PnL all-time+$18.0kvol $3.14M
PnL 30d+$803gains $1,542 · losses $0.97
PnL 7d+$191win rate 7d 100.0%
Win rate99.6%adj 97.7% · 30d 99.6%
Open value$0cash n/a
Positions5 / 4,548open / all-time
Max drawdown−35.0%of equity peak
Account age8molast trade 1h ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL+$19.2kbelow peak −$434Oct 9
SharpScore inputs
77/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale61
Adjusted win rateraw 99.6% · shrunk toward 50%100
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable100
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d100
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity65
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on September 30? · Noclosed+$278Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 12°C on September 25? · Noclosed+$148Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 21°C on October 7? · Noclosed+$78Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 15°C on September 22? · Noclosed+$77Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on September 19? · Noclosed+$62
Worst markets
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C on September 22? · Noopen−$1,624Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C on July 20? · Noopen−$714Will the lowest temperature in Madrid be 14°C or below on September 20? · Yesopen−$84Will the lowest temperature in Cape Town be 13°C on September 20? · Noopen−$67Will England win on 2026-06-23? · Yesopen−$28
Open positions · 5
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C on September 22? | No | 1,666 | 97.4¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1,622 | −$1.60 | |
| Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C on July 20? | No | 756 | 94.1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$712 | −$2.09 | |
| Will England win on 2026-06-23? | Yes | 94 | 29.8¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$28 | −$0.45 | |
| Will the lowest temperature in Madrid be 14°C or below on September 20? | Yes | 86 | 97.3¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$84 | −$0.11 | |
| Will the lowest temperature in Cape Town be 13°C on September 20? | No | 68 | 99¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$67 | $0 |
Recent trades
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