PnL all-time+$2,392vol $126k
PnL 30d+$1,446gains $1,572 · losses $220
PnL 7d+$558win rate 7d 100.0%
Win rate50.7%adj 50.6% · 30d 76.7%
Open value$823cash n/a
Positions4 / 301open / all-time
Max drawdown−10.9%of equity peak
Account age10molast trade 2h ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL+$2,435below peak $0Oct 12
SharpScore inputs
64/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale48
Adjusted win rateraw 50.7% · shrunk toward 50%27
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable83
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d100
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity89
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Will Iran target an Arab country by September 30, 2026? · Yesclosed+$1,137Will Iran target a Arab country on August 17, 2026? · Yesclosed+$357Ukraine strikes another vessel in the Black Sea by August 8, 2026? · Yesclosed+$242Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31? · Yesclosed+$155Will Israel take military action in Gaza on March 28, 2026? · Yesclosed+$154
Worst markets
Israel military action against Lebanon on September 18? · Yesclosed−$100Will there be exactly 7 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 11 - 17? · Yesclosed−$64UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card) · Ilia Topuriaclosed−$50Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026? · Noclosed−$50Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? · Yesclosed−$41
Open positions · 4
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel military action against Lebanon on October 12? | Yes | 718 | 97.5¢ | 98.9¢ | $709 | +$9.35 | $0 | |
| Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on October 8? | Yes | 62 | 92¢ | 96.5¢ | $60 | +$2.79 | $0 | |
| Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on October 5? | Yes | 48 | 94¢ | 95.4¢ | $46 | +$0.65 | $0 | |
| Will Manel Kape be the UFC Flyweight Champion on December 31, 2026? | Yes | 470 | 1.3¢ | 1.8¢ | $8.46 | +$2.51 | +$46 |
Recent trades
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