| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 7,000 | 50¢ | 77.9¢ | $5,450 | +$1,950 | $0 | |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 7,000 | 49.5¢ | 22.2¢ | $1,551 | −$1,913 | −$37 | |
| Will Morgan Stanley (MS) Q3 investment banking revenue be above $2.6B? | No | 610 | 85.7¢ | 82¢ | $500 | −$23 | $0 | |
| Will Khadija Shaw finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or? | Yes | 447 | 82.1¢ | 92.5¢ | $413 | +$47 | +$4.03 | |
| Will Morgan Stanley (MS) Q3 investment banking revenue be above $2.45B? | No | 468 | 72.7¢ | 70.5¢ | $330 | −$10 | +$10 | |
| Will Melchie Dumornay finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or? | Yes | 283 | 74.4¢ | 95¢ | $269 | +$58 | +$8.36 | |
| Will Citigroup (C) Q3 provision for credit losses be above $2.2B? | Yes | 278 | 83.4¢ | 79¢ | $220 | −$12 | $0 | |
| Will Anthropic's frontier output token price be at or above $75 in 2026? | No | 280 | 70.9¢ | 78¢ | $218 | +$20 | −$1.61 | |
| Will JP Morgan (JPM) Q3 investment banking fees be above $3.5B? | No | 193 | 89.1¢ | 91.4¢ | $176 | +$4.25 | +$6.56 | |
| Will Cata Coll finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or? | No | 150 | 89.3¢ | 91¢ | $137 | +$2.50 | +$8.88 | |
| Will Tessa Wullaert finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or? | No | 136 | 89.7¢ | 92¢ | $125 | +$3.17 | +$33 | |
| Will Chase Meidroth win a 2026 AL Gold Glove Award? | Yes | 201 | 23.4¢ | 58.5¢ | $118 | +$70 | +$19 | |
| AWS service disrupted by September 30? | No | 120 | 82.9¢ | 86¢ | $103 | +$3.75 | −$5.34 | |
| Will Claude Opus's output price be at or above $30 in 2026? | No | 130 | 70.3¢ | 77.5¢ | $101 | +$9.32 | +$54 | |
| Will Klara Buhl finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or? | No | 98 | 92.8¢ | 94¢ | $92 | +$1.21 | −$1.33 | |
| Will Ewa Pajor finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or? | Yes | 98 | 89.5¢ | 93.5¢ | $91 | +$3.90 | +$3.83 | |
| Will Claude Fable's output price be at or above $60 in 2026? | No | 99 | 78.1¢ | 87¢ | $87 | +$8.85 | +$9.60 | |
| Will Rose Lavelle finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or? | No | 87 | 95.1¢ | 97.5¢ | $85 | +$2.06 | −$6.62 | |
| Will Wendie Renard finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or? | No | 86 | 95¢ | 95.5¢ | $82 | +$0.43 | +$11 | |
| Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 75% or higher? | No | 86 | 90¢ | 89.5¢ | $77 | −$0.43 | −$2.27 | |
| Will GE Aerospace (GE) Q3 adjusted revenue be above $14B? | No | 96 | 86.2¢ | 73¢ | $70 | −$13 | $0 | |
| Will Cole Young win a 2026 AL Gold Glove Award? | Yes | 202 | 22¢ | 33¢ | $67 | +$22 | +$1.26 | |
| Will Cata Coll finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or? | No | 61 | 94.9¢ | 94.7¢ | $58 | −$0.17 | $0 | |
| Will the highest score achieved by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher? | No | 94 | 61.2¢ | 60.5¢ | $57 | −$0.68 | −$3.97 | |
| Will Alexia Putellas finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or? | Yes | 61 | 90¢ | 89.9¢ | $55 | −$0.06 | +$17 | |
| Will Melvine Malard finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or? | No | 55 | 92¢ | 95.5¢ | $53 | +$1.93 | +$0.13 | |
| Will the highest score achieved by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 45% or higher? | No | 224 | 13.6¢ | 22.2¢ | $50 | +$19 | +$144 | |
| Will Ewa Pajor finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or? | Yes | 61 | 64.3¢ | 75¢ | $46 | +$6.51 | +$5.52 | |
| Will Wendie Renard finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or? | No | 41 | 93.5¢ | 96.5¢ | $40 | +$1.19 | $0 | |
| Will Chandler Simpson win a 2026 AL Gold Glove Award? | No | 40 | 94¢ | 87¢ | $35 | −$2.81 | −$0.06 | |
| Will Klara Buhl finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or? | Yes | 62 | 47¢ | 51¢ | $32 | +$2.48 | +$40 | |
| Will the highest score achieved by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher? | No | 32 | 89.5¢ | 90.5¢ | $29 | +$0.32 | +$4.72 | |
| Will Melvine Malard finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or? | No | 21 | 85¢ | 94.5¢ | $20 | +$2.00 | +$6.35 | |
| Will Mariona Caldentey finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or? | No | 20 | 88¢ | 89.5¢ | $18 | +$0.30 | +$6.99 | |
| Will Phil Murphy announce a Presidential run before 2028? | No | 20 | 92¢ | 78¢ | $16 | −$2.80 | $0 | |
| Will Matt Olson win a 2026 NL Gold Glove Award? | Yes | 20 | 25¢ | 62.5¢ | $13 | +$7.50 | $0 | |
| Will UK annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 0% and 1%? | Yes | 151 | 6¢ | 6.9¢ | $10 | +$1.29 | +$7.72 | |
