sharpside
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Traders/Rank #22,645

Aurelius7

0x383…35e1
1y+SportPolitics
Polymarket
PnL all-time−$11.6kvol $762k
PnL 30d−$252gains $4,874 · losses $836
PnL 7d−$712win rate 7d 77.8%
Win rate59.5%adj 59.1% · 30d 83.3%
Open value$1,340cash n/a
Positions155 / 580open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age2.2ylast trade 1d ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL−$11.0kbelow peak −$16.2kOct 13

SharpScore inputs

35/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 59.5% · shrunk toward 50%48
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable92
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d97
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 100

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Spread: Saints (-2.5)Giants63655¢56¢$356+$6.36$0
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?No69436¢35.5¢$247−$3.47$0
Texans vs. JaguarsJaguars43158¢56.5¢$244−$6.47$0
Seahawks vs. BroncosSeahawks33360¢59.5¢$198−$1.67$0
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?Yes14370¢72.5¢$104+$3.57$0
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?Yes16959.3¢57.5¢$97−$3.08−$9.89
Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31?Yes21723¢17¢$37−$13$0
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes11058.7¢23.5¢$26−$39+$10
Don Lemon sentenced to prison?Yes30713¢4.8¢$15−$25$0
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes5735¢14.2¢$8.09−$12$0
Will Josh Hawley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes1,7861.4¢0.4¢$6.25−$19$0
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes50026¢0.7¢$3.25−$127$0
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?No7,16218.5¢0¢$0−$1,322−$63
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes6,9572.3¢0¢$0−$160−$4.69
Fordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?No4,49060.1¢0¢$0−$2,700$0
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes3,1914.7¢0¢$0−$150−$44
Will the Houston Texans win Super Bowl 2026?Yes2,59415.4¢0¢$0−$400$0
Will Mark Lynch be the Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?Yes2,3408.3¢0¢$0−$195−$0.98
Spread: Seahawks (-5.5)Patriots1,76253.9¢0¢$0−$950$0
Will Canada win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?Yes1,75745.1¢0¢$0−$793−$0.32
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?No1,6133.1¢0¢$0−$50$0
Spain vs. Argentina: Spain O/U 1.5Over1,52540¢0¢$0−$610−$18
Will Sanae Takaichi be the Prime Minister of Japan as a result of the 2026 snap election?No1,4741.7¢0¢$0−$25$0
Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?Yes1,41316.3¢0¢$0−$230$0
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Monte Carlo Masters?Yes1,24953.2¢0¢$0−$665−$1.14
Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Yes1,2321.6¢0¢$0−$20−$0.79
Will Aryna Sabalenka be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?Yes1,21716.4¢0¢$0−$200−$242
Will Binance be accused of insider trading?Yes1,1902.1¢0¢$0−$25$0
France vs. England: Team to WinFrance1,17668¢0¢$0−$800−$13
Will MEXC be accused of insider trading?Yes1,15510.8¢0¢$0−$125$0
Henry Cavill announced as next James Bond?Yes1,0911.8¢0¢$0−$20$0
Will France win on 2026-07-14?Yes1,04743¢0¢$0−$450−$13
UFC 319: Du Plessis vs. ChimaevDu Plessis1,00030¢0¢$0−$300$0
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?Yes99620.1¢0¢$0−$200$0
Netanyahu out by March 31?Yes9825.6¢0¢$0−$55$0
Spread: Seahawks (-2.5)Seahawks92656.7¢0¢$0−$525−$6.82
Cardinals vs. GiantsCardinals91657.3¢0¢$0−$525−$4.41
UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)Alex Pereira86951.2¢0¢$0−$445−$6.51
Packers vs. BearsPackers78255¢0¢$0−$430$0
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Yes7140.7¢0¢$0−$5.00−$0.20
US Open ATP: Daniil Medvedev vs Frances TiafoeDaniil Medvedev70259.8¢0¢$0−$420−$8.43
Ravens vs. Vikings: O/U 47.5Over66557.2¢0¢$0−$380$0
Spread: Rams (-2.5)Rams65857¢0¢$0−$375−$4.84
Spread: Texans (-7.5)Titans64854¢0¢$0−$350−$4.83
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?No64438.8¢0¢$0−$250$0
Will France win on 2026-07-18?Yes64453¢0¢$0−$341−$8.02
Will the Government shutdown end November 4-7?Yes6413.9¢0¢$0−$25$0
Spread: Patriots (-3.5)Texans64053¢0¢$0−$339$0
