sharpside
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Traders/Unranked

abcdave

0x375…9c94
WR 60+1y+SportPoliticsCrypto
Polymarket
PnL all-time−$841vol $72.1k
PnL 30d+$6.79gains $0 · losses $0
PnL 7d+$9.67win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate61.2%adj 60.2% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$383cash n/a
Positions83 / 284open / all-time
Max drawdown−93.9%of equity peak
Account age2.3ylast trade 6mo ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL−$959below peak −$928Oct 12

SharpScore inputs

28/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 61.2% · shrunk toward 50%51
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable82
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d0
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity6

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 83

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes13315¢100¢$133+$113$0
Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?Yes10519¢100¢$105+$85$0
Predict.fun FDV above $100M one day after launch?Yes6775¢96¢$64+$14$0
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?Yes5591¢100¢$55+$4.95$0
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes55618¢3.1¢$17−$83$0
Prince Andrew sentenced to prison?Yes20014¢3.2¢$6.40−$22$0
Will Trump endorse JD Vance for president before 2027?Yes3015.7¢4.1¢$1.22−$3.49$0
Ledger IPO before 2027?Yes1473¢2.4¢$0.32−$9.68$0
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $750B and $1T at market close on IPO day?Yes5010.7¢0.5¢$0.23−$5.13$0
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $500B and $750B at market close on IPO day?Yes508.2¢0.4¢$0.20−$3.90$0
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?Yes507.2¢0.4¢$0.17−$3.42$0
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1T and $1.25T at market close on IPO day?Yes5011¢0.4¢$0.17−$5.33$0
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes9091.1¢0¢$0−$10.00$0
Prince Andrew mugshot released by February 28?Yes7955¢0¢$0−$40$0
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes5881.7¢0¢$0−$10.00$0
Miami Hurricanes vs. Purdue BoilermakersMiami Hurricanes57834.6¢0¢$0−$200$0
Iran leadership change by May 31?Yes53318.8¢0¢$0−$100$0
LoL: Gen.G vs JD Gaming (BO5) - First Stand Group BJD Gaming45511¢0¢$0−$50$0
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes3575.6¢0¢$0−$20$0
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs TheMongolz (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group BLiquid30333¢0¢$0−$100$0
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?Yes29417¢0¢$0−$50$0
Kentucky Wildcats vs. Iowa State CyclonesKentucky Wildcats29334.1¢0¢$0−$100$0
Counter-Strike: NIP vs M80 (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1NIP27935.9¢0¢$0−$100$0
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes2747.3¢0¢$0−$20$0
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-03-14?Yes25020¢0¢$0−$50$0
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes2343.1¢0¢$0−$7.25$0
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?Yes23236.5¢0¢$0−$85$0
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-03-17?Yes23020¢0¢$0−$46$0
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes2278.8¢0¢$0−$20$0
Golden Knights vs. PredatorsGolden Knights22744¢0¢$0−$100$0
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - ESL Pro League PlayoffsLegacy21946¢0¢$0−$101$0
Miami Open: Martin Landaluce vs Jiri LeheckaMartin Landaluce21827¢0¢$0−$59$0
Avalanche vs. StarsStars20848¢0¢$0−$100$0
Lakers vs. PistonsLakers20449¢0¢$0−$100$0
Kings vs. RangersRangers20449¢0¢$0−$100$0
Senators vs. Red WingsRed Wings20354.5¢0¢$0−$111$0
Moltbook shutdown by Feb 28?Yes2006¢0¢$0−$12$0
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?Yes2008¢0¢$0−$16$0
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group AFaZe19651¢0¢$0−$100$0
Capitals vs. SabresSabres19466.9¢0¢$0−$130$0
Celtics vs. CavaliersCavaliers19351.9¢0¢$0−$100$0
Hurricanes vs. FlamesHurricanes18816¢0¢$0−$30$0
Bucks vs. HawksBucks18527¢0¢$0−$50$0
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes18211¢0¢$0−$20$0
