PnL all-time−$12vol $27.0k
PnL 30d+$20gains $21 · losses $2.22
PnL 7d+$6.48win rate 7d 88.9%
Win rate95.2%adj 90.4% · 30d 95.8%
Open value$20cash n/a
Positions2 / 172open / all-time
Max drawdown−14.0%of equity peak
Account age7molast trade 14h ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL+$14below peak −$26Oct 10
SharpScore inputs
67/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 95.2% · shrunk toward 50%100
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable75
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d98
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity86
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on June 5? · Noclosed+$9.33Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on June 11? · Noclosed+$6.89Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on May 28? · Noclosed+$6.16Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 19°C or below on October 10? · Noclosed+$6.04Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on May 6? · Noclosed+$5.51
Worst markets
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 23°C on April 16? · Noclosed−$90Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on May 8? · Noclosed−$86Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on June 15? · Noclosed−$38Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on July 12? · Noclosed−$2.32Will the highest temperature in Busan be 24°C on October 10? · Noclosed−$2.22
Open positions · 2
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | No | 21 | 96.2¢ | 97¢ | $20 | +$0.16 | $0 | |
| Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Yes | 10 | 11.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1.19 | $0 |
Recent trades
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