| Will Brad Bradford win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election? | No | 2,215 | 76.1¢ | 72.5¢ | $1,606 | −$80 | +$19 | |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | Yes | 561 | 20¢ | 84.5¢ | $474 | +$362 | +$491 | |
| Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election? | No | 1,662 | 22.6¢ | 27.5¢ | $457 | +$81 | +$132 | |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released between October 5 and October 11, 2026? | No | 122 | 99.6¢ | 99.8¢ | $122 | +$0.17 | −$39 | |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released between October 26 and November 1, 2026? | No | 122 | 99.1¢ | 99.2¢ | $121 | +$0.11 | −$38 | |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released between October 19 and October 25, 2026? | No | 122 | 97.9¢ | 96.6¢ | $118 | −$1.70 | −$26 | |
| Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C or below on October 10? | No | 116 | 99.9¢ | 99.9¢ | $116 | −$0.06 | $0 | |
| Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on October 10? | No | 116 | 99.8¢ | 99.8¢ | $116 | −$0.06 | $0 | |
| Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on October 10? | No | 116 | 99.3¢ | 99.7¢ | $116 | +$0.38 | $0 | |
| Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 22°C on October 10? | No | 116 | 99.5¢ | 99.4¢ | $116 | −$0.15 | $0 | |
| Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 21°C on October 10? | No | 116 | 96.4¢ | 97.6¢ | $114 | +$1.45 | $0 | |
| Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on October 10? | No | 116 | 97.9¢ | 97.1¢ | $113 | −$0.97 | $0 | |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released between October 12 and October 18, 2026? | No | 110 | 95.8¢ | 94.5¢ | $104 | −$1.45 | −$45 | |
| Will PSOE win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election? | No | 116 | 81.5¢ | 81¢ | $94 | −$0.53 | +$376 | |
| Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on October 10? | No | 121 | 75.5¢ | 71.5¢ | $87 | −$4.86 | $0 | |
| Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 20°C on October 10? | No | 105 | 72.5¢ | 75.5¢ | $80 | +$3.20 | $0 | |
| Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? | Yes | 123 | 16.7¢ | 62¢ | $77 | +$56 | +$241 | |
| Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 23°C on October 10? | No | 76 | 99.7¢ | 99.6¢ | $76 | −$0.13 | $0 | |
| Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on October 10? | No | 105 | 55.6¢ | 57¢ | $60 | +$1.52 | $0 | |
| Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 20°C on October 9? | No | 46 | 99.9¢ | 99.9¢ | $46 | $0 | $0 | |
| Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 21°C on October 9? | No | 46 | 99.9¢ | 99.9¢ | $46 | −$0.02 | $0 | |
| Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 13°C or below on October 9? | No | 46 | 99.9¢ | 99.5¢ | $46 | −$0.19 | $0 | |
| Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 19°C on October 9? | No | 46 | 99.3¢ | 99.4¢ | $45 | $0 | $0 | |
| Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 14°C on October 9? | No | 46 | 99.5¢ | 99.1¢ | $45 | −$0.22 | $0 | |
| Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 18°C on October 9? | No | 46 | 89.7¢ | 94¢ | $43 | +$1.97 | $0 | |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? | Yes | 102 | 2.9¢ | 40.5¢ | $41 | +$38 | +$35 | |
| Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting? | No | 39 | 99¢ | 99.3¢ | $39 | +$0.10 | −$107 | |
| Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 15°C on October 9? | No | 46 | 84¢ | 84.5¢ | $39 | +$0.23 | $0 | |
| Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 28°C on October 8? | No | 31 | 98.5¢ | 100¢ | $31 | +$0.45 | −$18 | |
| Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C or below on October 8? | No | 31 | 99.4¢ | 100¢ | $31 | +$0.17 | −$19 | |
| Will 1win Win the ESL Pro League Season 24? | No | 32 | 98.8¢ | 98.8¢ | $31 | −$0.01 | −$15 | |
| Will PARIVISION Win the ESL Pro League Season 24? | No | 32 | 98.5¢ | 98.5¢ | $31 | $0 | −$11 | |
