PnL all-time+$841kvol $4.42M
PnL 30d$0gains $0 · losses $0
PnL 7d$0win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate75.0%adj 64.6% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$0cash n/a
Positions10 / 38open / all-time
Max drawdown−29.0%of equity peak
Account age1.3ylast trade 7mo ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL+$841kbelow peak $0Oct 9
SharpScore inputs
45/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale85
Adjusted win rateraw 75.0% · shrunk toward 50%61
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable53
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d0
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity71
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026? · Yesclosed+$301kUS military action against Iran before July? · Yesclosed+$256kKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? · Yesclosed+$187kWill the US next strike Iran on February 28, 2026 (ET)? · Yesclosed+$75.8kUS strikes Iran by March 31, 2026? · Yesclosed+$41.2k
Worst markets
US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026? · Yesopen−$37.9kFIFA Club World Cup: PSG vs. Bayern (To Advance) · Bayern closed−$21.9kWill Iran strike a U.S. facility by Monday June 23? · Yesclosed−$12.0kWill Elon Musk create a new political party before August? · Noopen−$10.3kUS strikes Iran by February 13, 2026? · Yesopen−$8,399
Open positions · 10
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026? | Yes | 744k | 5.1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$37.9k | $0 | |
| US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026? | Yes | 112k | 7.5¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$8,399 | $0 | |
| US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026? | Yes | 89.4k | 6.4¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$5,755 | −$408 | |
| US strikes Iran by February 4, 2026? | Yes | 50.0k | 1.3¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$647 | $0 | |
| Another US military action against Iran by Monday? | Yes | 29.8k | 14.2¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$4,221 | −$581 | |
| Will Elon Musk create a new political party before August? | No | 15.0k | 69¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$10.3k | $0 | |
| FIFA Club World Cup: PSG vs. Real Madrid (To Advance) | Real Madrid | 10.1k | 40¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$4,043 | $0 | |
| US strikes Iran by February 6, 2026? | Yes | 8,684 | 2.1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$185 | $0 | |
| Israel strike on Iran on June 28? | Yes | 152 | 1.3¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1.98 | $0 | |
| Will Iran strike a U.S. facility by Monday June 30? | No | 140 | 28.2¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$39 | $0 |
Recent trades
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