| Will Emerson Nolasco Delgado win the next Huancayo mayoral elections? | Yes | 1,121 | 98.8¢ | 86.7¢ | $971 | −$136 | $0 | |
| Will Rafael López Aliaga win the next Lima mayoral elections? | Yes | 936 | 91.5¢ | 86.2¢ | $806 | −$50 | +$0.28 | |
| Will Diego González (Santos Laguna) record the most assists in the 2026 Liga MX Apertura? | No | 761 | 96.3¢ | 95.6¢ | $727 | −$5.69 | +$2.28 | |
| Will Liverpool reach the 2027 UEFA Champions League Round of 16? | Yes | 555 | 85¢ | 87.5¢ | $486 | +$14 | $0 | |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship? | Yes | 500 | 80.5¢ | 86.5¢ | $433 | +$30 | $0 | |
| Will OpenAI’s valuation be at least $1.30T at the end of October 2026? | No | 450 | 90.4¢ | 94.1¢ | $423 | +$16 | +$5.69 | |
| Will Elber Requejo Sánchez win the next Chiclayo mayoral elections? | Yes | 420 | 99¢ | 99.2¢ | $417 | +$0.86 | $0 | |
| Will Miguel Gerardo Cueva Celi win the next Piura mayoral elections? | Yes | 390 | 97.7¢ | 90.6¢ | $354 | −$27 | $0 | |
| Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.35T by October 31? | No | 400 | 83¢ | 82¢ | $328 | −$4.00 | $0 | |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | Yes | 400 | 50¢ | 80.5¢ | $322 | +$122 | $0 | |
| Will TSG Hoffenheim qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Europa League? | No | 340 | 77.1¢ | 90.5¢ | $308 | +$45 | $0 | |
| Will Manuel Enrique Vera Paredes win the next Arequipa mayoral elections? | Yes | 310 | 99.1¢ | 97.9¢ | $303 | −$3.75 | $0 | |
| Will Athletic Club qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Europa League? | No | 369 | 74¢ | 69.5¢ | $256 | −$17 | −$1.40 | |
| Will Luca Orellano (CF Monterrey) record the most assists in the 2026 Liga MX Apertura? | No | 170 | 94¢ | 96.3¢ | $164 | +$3.84 | +$4.36 | |
| Will Tottenham Hotspur qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Champions League? | No | 172 | 86.1¢ | 93.7¢ | $161 | +$13 | +$9.23 | |
| Will Venezia be relegated from the 2026-27 Serie A? | Yes | 185 | 50¢ | 74.5¢ | $138 | +$45 | $0 | |
| Will the 49ers win the season series against the Cardinals during the 2026-27 NFL regular season? | Yes | 250 | 50¢ | 55¢ | $138 | +$13 | $0 | |
| Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026? | Yes | 346 | 64¢ | 39.5¢ | $137 | −$85 | $0 | |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of October 2026? | Yes | 138 | 79¢ | 87¢ | $120 | +$11 | $0 | |
| Will RB Leipzig qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Champions League? | No | 300 | 31.7¢ | 39¢ | $117 | +$22 | $0 | |
| Will Athletic Club qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Champions League? | No | 140 | 72.6¢ | 78.5¢ | $110 | +$8.21 | +$29 | |
| Will Bayern Munich reach the 2027 UEFA Champions League Round of 16? | Yes | 116 | 87.8¢ | 94.1¢ | $109 | +$7.31 | +$48 | |
| Will SC Freiburg qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Champions League? | Yes | 298 | 22.2¢ | 34.5¢ | $103 | +$37 | +$5.44 | |
| Will Coventry City qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Champions League? | No | 108 | 98¢ | 90.1¢ | $97 | −$8.59 | $0 | |
| Will OpenAI’s valuation be between $900B and $1.00T at the end of October 2026? | No | 116 | 80.8¢ | 80.5¢ | $94 | −$0.32 | $0 | |
| Will Edinson Lozano Ramírez win the next Chiclayo mayoral elections? | No | 85 | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | $85 | +$0.04 | $0 | |
| Will the season series between the Cardinals and 49ers end in a tie during the 2026-27 NFL regular season? | Yes | 250 | 50¢ | 34¢ | $85 | −$40 | $0 | |
| Will Alavés qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Europa League? | No | 89 | 79.3¢ | 95¢ | $84 | +$14 | +$26 | |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | Yes | 400 | 50¢ | 19.5¢ | $78 | −$122 | $0 | |
| Will the Vikings win the season series against the Packers during the 2026-27 NFL regular season? | Yes | 150 | 50¢ | 52¢ | $78 | +$3.00 | $0 | |
| Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 MLS Golden Boot? | Yes | 81 | 82.3¢ | 94.2¢ | $76 | +$9.59 | $0 | |
| Will the season series between the Packers and Vikings end in a tie during the 2026-27 NFL regular season? | Yes | 150 | 50¢ | 46¢ | $69 | −$6.00 | $0 | |
| Will Google have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of October 2026? | Yes | 94 | 50¢ | 71.5¢ | $67 | +$20 | $0 | |