| Will FURIA Win the ESL Pro League Season 24? | No | 32 | 95.8¢ | 95.3¢ | $30 | −$0.18 | −$5.31 | |
| Will Aurora Win the ESL Pro League Season 24? | No | 32 | 96.2¢ | 94.9¢ | $30 | −$0.42 | −$10 | |
| Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on October 9? | No | 46 | 65.4¢ | 63¢ | $29 | −$1.09 | $0 | |
| Will CDPJuniorFC win on 2026-08-10? | Yes | 43 | 66.4¢ | 66.5¢ | $28 | +$0.06 | $0 | |
| Will MOUZ Win the ESL Pro League Season 24? | No | 32 | 84.6¢ | 86.5¢ | $27 | +$0.61 | +$27 | |
| Will Falcons Win the ESL Pro League Season 24? | No | 31 | 83.1¢ | 86.5¢ | $26 | +$1.05 | +$32 | |
| Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 16°C on October 9? | No | 46 | 59.1¢ | 56.5¢ | $26 | −$1.18 | $0 | |
| Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record? | Yes | 56 | 16.7¢ | 38.5¢ | $22 | +$12 | +$116 | |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-13 House election by 75%-80%? | No | 22 | 87.8¢ | 84.2¢ | $19 | −$0.80 | +$3.31 | |
| Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by November 1, 2026? | No | 124 | 6.9¢ | 12¢ | $15 | +$6.32 | +$147 | |
| Will CDPJuniorFC vs. Deportivo Pereira end in a draw? | Yes | 43 | 22.2¢ | 24.5¢ | $10 | +$1.00 | $0 | |
| Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026? | Yes | 46 | 16.7¢ | 22.5¢ | $10 | +$2.70 | +$144 | |
| Will BNK FEARX win the Demacia Cup Global Invitational 2026? | Yes | 40 | 7.7¢ | 24¢ | $9.58 | +$6.51 | +$20 | |
| Will LGD Gaming win the Demacia Cup Global Invitational 2026? | Yes | 103 | 7.7¢ | 8.8¢ | $9.08 | +$1.14 | +$44 | |
| Will SpaceX have between 140-159 launches in 2026? | Yes | 10 | 39.9¢ | 75¢ | $7.50 | +$3.50 | $0 | |
| Will the highest temperature in Busan be 26°C on October 9? | Yes | 11 | 59¢ | 59.5¢ | $6.65 | +$0.06 | $0 | |
| Will Spirit Win the ESL Pro League Season 24? | No | 5 | 82.9¢ | 82.5¢ | $4.46 | −$0.02 | +$0.37 | |
| Will 3 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? | Yes | 53 | 16.7¢ | 8¢ | $4.21 | −$4.62 | +$53 | |
| Will Deportivo Pereira win on 2026-08-10? | Yes | 43 | 8.5¢ | 9¢ | $3.84 | +$0.19 | $0 | |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 GA-13 House election by 45%-50%? | No | 5 | 56¢ | 72.5¢ | $3.63 | +$0.82 | $0 | |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | Yes | 19 | 20¢ | 15.5¢ | $2.94 | −$0.85 | +$11 | |
| Will the highest temperature in Busan be 27°C on October 9? | Yes | 11 | 21¢ | 21¢ | $2.35 | $0 | $0 | |
| Will there be 20 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? | No | 2 | 93¢ | 98.5¢ | $1.96 | +$0.11 | $0 | |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 2 | 93.8¢ | 85¢ | $1.70 | −$0.18 | $0 | |
| Will KT Rolster win the Demacia Cup Global Invitational 2026? | No | 3 | 52.2¢ | 53¢ | $1.50 | +$0.02 | +$106 | |
| Will LOUD win VALORANT Champions 2026? | Yes | 9 | 5.3¢ | 15.8¢ | $1.42 | +$0.95 | +$8.05 | |
| Will Artificial Inu be the first to hit a $1B FDV? | Yes | 16 | 20¢ | 8¢ | $1.28 | −$1.92 | +$9.60 | |
| Will the highest temperature in Busan be 25°C on October 9? | Yes | 11 | 11¢ | 9.5¢ | $1.06 | −$0.17 | $0 | |
| Will SpaceX have between 120-139 launches in 2026? | Yes | 10 | 15.5¢ | 8.6¢ | $0.86 | −$0.69 | $0 | |
| Will Democrats win exactly 1 House seat in Iowa in the 2026 midterm elections? | Yes | 6 | 20¢ | 14.3¢ | $0.86 | −$0.34 | +$0.66 | |
| Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from São Paulo? | No | 44 | 1.8¢ | 1.6¢ | $0.67 | −$0.10 | +$106 | |
| Will HANJIN BRION win the Demacia Cup Global Invitational 2026? | Yes | 10 | 7.7¢ | 7¢ | $0.67 | −$0.07 | +$15 | |
| U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "United Kingdom" before 2027? | Yes | 5 | 25¢ | 10.5¢ | $0.53 | −$0.72 | $0 | |
| Will the Fed Hike–Hike–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)? | Yes | 6 | 11.1¢ | 8.5¢ | $0.51 | −$0.16 | +$5.44 | |
| Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Alagoas? | No | 12 | 4.9¢ | 4.2¢ | $0.49 | −$0.09 | +$63 | |
| Will SpaceX have between 180-199 launches in 2026? | Yes | 10 | 18.3¢ | 4.9¢ | $0.48 | −$1.35 | $0 | |