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes17211.6¢0¢$0−$20$0
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-03?Yes15465¢0¢$0−$100$0
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes15013.3¢0¢$0−$20$0
Will Hamburger SV win on 2026-03-21?Yes14967¢0¢$0−$100$0
Iran leadership change by April 30?Yes13811.1¢0¢$0−$15$0
Magic vs. HawksMagic11942¢0¢$0−$50$0
Games Total: O/U 2.5Under10547.7¢0¢$0−$50$0
Oilers vs. Golden KnightsGolden Knights10448¢0¢$0−$50$0
Ducks vs. Maple LeafsDucks10248.9¢0¢$0−$50$0
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?Yes1009.4¢0¢$0−$9.40$0
Lille OSC vs. Aston Villa FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes9851¢0¢$0−$50$0
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group StageBetBoom Team9052.7¢0¢$0−$48$0
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-03-08?Yes9055.6¢0¢$0−$50$0
Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes8956¢0¢$0−$50$0
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-03-16?Yes8857¢0¢$0−$50$0
Blues vs. DucksDucks8658¢0¢$0−$50$0
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-03-18?No8360¢0¢$0−$50$0
Miami Open, Qualification: Bianca Andreescu vs Suzan LamensSuzan Lamens8162¢0¢$0−$50$0
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1PARIVISION7976¢0¢$0−$60$0
Hornets vs. SunsHornets7864¢0¢$0−$50$0
Kigali: Stefano Napolitano vs Luka MikrutLuka Mikrut7741.6¢0¢$0−$32$0
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-17?Yes7468¢0¢$0−$50$0
Will Romania qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes7114¢0¢$0−$10.00$0
Avalanche vs. Capitals: O/U 6.5Over6834.4¢0¢$0−$24$0
Bulls vs. SunsSuns6083¢0¢$0−$50$0
Islanders vs. DucksIslanders5917¢0¢$0−$10.00$0
Grizzlies vs. Bulls: O/U 242.5Over5753¢0¢$0−$30$0
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by March 31, 2026?Yes505.7¢0¢$0−$2.85$0
Will AJ Auxerre win on 2026-03-21?No4883¢0¢$0−$40$0
Will South America (CONMEBOL) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes4821¢0¢$0−$10.00$0
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Yes4842¢0¢$0−$20−$24
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by March 31?Yes4821¢0¢$0−$10.00$0
US forcibly removes Khamenei from power by March 31?Yes4842¢0¢$0−$20$0
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?Yes4721.3¢0¢$0−$10.00$0
Warriors vs. Wizards: O/U 232.5Under3550¢0¢$0−$18$0
Jerome Powell federally charged by June 30?Yes3012¢0¢$0−$3.60$0
SSC Napoli vs. Torino FC: O/U 2.5Under2857¢0¢$0−$16$0
Will Italy qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes1565¢0¢$0−$10.00$0
Will Denmark qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes1566¢0¢$0−$10.00$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY YesIran leadership change by April 30?11.1¢138$1561%28
BUY YesIran leadership change by May 31?18.8¢533$10061%28
SELL YesUS forces enter Iran by April 30?99.6¢81$8061%28
BUY Martin LandaluceMiami Open: Martin Landaluce vs Jiri Lehecka27¢218$5961%28
SELL YesWill Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?99.9¢59$5961%28
BUY Red WingsSenators vs. Red Wings54.5¢203$11161%28
BUY YesUS forces enter Iran by April 30?62¢81$5061%28
BUY OverAvalanche vs. Capitals: O/U 6.534.4¢68$2461%28
BUY LakersLakers vs. Pistons49¢204$10061%28
BUY YesWill AS Roma win on 2026-03-22?62¢160$9961%28
BUY Kentucky WildcatsKentucky Wildcats vs. Iowa State Cyclones34¢292$9961%28
BUY Miami HurricanesMiami Hurricanes vs. Purdue Boilermakers34¢292$9961%28
BUY Miami HurricanesMiami Hurricanes vs. Purdue Boilermakers35¢283$9961%28
BUY LiquidCounter-Strike: Liquid vs TheMongolz (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group B33¢303$10061%28
BUY PARIVISIONCounter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Spirit (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group B29¢383$11161%28
BUY Michigan State SpartansSpread: Michigan State Spartans (-4.5)53¢94$5061%28
BUY Golden KnightsGolden Knights vs. Predators44¢227$10061%28
BUY NoWill AJ Auxerre win on 2026-03-21?83¢48$4061%28
BUY Michigan State SpartansLouisville Cardinals vs. Michigan State Spartans68¢146$9961%28
BUY YesWill Hamburger SV win on 2026-03-21?67¢149$10061%28