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes6337.9¢0¢$0−$50$0
Lions vs. ChiefsLions63145.2¢0¢$0−$285$0
Will another company be accused of insider trading?Yes62516¢0¢$0−$100$0
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?Yes61848.6¢0¢$0−$300$0
Will Novak Djokovic be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?Yes61411.4¢0¢$0−$70−$68
Spread: Duke (-4.5)Duke59756.9¢0¢$0−$340−$4.39
Will Tisza win at least 130 seats?No57869.3¢0¢$0−$400$0
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes57634.7¢0¢$0−$200−$3.92
Will Wintermute be accused of insider trading?Yes5631.8¢0¢$0−$10.00$0
49ers vs. RamsRams56071.4¢0¢$0−$400$0
Spread: 49ers (-2.5)Seahawks55654¢0¢$0−$300−$4.14
Ravens vs. PackersPackers55655.8¢0¢$0−$310$0
Bills vs. JaguarsJaguars54355.3¢0¢$0−$300$0
Spread: Jaguars (-2.5)Cardinals53851.9¢0¢$0−$279$0
Winston-Salem Open: Arthur Fery vs Ignacio BuseArthur Fery52256¢0¢$0−$292−$6.43
Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Men's French Open?Yes50519.8¢0¢$0−$100−$2.41
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?Yes48462¢0¢$0−$300−$30
Spread: Chiefs (-3.5)Chiefs48152¢0¢$0−$250$0
Will Carlos Álvarez win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes47213.8¢0¢$0−$65$0
Spread: Buccaneers (-2.5)Buccaneers47253¢0¢$0−$250$0
Eagles vs. ChargersEagles47051.3¢0¢$0−$241$0
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?Yes46932¢0¢$0−$150$0
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Yes46827.8¢0¢$0−$130$0
Ilhan Omar town hall attack staged?Yes4654.3¢0¢$0−$20$0
Packers vs. BroncosPackers45355.2¢0¢$0−$250$0
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?Yes43546¢0¢$0−$200$0
Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 2.5Under42647¢0¢$0−$200−$3.18
Spread: BYU (-6.5)TCU42355.8¢0¢$0−$236$0
Jacob Elordi announced as next James Bond?Yes4214.8¢0¢$0−$20$0
US strikes Iran by February 22, 2026?Yes41712¢0¢$0−$50$0
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by October 31?Yes39251¢0¢$0−$200$0
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?Yes39012.8¢0¢$0−$50$0
Eagles vs. BearsEagles38159¢0¢$0−$225$0
Spread: Giants (-5.5)Cardinals37952.7¢0¢$0−$200$0
UCLA vs. Oregon: O/U 56.5Over36455¢0¢$0−$200−$2.70
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?Yes36269¢0¢$0−$250−$2.33
Spread: Chiefs (-10.5)Dolphins35756¢0¢$0−$200$0
Spread: Texans (-8.5)Titans34558¢0¢$0−$200−$2.52
Will Jason Miyares win the 2025 Virginia Attorney General election?Yes34262.9¢0¢$0−$215−$6.46
Falcons vs. Saints: O/U 54.5Under33553.2¢0¢$0−$178$0
Spread: Bears (-6.5)Saints33360¢0¢$0−$200$0
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-29?Yes33039.4¢0¢$0−$130−$13
Texans vs. ColtsTexans33053¢0¢$0−$175$0
Spain vs. Belgium: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under32331¢0¢$0−$100−$2.07
Exact Score: France 2 - 1 Morocco?Yes31811¢0¢$0−$35−$0.93
Bills vs. FalconsBills31347.9¢0¢$0−$150$0
Madrid Open: Mirra Andreeva vs Marta KostyukMirra Andreeva31339.9¢0¢$0−$125−$2.25
Steelers vs. BrownsSteelers3116.4¢0¢$0−$20$0
Will France strike Iran by March 31?Yes3118¢0¢$0−$25$0
Packers vs. Cardinals: O/U 45.5Under30955¢0¢$0−$170$0
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by August 31?No29967¢0¢$0−$200$0
Spread: Patriots (-7.5)Titans29857¢0¢$0−$170$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
SELL RamsBills vs. Rams14¢779$10960%35
BUY RamsBills vs. Rams57¢175$10060%35
BUY RamsBills vs. Rams58¢603$35060%35
BUY JaguarsTexans vs. Jaguars58¢431$25060%35
BUY GiantsSpread: Saints (-2.5)55¢636$35060%35
BUY SeahawksSeahawks vs. Broncos60¢333$20060%35
BUY RamsSpread: Rams (-2.5)57¢658$37560%35
SELL FalconsRavens vs. Falcons41¢746$30660%35
BUY FalconsRavens vs. Falcons57¢219$12560%35
BUY FalconsRavens vs. Falcons57¢526$30060%35
BUY SeahawksSpread: 49ers (-2.5)54¢556$30060%35
BUY SeahawksSpread: Seahawks (-2.5)56¢268$15060%35
BUY VikingsVikings vs. Saints59¢508$30060%35
BUY TitansSpread: Texans (-16.5)56¢268$15060%35
BUY JetsBrowns vs. Jets64¢234$15060%35
BUY SeahawksSpread: Seahawks (-2.5)57¢658$37560%35
SELL JaguarsSpread: Eagles (-2.5)94.1¢673$63460%35
BUY JaguarsSpread: Eagles (-2.5)52¢673$35060%35
BUY TitansSpread: Texans (-8.5)58¢345$20060%35
BUY JetsBrowns vs. Jets57¢263$15060%35