| Will Xiaomi have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? | Yes | 151 | 2.9¢ | 0.3¢ | $0.38 | −$3.94 | $0 | |
| Will the highest temperature in Busan be 28°C on October 9? | Yes | 11 | 3¢ | 2.9¢ | $0.33 | −$0.01 | $0 | |
| Will FlyQuest win the Demacia Cup Global Invitational 2026? | Yes | 25 | 7.7¢ | 1.2¢ | $0.28 | −$1.62 | +$24 | |
| Bank of Japan decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting? | Yes | 545 | 20¢ | 0.1¢ | $0.27 | −$109 | $0 | |
| Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)? | Yes | 11 | 11.1¢ | 2.1¢ | $0.23 | −$0.99 | +$4.28 | |
| Will Republican House incumbents not win in between seven and nine nominating elections in the 2026 cycle? | Yes | 7 | 16.7¢ | 3.2¢ | $0.22 | −$0.95 | $0 | |
| Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 34°C on October 8? | Yes | 397 | 2.8¢ | 0.1¢ | $0.20 | −$11 | +$140 | |
| Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 31°C on October 8? | Yes | 382 | 4.7¢ | 0.1¢ | $0.19 | −$18 | +$20 | |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-13 House election by 85% or more? | Yes | 12 | 7.7¢ | 1.5¢ | $0.17 | −$0.75 | +$10 | |
| Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | Yes | 4 | 20¢ | 4.3¢ | $0.17 | −$0.63 | +$14 | |
| Bank of Japan decreases interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | Yes | 338 | 20¢ | 0.1¢ | $0.17 | −$67 | +$62 | |
| Will You Can See Everything win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? | Yes | 10 | 2.2¢ | 1.2¢ | $0.12 | −$0.10 | $0 | |
| Will Nvidia have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? | Yes | 239 | 2.9¢ | 0.1¢ | $0.12 | −$6.71 | $0 | |
| Will Thinky have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? | Yes | 239 | 2.9¢ | 0.1¢ | $0.12 | −$6.71 | $0 | |
| Will StepFun have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? | Yes | 239 | 2.9¢ | 0.1¢ | $0.12 | −$6.71 | $0 | |
| Will Amazon have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? | Yes | 239 | 2.9¢ | 0.1¢ | $0.12 | −$6.71 | $0 | |
| Will 5 or more Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? | Yes | 25 | 16.7¢ | 0.5¢ | $0.11 | −$4.01 | +$99 | |
| Will Microsoft have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? | Yes | 218 | 2.9¢ | 0.1¢ | $0.11 | −$6.12 | $0 | |
| Will MiniMax have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? | Yes | 218 | 2.9¢ | 0.1¢ | $0.11 | −$6.12 | $0 | |
| Will Tencent have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? | Yes | 218 | 2.9¢ | 0.1¢ | $0.11 | −$6.12 | $0 | |
| Will Mistral have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? | Yes | 209 | 2.9¢ | 0.1¢ | $0.10 | −$5.87 | +$9.90 | |
| Will the highest temperature in Busan be 24°C on October 9? | Yes | 11 | 0.5¢ | 0.9¢ | $0.10 | +$0.04 | $0 | |
| Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? | Yes | 188 | 2.9¢ | 0.1¢ | $0.09 | −$5.28 | $0 | |
| Will SpaceX have between 100-119 launches in 2026? | Yes | 10 | 0.5¢ | 0.9¢ | $0.09 | +$0.04 | $0 | |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-13 House election by 55%-60%? | Yes | 3 | 7.7¢ | 2.8¢ | $0.08 | −$0.15 | +$6.35 | |
| Will Dune: Messiah get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards? | Yes | 1 | 4.5¢ | 8.3¢ | $0.08 | +$0.04 | $0 | |
| Will Marco Mendicino win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election? | Yes | 157 | 2.8¢ | 0.1¢ | $0.08 | −$4.28 | $0 | |
| Will Anthony Furey win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election? | Yes | 157 | 2.8¢ | 0.1¢ | $0.08 | −$4.28 | $0 | |
| Will Michael Ford win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election? | Yes | 157 | 2.8¢ | 0.1¢ | $0.08 | −$4.28 | $0 | |
| Will Kevin Clarke win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election? | Yes | 157 | 2.8¢ | 0.1¢ | $0.08 | −$4.28 | $0 | |
| Will Ana Bailão win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election? | Yes | 157 | 2.8¢ | 0.1¢ | $0.08 | −$4.28 | $0 | |
| Will John Tory win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election? | Yes | 157 | 2.8¢ | 0.1¢ | $0.08 | −$4.28 | $0 | |