sharpside
LIVE--:--:-- UTCdata as of —24h vol —trades —whale trades —markets —Polymarket flow, ranked — who’s sharp, who’s early, where size is moving.
Traders/Rank #3,753

Trained-Notion

0x36d…907b
WhaleWR 70+WR 60+PoliticsWeatherOther
Polymarket
PnL all-time−$2,666vol $666k
PnL 30d−$379gains $10.2k · losses $1,667
PnL 7d+$1,148win rate 7d 93.1%
Win rate72.3%adj 71.1% · 30d 94.7%
Open value$45.6kcash n/a
Positions96 / 446open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age9molast trade 3h ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL−$166below peak −$7,031Oct 9

SharpScore inputs

42/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 72.3% · shrunk toward 50%78
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable88
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d100
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 96

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?No21.3k87.2¢92.5¢$19.7k+$1,132$0
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15?Yes3,94281.2¢92.5¢$3,646+$444+$65
US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027?Yes3,24970.3¢67.5¢$2,193−$93$0
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Yes4,03050.2¢48.7¢$1,962−$63$0
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Yes2,12859.3¢76.5¢$1,628+$366$0
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2027?Yes2,45164.6¢63.5¢$1,557−$28$0
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No1,60079¢81.5¢$1,304+$40$0
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?No1,30092¢94.5¢$1,229+$33+$75
US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?No1,78267.7¢65.5¢$1,167−$39−$5.45
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2027?No1,95453.7¢53¢$1,036−$14$0
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by November 30, 2026?No1,10091¢91.5¢$1,006+$5.50+$58
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No1,20084¢83.5¢$1,002−$6.00$0
Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?No3,92456.1¢24.5¢$961−$1,242$0
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by November 30, 2027?Yes1,42266.9¢66.5¢$945−$5.40$0
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by January 31, 2027?No1,16570.2¢77.5¢$903+$84+$90
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?No1,30160.7¢58.5¢$761−$29−$84
Will Clavicular wear a Yarmulke in 2026?No1,18966.5¢61.5¢$732−$60+$0.72
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Zohran Mamdani by September 30, 2026?No70389.7¢96.4¢$678+$47$0
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2027?Yes70067.1¢69¢$483+$13$0
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Yes1,40022¢21.5¢$301−$7.00$0
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Hillary Clinton by September 30, 2026?No30571.7¢89.5¢$273+$54$0
Will STRC hit $100 by December 31?Yes32180¢80.5¢$258+$1.60$0
Will Donald Trump visit Israel in 2026?No28188.9¢87.5¢$246−$3.80$0
Will Trump visit North Korea by December 31?No20090¢92.5¢$185+$5.00$0
Will Trump and Putin not meet?Yes1,00024.7¢18¢$180−$67$0
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Yes20386.9¢83.5¢$170−$7.02$0
Will Trump praise Bryson DeChambeau in September?No20020.1¢78.7¢$157+$117$0
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2027?No31349¢49.5¢$155+$1.57$0
Will Donald Trump visit North Korea in 2026?No16693¢92.5¢$154−$0.83$0
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by March 31, 2027?No17766¢67.5¢$119+$2.65$0
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Letitia James by September 30, 2026?No15386.4¢68¢$104−$28$0
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 15, 2026?No10371.7¢90.5¢$93+$19$0
Will Donald Trump visit Japan in 2026?No10067¢87¢$87+$20$0
Will Donald Trump visit Germany in 2026?No10083¢84¢$84+$1.00$0
Will Anna Kelly be the next White House Press Secretary?No10082¢78.5¢$79−$3.50$0
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?Yes50015¢14.5¢$73−$2.50$0
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by September 30, 2027?Yes9063¢62¢$56−$0.90$0
Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31?Yes6008.7¢9¢$54+$2.00$0
Will Donald Trump publicly praise Kim Jong Un by October 31, 2026?No7550.3¢72¢$54+$16$0
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by July 31, 2027?Yes9457¢53.5¢$50−$3.29$0
Will Donald Trump publicly praise Gianni Infantino by October 31, 2026?No8059.3¢62.5¢$50+$2.60$0
Will Donald Trump publicly praise Volodymyr Zelenskyy by October 31, 2026?No8042¢61.5¢$49+$16$0
Will Donald Trump publicly praise Emmanuel Macron by October 31, 2026?No6862¢69.5¢$47+$5.10$0
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez by September 30, 2026?No4070¢97.4¢$39+$11$0
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?Yes30011.7¢9.5¢$29−$6.50$0
Will Donald Trump publicly praise Javier Milei by October 31, 2026?No4061¢71¢$28+$4.00$0
Will Donald Trump publicly praise Karoline Leavitt by October 31, 2026?No6048¢43¢$26−$3.00$0
Will Donald Trump publicly praise Bryson DeChambeau by October 31, 2026?No4044¢62.5¢$25+$7.40$0
Will Donald Trump publicly praise Flávio Bolsonaro by October 31, 2026?No908¢20.5¢$18+$11+$20
Will Donald Trump publicly praise Nicki Minaj by October 31, 2026?No2081¢83¢$17+$0.40$0
Will Donald Trump publicly praise Warren Buffett by October 31, 2026?No2072¢79.5¢$16+$1.50$0