| Kimi K4 released by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 174 | 8.3¢ | 5.5¢ | $9.56 | −$4.81 | −$0.10 | |
| Will Tomás Job Delgado Zúñiga win the next Arequipa mayoral elections? | No | 9 | 95¢ | 100¢ | $9.00 | +$0.45 | −$0.80 | |
| Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) Q3 gross profit margin 66% to 67%? | Yes | 52 | 22¢ | 17¢ | $8.84 | −$2.60 | +$9.18 | |
| Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) Q3 gross profit margin 67% to 68%? | Yes | 22 | 39.7¢ | 35¢ | $7.54 | −$1.01 | $0 | |
| Will Ty France win a 2026 NL Gold Glove Award? | Yes | 20 | 36¢ | 35.5¢ | $7.10 | −$0.10 | $0 | |
| Will Ceddanne Rafaela win a 2026 AL Gold Glove Award? | No | 40 | 13¢ | 14¢ | $5.60 | +$0.40 | +$4.66 | |
| Will Sofia Jarl be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Dalarna? | Yes | 69 | 4.2¢ | 5.9¢ | $4.13 | +$1.21 | $0 | |
| Will Anthropic's frontier output token price be at or above $50 in 2026? | No | 8 | 58.5¢ | 49.5¢ | $3.92 | −$0.71 | +$13 | |
| Will Stephen Kinnock be the first to leave the Burnham cabinet? | Yes | 49 | 4.3¢ | 2.7¢ | $1.30 | −$0.81 | $0 | |
| Will Mapi León finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or? | Yes | 21 | 7¢ | 5.5¢ | $1.16 | −$0.32 | $0 | |
| Will Golden State Warriors win the 2027 NBA Finals? | Yes | 100 | 3.1¢ | 1.1¢ | $1.05 | −$2.05 | $0 | |
| Will Fredrik Larsson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Värmland? | Yes | 48 | 0.9¢ | 2¢ | $0.93 | +$0.48 | +$0.86 | |
| Will the Oklahoma City Thunder make the 2027 NBA Play-In Tournament? | Yes | 15 | 11¢ | 5¢ | $0.77 | −$0.92 | $0 | |
| Will Ewa Pajor win the 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or? | Yes | 20 | 7.4¢ | 3.2¢ | $0.63 | −$0.85 | $0 | |
| Will Holtec Nuclear not IPO before November 2026? | No | 9 | 4.4¢ | 6.4¢ | $0.58 | +$0.18 | +$119 | |
| Will DF win the most seats in the 2026 Bosnian general election? | Yes | 3 | 9¢ | 0.8¢ | $0.02 | −$0.23 | −$2.19 | |
| Will Isaias make landfall in Louisiana as a hurricane? | Yes | 2 | 3¢ | 0.5¢ | $0.01 | −$0.04 | −$26 | |
| Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | Yes | 41.7k | 2.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1,202 | $0 | |
| Will Erik Seidel Make the Final Table in the 2026 WSOP Main Event? | Yes | 2,000 | 0.1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$2.00 | $0 | |
| Will Alex Foxen Make the Final Table in the 2026 WSOP Main Event? | Yes | 2,000 | 0.1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$2.00 | $0 | |
| Will Gerard Piqué Make the Final Table in the 2026 WSOP Main Event? | Yes | 2,000 | 0.1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$2.00 | $0 | |
| Will Daniel Negreanu Make the Final Table in the 2026 WSOP Main Event? | Yes | 2,000 | 0.1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$2.00 | $0 | |
| Will Chris Moneymaker Make the Final Table in the 2026 WSOP Main Event? | Yes | 2,000 | 0.1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$2.00 | $0 | |
| Will Jeremy Ausmus Make the Final Table in the 2026 WSOP Main Event? | Yes | 2,000 | 0.1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$2.00 | $0 | |
| Indiana lions in custody by Friday noon ET? | Yes | 1,640 | 2.4¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$40 | +$4.43 | |
| Will Damian Salas cash in the WSOP 2026 Main Event? | Yes | 1,600 | 37.3¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$597 | −$1.92 | |
| Will TikTok Pro - Events be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on July 24? | Yes | 1,260 | 0.2¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$2.80 | $0 | |
| Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | Yes | 1,100 | 20¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$220 | $0 | |
| Will ChatGPT be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on July 24? | No | 1,044 | 0.2¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$2.20 | −$0.04 | |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1480? | Yes | 1,007 | 71.5¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$720 | −$26 | |
| Lacy and Marlon beat gaming challenge by September 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET? | Yes | 1,000 | 0.1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1.00 | −$4.40 | |
| Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (LOW) $2.75 Week of August 17 2026? | Yes | 805 | 5.5¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$44 | −$1.77 | |
| Will Pamela Evette be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? | Yes | 749 | 11.7¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$87 | −$103 | |
