sharpside
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Traders/Rank #3,821

Alegrandebig

0x377…f0dd@alegrandebig
WhaleWR 80+WR 70+WR 60+WeatherPoliticsOtherSport
Polymarket
PnL all-time−$12.3kvol $3.99M
PnL 30d+$2,672gains $1,984 · losses $1,669
PnL 7d+$1,497win rate 7d 83.7%
Win rate85.3%adj 83.9% · 30d 84.4%
Open value$80.6kcash n/a
Positions36 / 7,025open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age10molast trade 12h ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL−$9,055below peak −$14.3kOct 9

SharpScore inputs

45/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 85.3% · shrunk toward 50%100
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable100
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d98
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December? · Noopen+$1,877Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $285 in July? · Noclosed+$442Cincinnati Open: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Jakub Mensik · Thiago Agustin Tiranteclosed+$183Swiss Open: Raphael Collignon vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo · Raphael Collignonclosed+$179Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? · Yesclosed+$168

Worst markets

Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 86-87°F on July 17? · Noclosed−$1,498Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on September 14? · Noclosed−$638Swiss Open: Raphael Collignon vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo · Juan Manuel Cerundoloclosed−$271Israel closes its airspace by September 30? · Noclosed−$206Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record? · Yesclosed−$176

Open positions · 36

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?No39.3k90.4¢95¢$37.3k+$1,794+$83
Any country withdraws from EU before 2027?No7,32696.7¢97.2¢$7,121+$37+$5.38
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $8,000 by end of December?No5,64196.6¢97.9¢$5,522+$71+$2.03
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of December?No4,43294.7¢97.2¢$4,308+$112$0
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?Yes3,77497.4¢98.4¢$3,711+$36+$3.06
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $4,500 (LOW) in December?No3,20996.5¢97.7¢$3,134+$36+$9.82
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,200 (LOW) in December?No2,65994.8¢97.3¢$2,586+$66+$6.07
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,000 (LOW) in December?No2,41490¢93.5¢$2,257+$85$0
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of December?No2,06897.2¢98.7¢$2,040+$31+$1.05
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,200 (LOW) in December?No2,22289¢91.4¢$2,031+$53+$1.91
Obama arrested before 2027?No1,28797.4¢98¢$1,261+$7.54+$2.66
Will the U.S. invade Mexico in 2026?No1,13797¢98.7¢$1,122+$19+$7.52
Will Warsh be out as Fed Chair by December 31, 2026?No1,11297.1¢97.4¢$1,082+$3.01$0
Bitcoin more valuable than any company before 2027?No99896.9¢95.6¢$954−$13+$1.86
US strike on Mexico by December 31?No77794.4¢96.3¢$748+$15+$1.09
Will EUR/USD hit 1.05 (Low) in 2026?No73393.2¢92.2¢$675−$7.54−$41
Will EUR/USD hit 1.00 (Low) in 2026?No61096.1¢93¢$567−$19+$0.44
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,000 (LOW) in December?No65572.1¢77.5¢$508+$35+$1.92
Will S&P 500 (SPX) close at <$6,000 in December?No54093.7¢94¢$508+$1.65$0
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,800 (LOW) in December?No51792.1¢95.5¢$493+$18+$0.01
Will EUR/USD hit 1.35 (High) in 2026?No47396.3¢98.8¢$467+$11$0
Will EUR/USD hit 1.30 (High) in 2026?No34897.6¢94.3¢$328−$12$0
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of December?No38677.5¢79¢$305+$5.79+$102
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $10,000 (HIGH) in December?No29597¢96.6¢$285−$1.28+$0.04
Jerome Powell federally charged by December 31, 2026?No29396.9¢96¢$281−$2.68+$6.15
Will EUR/USD hit 1.40 (High) in 2026?No27397.6¢97.7¢$267+$0.28+$0.11
Fed abolished before 2027?No15697.5¢98.3¢$153+$1.30+$5.08
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,400 (LOW) in December?No18648.1¢66¢$122+$33$0
Trump meets with Putin by December 31?No60032.9¢18.5¢$111−$86−$26
Will Inter Milan win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?Yes4,2002.5¢2.4¢$99−$8.17$0
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?No30043.7¢22¢$66−$65−$18
Will EUR/USD hit 1.24 (High) in 2026?No6096¢96.1¢$58+$0.06−$0.04
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $12,000 by end of December?No5098¢98.6¢$49+$0.28+$1.55
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,200 (LOW) in December?No6159.1¢67.5¢$41+$5.10+$16
Will Warsh be out as Fed Chair by June 30, 2027?No2090¢90.5¢$18+$0.10$0
Will Russia capture all of Bilytske by December 31?No5347.2¢29.5¢$16−$9.34+$5.61

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY NoWill the highest temperature in Milan be 21°C or higher on October 8?99.8¢120$12085%45
BUY YesWill the highest temperature in Milan be 20°C on October 8?99.8¢120$12085%45
BUY YesWill the highest temperature in Milan be 20°C on October 8?99.8¢20$2085%45
BUY YesWill the highest temperature in Milan be 20°C on October 8?99¢30$2985%45
BUY NoWill the highest temperature in Milan be 21°C or higher on October 8?99¢49$4885%45
BUY NoUS strike on Mexico by December 31?96¢75$7285%45
BUY NoWill S&P 500 (SPX) hit $4,500 (LOW) in December?98¢100$9885%45
BUY YesWill the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?98.4¢82$8085%45
BUY NoAny country withdraws from EU before 2027?97.5¢5$4.8885%45
BUY NoWill the highest temperature in Milan be 19°C on October 7?99.8¢46$4685%45
BUY NoWill the highest temperature in Milan be 20°C on October 7?99.9¢6$5.7685%45
BUY NoWill EUR/USD hit 1.24 (High) in 2026?96¢60$5885%45
BUY NoAny country withdraws from EU before 2027?97.4¢5$4.8785%45
SELL YesWill Albania win on 2026-10-06?65.7¢59$3985%45
SELL YesWill Albania win on 2026-10-06?68.5¢59$4085%45
BUY NoWill the highest temperature in Milan be 24°C on October 6?99.9¢100$10085%45
BUY NoWill the highest temperature in Milan be 24°C on October 6?99.9¢100$10085%45
BUY YesWill the highest temperature in Milan be 23°C on October 6?99.9¢6$5.5685%45
BUY YesWill the highest temperature in Milan be 23°C on October 6?99.9¢100$10085%45
BUY YesWill the highest temperature in Milan be 23°C on October 6?99.9¢100$10085%45