Will Donald Trump publicly praise Benjamin Netanyahu by October 31, 2026?No4059¢35.5¢$14−$9.40$0
Will Donald Trump publicly praise Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva by October 31, 2026?No1962¢69.5¢$13+$1.40$0
Will Donald Trump publicly praise Mark Rutte by October 31, 2026?No2053¢63.5¢$13+$2.10$0
Will Donald Trump publicly praise Dario Amodei by October 31, 2026?No2079¢57.5¢$12−$4.30$0
Will Donald Trump publicly praise Zohran Mamdani by October 31, 2026?No2030¢49.5¢$9.90+$3.90$0
Will Trump praise Jon Rahm in September?No1081¢92.5¢$9.25+$1.15$0
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?No11.9k85.4¢0¢$0−$10.2k$0
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in September?Yes2,0941.1¢0¢$0−$23−$0.87
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?No1,40067¢0¢$0−$938$0
Will Jynxzi, Ron and Los beat the Minecraft challenge by October 9?No1,12548.8¢0¢$0−$549−$7.40
Will Jynxzi, Ron and Los beat the Minecraft challenge by October 10?No1,10819.7¢0¢$0−$218−$1.38
Will Trump say "NVIDIA" in September?No77033.2¢0¢$0−$256$0
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Jon Ossoff by September 30, 2026?No62030¢0¢$0−$186−$3.87
Trump renames AI by September 30?No60081.5¢0¢$0−$489$0
Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.45% in September?No56989.6¢0¢$0−$509−$2.65
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Mark Carney by September 30, 2026?No56321.7¢0¢$0−$122−$3.07
Will Trump say "Dancing in the Street" in September?No50015.2¢0¢$0−$76$0
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by September 30, 2026?No44732.7¢0¢$0−$146−$1.24
Will Trump say "Television" or "TV" this week?No39027.1¢0¢$0−$106−$0.60
Will Trump praise Byron Donalds in September?No30064.7¢0¢$0−$194$0
Will Trump say "Moon" or "Space" this week?No28029.3¢0¢$0−$82−$0.60
Will Trump say "Through The Roof" this week?No26028.2¢0¢$0−$73−$0.25
Will Trump say "Dark Age" this week?No24545.4¢0¢$0−$111−$0.28
Will Jynxzi, Ron and Los beat the Minecraft challenge by October 8?No95140.2¢0¢$0−$382$0
Will Donald Trump publicly praise Kevin Warsh by October 31, 2026?No18012.1¢0¢$0−$22$0
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Jerome Powell by September 30, 2026?No17497.5¢0¢$0−$170−$0.21
Will Trump say "22" this week?No12166.3¢0¢$0−$80−$0.74
Will Donald Trump publicly praise Andy Burnham by October 31, 2026?No12022.5¢0¢$0−$27$0
Will Trump meet with Elon Musk in September 2026?No1006¢0¢$0−$6.00$0
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 15?No10064¢0¢$0−$64$0
Will Trump meet with Javier Milei in September 2026?No10020¢0¢$0−$20$0
Will Trump speak to Ahmed al-Sharaa in September?No1002¢0¢$0−$2.00$0
Will Trump praise Elon Musk in September?No10063¢0¢$0−$63$0
Will Trump speak to Elon Musk in September?No10011¢0¢$0−$11$0
Will Trump say "Data Center" this week?No9020¢0¢$0−$18$0
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 31?No7520¢0¢$0−$15$0
Will Donald Trump publicly praise JD Vance by October 31, 2026?No605.7¢0¢$0−$3.40−$0.11
Will Donald Trump publicly praise Elon Musk by October 31, 2026?No6017¢0¢$0−$10$0
Will Trump say "Boom" or "Booming" this week?No607¢0¢$0−$4.20$0
Will Donald Trump publicly praise Byron Donalds by October 31, 2026?No609¢0¢$0−$5.40+$12
Will Trump say "Peanut" or "Nut" this week?No6068¢0¢$0−$41$0
Will Trump say "Bridge" this week?No408¢0¢$0−$3.20$0
Will Donald Trump publicly praise Claudia Sheinbaum by October 31, 2026?No4016.5¢0¢$0−$6.60−$0.20
Will Trump say "Ticket" this week?No407¢0¢$0−$2.80$0
Will Donald Trump publicly praise Dana White by October 31, 2026?No2011¢0¢$0−$2.20$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY NoNATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?91¢100$9172%42
SELL YesUS x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15?92¢600$55272%42
BUY YesWill Jynxzi, Ron and Los beat the Minecraft challenge by October 14?99¢142$14072%42
BUY YesWill Jynxzi, Ron and Los beat the Minecraft challenge by October 13?98¢65$6472%42
BUY YesWill Jynxzi, Ron and Los beat the Minecraft challenge by October 15?98¢50$4972%42
BUY YesWill Jynxzi, Ron and Los beat the Minecraft challenge by October 14?98¢553$54272%42
BUY YesWill Jynxzi, Ron and Los beat the Minecraft challenge by October 13?97¢220$21372%42
SELL No Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?89¢700$62372%42
BUY YesWill Jynxzi, Ron and Los beat the Minecraft challenge by October 15?96¢1,098$1,05472%42
SELL YesIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?82¢1,365$1,11972%42
BUY NoWill Jynxzi, Ron and Los beat the Minecraft challenge by October 10?10¢308$3172%42
BUY YesWill Jynxzi, Ron and Los beat the Minecraft challenge by October 14?93¢274$25472%42
BUY YesWill Jynxzi, Ron and Los beat the Minecraft challenge by October 15?95¢2,088$1,98472%42
SELL YesUS x Iran ceasefire continues through October 7?99.6¢1,100$1,09672%42
SELL NoWill Trump visit Greenland by October 31?98.7¢22$2272%42
SELL NoUS-Iran Hormuz Agreement by December 31?62¢50$3172%42
SELL NoFriedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before October 31, 2026?98.4¢44$4372%42
SELL NoIran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?94¢200$18872%42
SELL NoIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?41¢1,000$41072%42
BUY NoWill Jynxzi, Ron and Los beat the Minecraft challenge by October 9?45.4¢257$11772%42