| Will Bayern Munich qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Champions League? | Yes | 68 | 96¢ | 96.3¢ | $66 | +$0.17 | $0 | |
| Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026? | Yes | 90 | 50¢ | 72.6¢ | $65 | +$20 | $0 | |
| Will OpenAI’s valuation be between $600B and $700B at the end of October 2026? | No | 60 | 99¢ | 97.5¢ | $59 | −$0.90 | $0 | |
| Will Mercedes Paola Maza Valencia win the next Piura mayoral elections? | No | 56 | 99.9¢ | 99.8¢ | $56 | −$0.06 | $0 | |
| Will AC Milan qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Europa League? | No | 82 | 65¢ | 67.5¢ | $55 | +$2.05 | $0 | |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of October 2026? | Yes | 70 | 63¢ | 71.5¢ | $50 | +$5.97 | $0 | |
| Will Real Betis qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Champions League? | Yes | 81 | 41.5¢ | 60¢ | $49 | +$15 | +$14 | |
| Will Fulham qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Europa League? | No | 55 | 89.2¢ | 88¢ | $48 | −$0.66 | +$9.92 | |
| Will KlingAI have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of October 2026? | No | 50 | 50¢ | 95.7¢ | $48 | +$23 | +$22 | |
| Will Carlos Rotondi (Cruz Azul) record the most assists in the 2026 Liga MX Apertura? | No | 45 | 97.5¢ | 98.3¢ | $44 | +$0.36 | +$2.17 | |
| Will Francis James Allison Oyague win the next Lima mayoral elections? | Yes | 936 | 5.6¢ | 4.7¢ | $44 | −$8.95 | −$3.06 | |
| Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | No | 50 | 50¢ | 83.5¢ | $42 | +$17 | $0 | |
| Will Albert Aníbal Arenas Yabar win the next Cusco mayoral elections? | Yes | 45 | 98.9¢ | 89.8¢ | $41 | −$4.14 | $0 | |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | Yes | 50 | 50¢ | 79¢ | $40 | +$15 | $0 | |
| Will Viking reach the 2027 UEFA Champions League Round of 16? | No | 40 | 95.7¢ | 95.2¢ | $38 | −$0.20 | $0 | |
| Will Alfredo Willy Benavente Godoy win the next Arequipa mayoral elections? | No | 38 | 99.9¢ | 98.5¢ | $37 | −$0.53 | $0 | |
| Will Javier Fernando Miguel Atkins Lerggios win the next Piura mayoral elections? | No | 37 | 99.8¢ | 99.8¢ | $37 | −$0.02 | $0 | |
| Will the Buccaneers win the season series against the Panthers during the 2026-27 NFL regular season? | Yes | 83 | 36¢ | 43.5¢ | $36 | +$6.22 | $0 | |
| Will Walther Guerrero Silva win the next Piura mayoral elections? | No | 36 | 99.9¢ | 99.3¢ | $36 | −$0.23 | $0 | |
| Will the Chiefs win the season series against the Raiders during the 2026-27 NFL regular season? | Yes | 65 | 50¢ | 52.5¢ | $34 | +$1.63 | $0 | |
| Will the season series between the Chiefs and Raiders end in a tie during the 2026-27 NFL regular season? | Yes | 65 | 50¢ | 52¢ | $34 | +$1.30 | $0 | |
| Will AC Milan qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Champions League? | No | 73 | 41¢ | 44.5¢ | $32 | +$2.56 | $0 | |
| Will Kelly Ann Stefany Morillas Bogado win the next Piura mayoral elections? | No | 28 | 99.9¢ | 99.1¢ | $28 | −$0.23 | $0 | |
| Will Lorenzo Filomeno Colque Arias win the next Arequipa mayoral elections? | No | 27 | 99.8¢ | 98.6¢ | $27 | −$0.33 | $0 | |
| Will the Panthers win the season series against the Buccaneers during the 2026-27 NFL regular season? | Yes | 83 | 25.6¢ | 32¢ | $27 | +$5.28 | $0 | |
| Will Ricardo Alfredo Ramírez del Villar Llosa win the next Arequipa mayoral elections? | No | 26 | 99.9¢ | 98.6¢ | $26 | −$0.34 | $0 | |
| Will VfB Stuttgart qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Europa League? | No | 35 | 53¢ | 72.5¢ | $25 | +$6.79 | $0 | |
| Will Z.ai be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026? | Yes | 61 | 27.3¢ | 40.7¢ | $25 | +$8.08 | $0 | |
| Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026? | Yes | 346 | 10.3¢ | 7¢ | $24 | −$12 | $0 | |
| Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026? | Yes | 346 | 7.3¢ | 6.3¢ | $22 | −$3.39 | $0 | |
| Will the season series between the Panthers and Buccaneers end in a tie during the 2026-27 NFL regular season? | Yes | 83 | 26.8¢ | 26¢ | $22 | −$0.63 | $0 | |
| Will Anthropic be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026? | Yes | 50 | 50¢ | 41.5¢ | $21 | −$4.25 | $0 | |
| Will Ismael Díaz (León) record the most assists in the 2026 Liga MX Apertura? | No | 20 | 98.1¢ | 96.4¢ | $19 | −$0.35 | $0 | |
