PnL all-time+$47.2kvol $3.94M
PnL 30d+$2.69gains $0 · losses $0
PnL 7d−$58win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate84.0%adj 82.7% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$12.7kcash n/a
Positions9 / 1,099open / all-time
Max drawdown−26.2%of equity peak
Account age1.4ylast trade 1mo ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL+$48.2kbelow peak −$621Oct 9
SharpScore inputs
69/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale67
Adjusted win rateraw 84.0% · shrunk toward 50%100
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable100
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d0
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity74
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026? · Noclosed+$1,087Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027? · Noopen+$1,057Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026? · Noclosed+$909Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026? · Yesclosed+$738Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026? · Noclosed+$718
Worst markets
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026? · Noclosed−$3,039Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026? · Noclosed−$3,004Will North and South Korea engage in direct talks in 2025? · Yesclosed−$2,470Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026? · Noclosed−$2,199Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026? · Noopen−$1,746
Open positions · 9
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027? | No | 12.3k | 87.8¢ | 95.4¢ | $11.8k | +$932 | +$125 | |
| Netanyahu out by end of 2026? | Yes | 1,647 | 60.2¢ | 37.5¢ | $618 | −$374 | $0 | |
| Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026? | No | 240 | 89.7¢ | 94.2¢ | $226 | +$11 | $0 | |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 100 | 89¢ | 84.5¢ | $84 | −$4.50 | $0 | |
| Xi Jinping out before 2027? | Yes | 914 | 25.7¢ | 2.9¢ | $27 | −$208 | −$686 | |
| Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026? | No | 9,252 | 20.3¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1,883 | +$138 | |
| Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026? | Yes | 2,541 | 26¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$661 | +$28 | |
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026? | No | 1,474 | 47.7¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$703 | +$33 | |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026? | No | 76 | 83¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$63 | −$0.54 |
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