sharpside
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Traders/Rank #3,744

MaxPowell

0x353…2af5
WhaleWR 70+WR 60+1y+PoliticsOther
Polymarket
PnL all-time−$13.4kvol $458k
PnL 30d+$1,279gains $0 · losses $0
PnL 7d+$695win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate71.4%adj 65.2% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$60.3kcash n/a
Positions14 / 63open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age1.2ylast trade 14d ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL−$9,062below peak −$18.2kOct 8

SharpScore inputs

25/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 71.4% · shrunk toward 50%63
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable60
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d51
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 14

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31?No26.0k94.5¢95.7¢$24.9k+$299$0
US recession by end of 2026?No24.4k79.5¢93.5¢$22.8k+$3,413$0
Will inflation reach more than 10% in 2026?No2,55492.1¢97.6¢$2,491+$140$0
US takes Panama Canal before 2027?No2,50088¢97.6¢$2,440+$240$0
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?No2,00098.7¢98.8¢$1,975+$1.00$0
Will the U.S. national debt hit $42 trillion before 2027?No2,03988.7¢95.8¢$1,953+$144$0
NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027?No1,70089¢90.5¢$1,539+$26$0
New Coronavirus Pandemic in 2026?No72696.4¢95.8¢$696−$4.52$0
OpenAI vs Meta — higher valuation on December 31?Meta74885.8¢92.5¢$692+$50$0
Amazon 2026 capex above $170B?Yes25795.8¢99.3¢$255+$8.89$0
Will US GDP growth in Q3 2026 be less than 0.5%?No24699¢98.9¢$244−$0.15$0
Will US GDP growth in Q3 2026 be greater than 3.0%?Yes27072.5¢70.5¢$191−$5.36$0
Will Trump reduce the deficit before 2027? No12470¢92.4¢$114+$28$0
Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?No1,15584.1¢0¢$0−$972$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY NoWill Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31?94.5¢6,000$5,67071%25
BUY MetaOpenAI vs Meta — higher valuation on December 31?85.8¢748$64271%25
BUY NoNew Coronavirus Pandemic in 2026?96.4¢726$70071%25
BUY NoWill Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31?94.5¢20.0k$18.9k71%25Whale
BUY NoUS recession by end of 2026?92¢1,932$1,77871%25
BUY NoWill the U.S. national debt hit $42 trillion before 2027?95¢869$82571%25
BUY YesWill US GDP growth in Q3 2026 be greater than 3.0%?72.5¢270$19671%25
BUY NoWill US GDP growth in Q3 2026 be less than 0.5%?99.2¢165$16471%25
BUY NoWill US GDP growth in Q3 2026 be less than 0.5%?98.4¢81$8071%25
BUY YesAmazon 2026 capex above $170B?95.8¢257$24671%25
BUY NoTesla and xAI merger officially announced by June 30?96.8¢111$10871%25
BUY NoTesla and xAI merger officially announced by June 30?96.9¢653$63371%25
BUY NoTesla and xAI merger officially announced by June 30?96.6¢1,809$1,74771%25
BUY NoStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?98.6¢40.0k$39.4k71%25Whale
BUY NoStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?99.6¢169$16871%25
BUY NoStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?99.6¢17.0k$16.9k71%25Whale
BUY NoStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?68¢7,279$4,95071%25
BUY NoUS recession by end of 2026?70.8¢6,700$4,74671%25
BUY NoWill Deutsche Bank fail by June 30, 2026?98.2¢1,023$1,00571%25
BUY NoWill 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day in March?91¢4,289$3,90371%25