PnL all-time+$727vol $127k
PnL 30d+$152gains $162 · losses $0
PnL 7d+$0.50win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate93.2%adj 90.1% · 30d 100.0%
Open value$3,237cash n/a
Positions5 / 268open / all-time
Max drawdown−88.0%of equity peak
Account age2.2ylast trade 5h ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL+$768below peak −$1.50Oct 10
SharpScore inputs
61/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale41
Adjusted win rateraw 93.2% · shrunk toward 50%100
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable81
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d100
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity12
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? · Yesclosed+$243Prince Andrew charged by March 31? · Noclosed+$85Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026? · Yesclosed+$84Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting? · Yesclosed+$83Cardano ETF in 2025? · Noclosed+$62
Worst markets
Will Trump visit China by April 30? · Yesclosed−$935China wins the most gold medals in 2024 Paris Olympics? · Yesclosed−$413Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch? · Yesclosed−$97Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31? · Yesclosed−$97Trump x Epstein files made public in 2025? · Noclosed−$50
Open positions · 5
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | No | 2,000 | 99.6¢ | 99.6¢ | $1,991 | −$0.50 | $0 | |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in October? | No | 504 | 99.3¢ | 99.2¢ | $499 | −$0.50 | $0 | |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in October? | No | 500 | 99.2¢ | 99.3¢ | $497 | +$0.50 | $0 | |
| Will Anthropic IPO by October 15, 2026? | No | 250 | 99.4¢ | 100¢ | $250 | +$1.38 | $0 | |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 3,600 | 0.7¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$25 | +$3.09 |
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