | +$30 | +$70 | |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31? | No | 658 | 91¢ | 93.9¢ | $618 | +$19 | $0 | |
| Will Neuralink's valuation hit (LOW) $37.5B by October 31? | No | 570 | 95¢ | 97.5¢ | $555 | +$14 | $0 | |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | No | 582 | 78¢ | 79.5¢ | $462 | +$8.44 | +$25 | |
| Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (HIGH) $90 in October? | No | 465 | 97.9¢ | 96.5¢ | $449 | −$6.47 | $0 | |
| Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31? | Anthropic | 461 | 90¢ | 92¢ | $424 | +$9.22 | $0 | |
| Will Revolut's valuation hit (HIGH) $142.5B by October 31? | No | 415 | 94.5¢ | 98¢ | $407 | +$15 | $0 | |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | Yes | 450 | 82.2¢ | 83.5¢ | $376 | +$5.75 | $0 | |
| Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? | No | 434 | 68¢ | 84.5¢ | $367 | +$72 | $0 | |
| Will Canva's valuation hit (HIGH) $49B by October 31? | No | 373 | 97.4¢ | 95.9¢ | $357 | −$5.65 | $0 | |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.975T by October 31? | No | 359 | 96¢ | 96.6¢ | $347 | +$1.97 | $0 | |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | No | 350 | 89.6¢ | 90.8¢ | $318 | +$4.05 | $0 | |
| Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $12.5B by October 31? | No | 357 | 90¢ | 88¢ | $314 | −$7.14 | $0 | |
| Will Neuralink's valuation hit (LOW) $42.5B by October 31? | No | 301 | 87.2¢ | 90¢ | $271 | +$8.43 | $0 | |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $1.1T by October 31? | No | 279 | 96.2¢ | 96.3¢ | $269 | +$0.14 | $0 | |
| Will ByteDance's valuation hit (HIGH) $875B by October 31? | No | 264 | 99¢ | 99.3¢ | $262 | +$0.70 | $0 | |
| Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $900B by October 31? | No | 270 | 85¢ | 93.9¢ | $254 | +$24 | $0 | |
| Will Stripe's valuation hit (LOW) $157.5B by October 31? | No | 303 | 79.6¢ | 82.5¢ | $250 | +$8.60 | $0 | |
| Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.6T by October 31? | No | 255 | 92.3¢ | 97.6¢ | $249 | +$13 | $0 | |
| Will Neuralink's valuation hit (HIGH) $75B by October 31? | No | 241 | 96.1¢ | 96.5¢ | $233 | +$0.97 | $0 | |
| Will Canva's valuation hit (LOW) $26B by October 31? | No | 293 | 80¢ | 70.5¢ | $206 | −$28 | $0 | |
| Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $825B by October 31? | No | 216 | 94.8¢ | 94.1¢ | $203 | −$1.60 | $0 | |
| Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in October? | No | 200 | 93.8¢ | 99.3¢ | $199 | +$11 | $0 | |
| Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (HIGH) $85 in October? | No | 215 | 90.9¢ | 92¢ | $198 | +$2.35 | $0 | |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in October? | No | 200 | 96.2¢ | 98.6¢ | $197 | +$4.70 | $0 | |
| Will Neuralink's valuation hit (LOW) $35B by December 31? | No | 230 | 75.2¢ | 84.5¢ | $194 | +$21 | +$6.90 | |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026? | No | 200 | 94¢ | 95.8¢ | $192 | +$3.60 | $0 | |
| Will Neuralink's valuation hit (HIGH) $65B by October 31? | No | 176 | 95¢ | 99.7¢ | $175 | +$8.27 | $0 | |
| Will Anthropic announce a Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? | No | 201 | 69.2¢ | 86¢ | $173 | +$34 | $0 | |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $1.2T by October 31? | No | 208 | 78.9¢ | 81.4¢ | $169 | +$5.27 | $0 | |
| Will Meta be the third-best AI lab at the end of December 2026? | No | 250 | 66.7¢ | 66.5¢ | $167 | −$0.53 | +$9.10 | |
| Will OpenAI’s valuation be less than $600B at the end of November 2026? | No | 170 | 97.5¢ | 94.7¢ | $161 | −$4.76 | +$0.29 | |
| Anthropic IPO before 2027? | Yes | 200 | 82.7¢ | 72.5¢ | $145 | −$20 | +$5.33 | |
| Will OpenAI’s valuation be at least $1.30T at the end of October 2026? | No | 153 | 90.1¢ | 93.9¢ | $144 | +$5.82 | $0 | |
| US x China agree to pace the AI frontier in 2026? | No | 151 | 90.1¢ | 93.7¢ | $141 | +$5.35 | $0 | |
| Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (LOW) $55 in October? | No | 140 | 95.7¢ | 94.5¢ | $132 | −$1.71 | $0 | |
| Will Netflix (NFLX) close at $30-$40 on the final day of trading of the week of Oct 12 – Oct 16? | No | 120 | 99.8¢ | 99.5¢ | $119 | −$0.38 | $0 | |
| Will ByteDance's valuation hit (HIGH) $750B by October 31? | No | 121 | 96¢ | 98¢ | $119 | +$2.42 | $0 | |
| Will Neuralink's valuation hit (HIGH) $60B by October 31? | No | 141 | 88¢ | 79.5¢ | $112 | −$12 | $0 | |
| Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (HIGH) $95 in October? | No | 108 | 97.4¢ | 98.2¢ | $106 | +$0.81 | $0 | |
