sharpside
LIVE--:--:-- UTCdata as of —24h vol —trades —whale trades —markets —Polymarket flow, ranked — who’s sharp, who’s early, where size is moving.
Traders/Rank #3,526

8014a3d96c

0x359…c68c
WR 80+WR 70+WR 60+PoliticsOtherCrypto
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$2,789vol $207k
PnL 30d−$3,154gains $6,443 · losses $7,511
PnL 7d+$8,573win rate 7d 71.4%
Win rate86.4%adj 69.0% · 30d 81.8%
Open value$6,150cash n/a
Positions20 / 42open / all-time
Max drawdown−71.1%of equity peak
Account age3molast trade 23h ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$3,155below peak −$7,770Oct 10

SharpScore inputs

38/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale49
Adjusted win rateraw 86.4% · shrunk toward 50%73
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable54
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d97
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity29

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Will US crude oil reserves fall to 280M by September 25, 2026? · Noopen+$3,640Will the Moderate Party (M) win the third most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? · Noclosed+$3,165Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting? · Yesclosed+$917Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting? · Yesclosed+$661Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yesclosed+$624

Worst markets

Bitcoin Up or Down on October 5? · Downclosed−$7,001Will Anthropic IPO by November 15, 2026? · Noclosed−$510Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 Winner · Natus Vincereopen−$360Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? · Noopen−$353Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? · Yesclosed−$325

Open positions · 20

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 280M by September 25, 2026?No4,11111¢100¢$4,111+$3,660−$20
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?No1,11065¢93.5¢$1,038+$316$0
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes1,17642.5¢24.5¢$288−$212+$760
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 12?No4,8007.1¢5.4¢$257−$83$0
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?No70752.6¢28.4¢$201−$171+$268
Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31?Yes76117.9¢18¢$137+$0.57$0
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?Yes1,25016.4¢7.5¢$94−$111+$135
Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?Yes2757¢6.5¢$18−$1.37$0
US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by October 31?Yes6946.7¢8.6¢$5.97−$26$0
Will Ethereum dip to $1,200 in July?Yes10.0k0.2¢0¢$0−$20−$1.40
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?No6,8615¢0¢$0−$343−$9.84
Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in July?Yes5,0000.9¢0¢$0−$45−$3.12
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 WinnerNatus Vincere77746¢0¢$0−$357−$2.29
Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Yes60839.9¢0¢$0−$243−$5.76
Will the total domestic gross for The Odyssey be between 530m and 550m by August 31?Yes50158.6¢0¢$0−$294−$6.07
Will Moderate Party (M) win between 16% and 18% of all valid votes?Yes45939¢0¢$0−$179−$4.37
Fed rate hike in 2026?No43834¢0¢$0−$149+$34
Set 2 Winner: Hsu/Watanabe vs Milavsky/ShickHsu/Watanabe3301¢0¢$0−$3.30−$0.16
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 21?Yes25946¢0¢$0−$119$0
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 in July?Yes2201.7¢0¢$0−$3.64−$0.25

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY NoUS x Iran ceasefire continues through October 12?7.1¢4,200$29886%38
BUY NoUS x Iran ceasefire continues through October 12?7¢600$4286%38
BUY YesIran charges Hormuz fees by December 31?17.9¢761$13686%38
BUY YesIran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?7¢275$1986%38
BUY Natus VincereCounter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 Winner46¢184$8586%38
BUY FlyQuestLoL: FlyQuest vs Shopify Rebellion - Game 1 Winner68¢1,000$68086%38
BUY UpBitcoin Up or Down on October 5?99.9¢5,000$4,99586%38
BUY UpBitcoin Up or Down on October 5?99.9¢7,000$6,99386%38
BUY DownBitcoin Up or Down on October 5?68.5¢10.0k$6,85086%38
BUY NoWill Anthropic IPO by November 15, 2026?83.5¢1,500$1,25286%38
SELL YesNATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?20¢3,750$75086%38
BUY YesWill Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?51¢613$31386%38
SELL YesWill United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?95.5¢5,555$5,30586%38
BUY YesWill United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?96¢810$77886%38
SELL NoWill Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?41.9¢36$1586%38
BUY YesWill Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?57.9¢1,447$83986%38
BUY NoWill Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?56.7¢2,066$1,17186%38
BUY NoWill Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?44¢510$22586%38
BUY YesWill Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?43.2¢106$4686%38
BUY YesWill Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?39.7¢1,020$40586%38