| Will it rain in Phoenix, AZ on August 24? | No | 638 | 5¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$32 | +$0.57 | |
| Will Dharmendra Pradhan be out as Minister of Education of India by July 31? | No | 560 | 10.2¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$57 | −$0.29 | |
| Will Lucy Powell be the next Culture Secretary of the UK in 2026? | Yes | 516 | 4.8¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$25 | −$0.26 | |
| Will David Crowley win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 1–1.2%? | Yes | 500 | 0.5¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$2.50 | +$9.38 | |
| Will there be 3+ bonus swing home runs during the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby? | No | 471 | 1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$4.94 | +$1.84 | |
| Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $360 Week of July 13 2026? | Yes | 400 | 0.3¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1.30 | $0 | |
| Will Alan Wilson win the South Carolina Republican Governor Primary Runoff by at least 15%? | No | 400 | 7.4¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$29 | −$7.85 | |
| Will Jackson Lahmeyer be the Republican nominee for OK-01? | Yes | 400 | 22¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$88 | −$4.55 | |
| Will Robert Eichele cash in the WSOP 2026 Main Event? | No | 322 | 0.2¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$0.49 | +$2.49 | |
| Will OpenAI's Astra model be released on September 6, 2026? | Yes | 295 | 9.2¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$27 | −$2.31 | |
| Will Elizabeth Lee be the AZ-05 Democratic nominee? | No | 291 | 5.6¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$16 | −$2.84 | |
| Will Arkansas have D4 (Exceptional Drought) this week? | No | 289 | 15.2¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$44 | +$17 | |
| Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (HIGH) $154 Week of July 13 2026? | Yes | 278 | 2¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$5.61 | +$0.64 | |
| Will Texas have D4 (Exceptional Drought) this week? | No | 272 | 7.2¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$20 | +$70 | |
| Will OpenAI's Astra model be released on September 5, 2026? | Yes | 241 | 14.1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$34 | +$3.66 | |
| Will Trump post "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" on Truth Social this week? | Yes | 240 | 0.5¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1.20 | $0 | |
| Philadelphia Air Quality Index below 100 by July 19, 2026? | No | 219 | 0.1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$0.22 | +$15 | |
| Will Attovia Therapeutics' market cap be at least $1B at market close on IPO day? | Yes | 216 | 18¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$39 | −$0.51 | |
| Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 11? | Yes | 209 | 2.5¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$5.32 | −$2.46 | |
| Will Core PCE YoY be 3.4% in July? | Yes | 204 | 0¢ | 0¢ | $0 | $0 | $0 | |
| Lacy and Marlon beat gaming challenge by September 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET? | Yes | 200 | 5.7¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$11 | +$6.15 | |
| Will Chris James be the AZ-05 Democratic nominee? | Yes | 200 | 3.5¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$7.10 | +$43 | |
| Will anyone say "Slamming Them Down" during 2026 Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Contest? | Yes | 200 | 1.4¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$2.76 | −$0.07 | |
| Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $435 Week of July 13 2026? | Yes | 200 | 0.1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$0.20 | $0 | |
| Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 200 | 0.8¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1.60 | −$0.05 | |
| Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 200 | 0.8¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1.60 | −$0.05 | |
| Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 200 | 1.6¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$3.20 | −$0.09 | |
| Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 4–8%? | Yes | 200 | 0.8¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1.60 | −$0.06 | |
| Will Marcus Nordmark be drafted in the top 3 of the 2026 NHL Draft? | Yes | 200 | 2.1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$4.10 | −$0.12 | |
| Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 200 | 1.1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$2.20 | −$0.07 | |
