PnL all-time+$646vol $40.1k
PnL 30d+$161gains $0 · losses $0
PnL 7d−$94win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate94.7%adj 71.8% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$5,440cash n/a
Positions8 / 27open / all-time
Max drawdown−29.8%of equity peak
Account age1.0ylast trade 4h ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL+$788below peak −$134Oct 13
SharpScore inputs
42/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale40
Adjusted win rateraw 94.7% · shrunk toward 50%80
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable48
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d99
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity70
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026? · Noclosed+$222Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025? · Noclosed+$199Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yesopen+$143Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026? · Noclosed+$113Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026? · Noclosed+$74
Worst markets
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán? · Yesclosed−$2792026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House · Yesopen−$0.81Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? · Yesopen−$0.81Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? · Yesopen−$0.70Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? · Yesopen−$0.66
Open positions · 8
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 5,349 | 87.8¢ | 90.5¢ | $4,841 | +$143 | $0 | |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 159 | 63¢ | 64.5¢ | $102 | +$2.38 | $0 | |
| Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 137 | 73¢ | 73.5¢ | $101 | +$0.69 | $0 | |
| Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 141 | 71¢ | 70.5¢ | $99 | −$0.70 | $0 | |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | Yes | 161 | 62¢ | 61.5¢ | $99 | −$0.81 | $0 | |
| Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 161 | 62¢ | 61.5¢ | $99 | −$0.81 | $0 | |
| Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 116 | 43¢ | 42.5¢ | $49 | −$0.58 | $0 | |
| Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 132 | 38¢ | 37.5¢ | $49 | −$0.66 | $0 |
Recent trades
auto-refresh 30s