PnL all-time+$66vol $91.0k
PnL 30d+$0.86gains $0 · losses $0
PnL 7d+$0.32win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate88.9%adj 78.4% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$254cash n/a
Positions5 / 65open / all-time
Max drawdown−2.3%of equity peak
Account age2.4ylast trade 4mo ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL+$68below peak $0Oct 12
SharpScore inputs
51/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale26
Adjusted win rateraw 88.9% · shrunk toward 50%96
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable60
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d0
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity98
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31? · Yesclosed+$5,200Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026? · Noclosed+$17Will Monad perform an airdrop by November 30? · Yesclosed+$8.77Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025? · Noclosed+$8.03Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET · Upclosed+$6.27
Worst markets
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31? · Noclosed−$5,200Will "The Substance" win Best Picture at the 2025 Oscars? · Yesclosed−$8.18Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary? · Yesclosed−$3.28Fed decreases interest rates by 75+ bps after November 2024 meeting? · Yesclosed−$0.80Will the FED change rates to another level after December meeting? · Yesclosed−$0.40
Open positions · 5
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fed abolished before 2027? | No | 103 | 97.2¢ | 98.6¢ | $102 | +$1.46 | $0 | |
| Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 59 | 99.3¢ | 99.9¢ | $59 | +$0.32 | $0 | |
| Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 50 | 99.5¢ | 99.7¢ | $50 | +$0.07 | $0 | |
| Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | 22 | 99.2¢ | 99.9¢ | $22 | +$0.16 | $0 | |
| Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 22 | 99.1¢ | 99.8¢ | $22 | +$0.14 | $0 |
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