PnL all-time+$16vol $1,148
PnL 30d$0gains $0 · losses $0
PnL 7d$0win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate60.0%adj 53.3% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$100cash n/a
Positions1 / 11open / all-time
Max drawdown−0.4%of equity peak
Account age12molast trade 9mo ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL+$16below peak −$2.85Oct 12
SharpScore inputs
23/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale17
Adjusted win rateraw 60.0% · shrunk toward 50%33
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable35
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d0
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity100
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Worst markets
Open positions · 1
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Jesus Christ return in 2025? | No | 100 | 98.9¢ | 100¢ | $100 | +$1.10 | $0 |
Recent trades
auto-refresh 30s
| Time | Side | Market | Price | Shares | Value | Trader WR | Sharp | Flags | Transaction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SELL Yes | Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting? | 1.4¢ | 100 | $1.40 | 60% | 23 | |||
| SELL Yes | Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting? | 19¢ | 100 | $19 | 60% | 23 | |||
| BUY Yes | Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting? | 1.5¢ | 100 | $1.50 | 60% | 23 | |||
| BUY Yes | Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting? | 24¢ | 100 | $24 | 60% | 23 | |||
| SELL Yes | Will Stable launch a token in 2025? | 93¢ | 100 | $93 | 60% | 23 | |||
| SELL No | Will Stable launch a token in 2025? | 8¢ | 30 | $2.40 | 60% | 23 | |||
| BUY No | Will Stable launch a token in 2025? | 15¢ | 10 | $1.50 | 60% | 23 | |||
| SELL No | Over $1.4B committed to the MegaETH public sale? | 53¢ | 100 | $53 | 60% | 23 | |||
| SELL No | Xi Jinping out in 2025? | 96.4¢ | 10 | $9.64 | 60% | 23 | |||
| SELL Yes | Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31? | 99.9¢ | 14 | $14 | 60% | 23 | |||
| SELL No | Over $3B committed to the MegaETH public sale? | 99.4¢ | 10 | $9.94 | 60% | 23 | |||
| BUY No | Over $3B committed to the MegaETH public sale? | 99.5¢ | 10 | $9.95 | 60% | 23 | |||
| BUY Yes | Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31? | 79¢ | 4 | $3.00 | 60% | 23 |