| Will Google be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026? | Yes | 50 | 50¢ | 38.5¢ | $19 | −$5.75 | $0 | |
| Will Platforma Reupblicana “Nô Kumpu Guiné” win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election? | Yes | 100 | 50¢ | 19¢ | $19 | −$31 | $0 | |
| Will voter turnout be between 78% and 80% in the 2026 New Zealand general election? | Yes | 50 | 50¢ | 36.5¢ | $18 | −$6.75 | $0 | |
| Will Carlos Eduardo Cruz Michilot win the next Piura mayoral elections? | No | 18 | 99.8¢ | 98.9¢ | $18 | −$0.16 | $0 | |
| Will voter turnout be between 76% and 78% in the 2026 New Zealand general election? | Yes | 50 | 50¢ | 32¢ | $16 | −$9.00 | $0 | |
| Will ByteDance have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of October 2026? | Yes | 94 | 50¢ | 13¢ | $12 | −$35 | $0 | |
| Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026? | Yes | 90 | 50¢ | 13.5¢ | $12 | −$33 | $0 | |
| Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Yes | 25 | 50¢ | 47.3¢ | $12 | −$0.69 | $0 | |
| Will Alibaba (including Alibaba-ATH) have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of October 2026? | No | 11 | 50¢ | 97.5¢ | $11 | +$5.22 | +$36 | |
| Will Arsenal qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Champions League? | No | 432 | 1.9¢ | 2.5¢ | $11 | +$2.52 | $0 | |
| Will PT win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election? | Yes | 100 | 50¢ | 10.4¢ | $10 | −$40 | $0 | |
| Will voter turnout be between 80% and 82% in the 2026 New Zealand general election? | Yes | 50 | 50¢ | 20.2¢ | $10 | −$15 | $0 | |
| Will US GDP growth in 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.5%? | Yes | 20 | 50¢ | 50.5¢ | $10 | +$0.10 | $0 | |
| Will US GDP growth in 2026 be greater than 2.5%? | Yes | 20 | 50¢ | 49.1¢ | $9.81 | −$0.19 | $0 | |
| Will Chelsea qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Champions League? | No | 33 | 30.1¢ | 29.5¢ | $9.77 | −$0.20 | −$1.59 | |
| Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | Yes | 50 | 50¢ | 16.7¢ | $8.32 | −$17 | $0 | |
| Will Umaro Sissoco Embaló win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election? | Yes | 50 | 50¢ | 16.3¢ | $8.15 | −$17 | $0 | |
| Will Fernando Dias da Costa win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election? | Yes | 50 | 50¢ | 16¢ | $7.97 | −$17 | $0 | |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Yes | 25 | 50¢ | 30.5¢ | $7.63 | −$4.88 | $0 | |
| Will DeepSeek have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026? | Yes | 346 | 0.9¢ | 2.2¢ | $7.62 | +$4.50 | $0 | |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of October 2026? | Yes | 138 | 10.8¢ | 5.1¢ | $7.09 | −$7.79 | $0 | |
| Will Edwin Gonzalo Vásquez Sánchez win the next Chiclayo mayoral elections? | No | 7 | 99.8¢ | 99.9¢ | $6.98 | $0 | $0 | |
| Will Google be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026? | Yes | 61 | 30.3¢ | 11.5¢ | $6.97 | −$11 | $0 | |
| Will Jorge Luis Reyes Luján Martínez win the next Arequipa mayoral elections? | No | 7 | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | $6.88 | $0 | $0 | |
| Will Renzo Alonso Salas Herrera win the next Arequipa mayoral elections? | No | 7 | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | $6.87 | $0 | $0 | |
| Will Alibaba be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026? | Yes | 61 | 12.7¢ | 9.5¢ | $5.76 | −$1.91 | $0 | |
| Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026? | Yes | 13 | 0.5¢ | 42.1¢ | $5.33 | +$5.26 | $0 | |
| Will the 49ers win the season series against the Seahawks during the 2026-27 NFL regular season? | Yes | 8 | 29¢ | 63¢ | $5.04 | +$2.72 | $0 | |
| Will OpenAI have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of October 2026? | Yes | 94 | 50¢ | 5.3¢ | $4.96 | −$42 | $0 | |
| Will FLING win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election? | Yes | 100 | 50¢ | 5¢ | $4.95 | −$45 | $0 | |
| Will KlingAI have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of October 2026? | Yes | 94 | 50¢ | 4.3¢ | $4.03 | −$43 | $0 | |
| Will OpenAI be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026? | Yes | 50 | 50¢ | 8¢ | $4.00 | −$21 | $0 | |
| Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Yes | 25 | 50¢ | 14.5¢ | $3.63 | −$8.88 | $0 | |
| Will Baidu have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026? | Yes | 346 | 0.9¢ | 1¢ | $3.46 | +$0.35 | $0 | |