PnL all-time−$60vol $1,400
PnL 30d+$17gains $45 · losses $0
PnL 7d+$5.15win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate100.0%adj 56.5% · 30d 100.0%
Open value$164cash n/a
Positions9 / 12open / all-time
Max drawdown0%of equity peak
Account age5molast trade 1d ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
Not enough history to draw an equity curve.
SharpScore inputs
23/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 100.0% · shrunk toward 50%41
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable36
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d95
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity100
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Will Trump pardon anyone by September 30? · Noclosed+$45Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026? · Yesclosed+$34Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 30, 2026? · Yesclosed+$34Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut in the top 3 of the Text Arena leaderboard by June 30, 2027? · Yesopen+$13Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on November 10, 2026? · Yesopen+$3.11
Worst markets
Will OpenAI file for an IPO by June 5, 2026? · Yesopen−$62Grok 4.4 released by July 17? · Noopen−$51Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026? · Noopen−$26Will the total domestic gross for The Odyssey be between 530m and 550m by August 31? · Yesopen−$20Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 4, 2026? · Noopen−$10
Open positions · 3
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut in the top 3 of the Text Arena leaderboard by June 30, 2027? | Yes | 170 | 63¢ | 70.5¢ | $120 | +$13 | $0 | |
| Muse Charm released by December 31, 2026? | No | 197 | 19.1¢ | 19.5¢ | $38 | +$0.84 | $0 | |
| Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on November 10, 2026? | Yes | 21 | 14.5¢ | 29.5¢ | $6.11 | +$3.11 | $0 |
Recent trades
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