| Will Anduril's valuation hit (HIGH) $152.5B by October 31? | No | 100 | 95¢ | 97.2¢ | $97 | +$2.20 | $0 | |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $67,500 in October? | No | 100 | 95¢ | 96.3¢ | $96 | +$1.25 | $0 | |
| Will any AI model reach 1600 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026? | No | 96 | 83.5¢ | 94.3¢ | $90 | +$10 | +$30 | |
| Will Revolut's valuation hit (LOW) $105B by October 31? | No | 145 | 79.8¢ | 59.5¢ | $86 | −$30 | $0 | |
| OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? | No | 100 | 89¢ | 85.5¢ | $86 | −$3.50 | $0 | |
| Will Stripe's valuation hit (HIGH) $222.5B by October 31? | No | 91 | 96¢ | 92.5¢ | $84 | −$3.17 | $0 | |
| Will Epic Games' valuation hit (HIGH) $9.25B by October 31? | No | 80 | 97¢ | 89.5¢ | $72 | −$6.00 | $0 | |
| Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.35T by October 31? | No | 88 | 81.4¢ | 80.5¢ | $71 | −$0.82 | $0 | |
| Will Kraken's valuation hit (LOW) $7.5B by October 31? | No | 82 | 89.4¢ | 81¢ | $67 | −$6.87 | $0 | |
| Will Revolut's valuation hit (HIGH) $152.5B by October 31? | No | 64 | 92.8¢ | 97.8¢ | $62 | +$3.17 | $0 | |
| NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? | No | 62 | 91.5¢ | 93.5¢ | $58 | +$1.24 | +$2.07 | |
| Will Neuralink's valuation hit (LOW) $45B by October 31? | No | 121 | 69.4¢ | 47.5¢ | $57 | −$27 | $0 | |
| Will Databricks' valuation hit (HIGH) $245B by October 31? | No | 50 | 94¢ | 95.6¢ | $48 | +$0.78 | $0 | |
| Will Databricks' valuation hit (LOW) $160B by October 31? | No | 50 | 96¢ | 95.5¢ | $48 | −$0.25 | $0 | |
| Will Anduril's valuation hit (LOW) $82.5B by October 31? | No | 55 | 87¢ | 81.5¢ | $45 | −$3.02 | $0 | |
| Will Perplexity's valuation hit (HIGH) $29.5B by October 31? | No | 50 | 97¢ | 88.5¢ | $44 | −$4.25 | $0 | |
| Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $15.5B by October 31? | No | 43 | 98.8¢ | 97.6¢ | $42 | −$0.53 | $0 | |
| Will Perplexity's valuation hit (LOW) $19B by October 31? | No | 55 | 81.2¢ | 76¢ | $42 | −$2.85 | $0 | |
| Will Perplexity's valuation hit (HIGH) $27B by October 31? | No | 50 | 91¢ | 82¢ | $41 | −$4.50 | $0 | |
| Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 50 | 73¢ | 72.5¢ | $36 | −$0.25 | $0 | |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | No | 47 | 56¢ | 70.5¢ | $33 | +$6.80 | +$2.65 | |
| Will Anthropic’s valuation be between $2.00T and $2.25T at the end of October 2026? | No | 48 | 96¢ | 65¢ | $31 | −$15 | $0 | |
| Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (HIGH) $80 in October? | No | 40 | 77¢ | 76¢ | $30 | −$0.40 | $0 | |
| Will Perplexity's valuation hit (HIGH) $24.5B by October 31? | No | 50 | 86¢ | 59¢ | $30 | −$14 | $0 | |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in October? | No | 30 | 96.8¢ | 97.9¢ | $29 | +$0.32 | $0 | |
| Will Netflix (NFLX) close at $40-$50 on the final day of trading of the week of Oct 12 – Oct 16? | No | 29 | 99¢ | 93¢ | $27 | −$1.73 | $0 | |
| Claude 6 released by March 31, 2027? | Yes | 65 | 36.7¢ | 37.5¢ | $25 | +$0.54 | +$0.55 | |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by October 31? | No | 23 | 95.6¢ | 96.9¢ | $22 | +$0.30 | $0 | |
| Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? | No | 20 | 70¢ | 90.5¢ | $18 | +$4.10 | $0 | |
| Will Netflix (NFLX) close at $100-$110 on the final day of trading of the week of Oct 12 – Oct 16? | No | 19 | 99¢ | 93¢ | $18 | −$1.13 | $0 | |
| Will Netflix (NFLX) close at $90-$100 on the final day of trading of the week of Oct 12 – Oct 16? | No | 19 | 99¢ | 93¢ | $18 | −$1.13 | $0 | |
| Will Glean's valuation hit (HIGH) $9.75B by October 31? | No | 25 | 96¢ | 65.5¢ | $16 | −$7.63 | $0 | |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $1.3T by October 31? | No | 19 | 88.7¢ | 66¢ | $12 | −$4.24 | $0 | |
| Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 67 | 28¢ | 12.5¢ | $8.36 | −$10 | +$3.28 | |
| Will Canva's valuation hit (HIGH) $34B by October 31? | No | 10 | 84¢ | 62¢ | $6.20 | −$2.20 | $0 | |
| Anthropic + OpenAI vs Microsoft - higher valuation on December 31? | Microsoft | 5 | 25¢ | 73.5¢ | $3.68 | +$2.43 | −$7.00 | |
| Netanyahu out by end of 2026? | No | 5 | 55¢ | 62.5¢ | $3.13 | +$0.38 | $0 | |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 8 | 36¢ | 15.5¢ | $1.29 | −$1.71 | $0 | |
| Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 21 | 20.1¢ | 2¢ | $0.42 | −$3.81 | +$1.08 | |
| Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027? | No | 8 | 19.3¢ | 0.8¢ | $0.06 | −$1.49 | $0 | |