sharpside
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Traders/Rank #2,001

cowcat

0x38e…95e7
WhalePnL 10k+WR 60+1y+SportPoliticsOtherCulture
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$41.2kvol $23.6M
PnL 30d+$16.5kgains $30.0k · losses $3,572
PnL 7d+$24.2kwin rate 7d 73.9%
Win rate65.6%adj 64.9% · 30d 61.0%
Open value$242kcash n/a
Positions2,000 / 5,730open / all-time
Max drawdown−78.0%of equity peak
Account age2.5ylast trade 6h ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$68.5kbelow peak −$137kOct 9

SharpScore inputs

59/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale66
Adjusted win rateraw 65.6% · shrunk toward 50%62
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable100
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d99
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity22

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 100

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes29.2k39.1¢52.3¢$15.3k+$3,845+$390
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?No26.2k30.1¢42.5¢$11.1k+$3,250+$384
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?No13.1k53.2¢70.5¢$9,222+$2,258+$3,644
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes20.6k11.1¢41.3¢$8,489+$6,208+$593
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes16.1k36¢35.5¢$5,719−$81+$88
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseYes54.0k16.8¢8.5¢$4,588−$4,466−$23
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?No46.8k16.1¢9.5¢$4,448−$3,075$0
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Yes10.3k30.3¢42.5¢$4,386+$1,260+$229
Will the Republican Party win the MO-02 House seat?Yes5,49371.1¢73.5¢$4,037+$129+$23
Will Dallas Cowboys win the 2026 NFC East?No6,46352¢61.5¢$3,975+$614$0
Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026?Yes8,69849.3¢45.5¢$3,958−$330$0
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseNo9,89349.7¢37.5¢$3,710−$1,209$0
Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?Yes3,29536.5¢90.5¢$2,982+$1,779−$31
Will the Republican Party win the CA-06 House seat?No2,81491.6¢98.5¢$2,772+$196$0
Anduril IPO before 2027?No2,53169.1¢97.9¢$2,477+$728$0
Databricks IPO before 2027?No2,50058.2¢98.2¢$2,455+$999$0
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-28 House seat?Yes2,50087.8¢96.6¢$2,415+$221+$24
Will the Democratic Party win the MI-13 House seat?Yes2,27892¢98.5¢$2,244+$148+$2.29
Will the Democratic Party win the MI-06 House seat?Yes2,28292¢97.1¢$2,214+$115+$0.09
Will Greenland vote for independence in 2026?No2,18089.6¢96.5¢$2,103+$149−$112
Deel IPO before 2027?No2,10740.7¢99.4¢$2,095+$1,236$0
Will the Republican Party win the MI-02 House seat?Yes2,10892¢98¢$2,065+$125−$15
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?Yes5,42639.7¢37.5¢$2,035−$120+$2.25
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-32 House seat?Yes2,07492¢96.1¢$1,992+$84$0
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-35 House seat?Yes2,00392¢98.7¢$1,975+$133$0
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?Yes9,10631¢21.5¢$1,958−$863−$158
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?No2,00090¢97.3¢$1,945+$145$0
Will the Democratic Party win the MA-04 House seat?Yes1,95692¢97.3¢$1,902+$103+$0.20
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?Yes18.5k51.7¢10¢$1,853−$7,735$0
Will the Democratic Party win the MA-01 House seat?Yes1,89891¢95.5¢$1,813+$85+$0.21
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?No1,85875¢93.5¢$1,737+$344+$26
Will the Republicans win the Wyoming Senate race in 2026?Yes1,63192¢98.4¢$1,604+$104$0
Will Donald Trump visit Germany in 2026?No1,82139.2¢84¢$1,530+$816$0
Will the Republican Party win the MO-07 House seat?Yes1,55092¢96.5¢$1,495+$69$0
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes15.6k14.7¢9.5¢$1,481−$807+$2,438
Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before 2027?Yes7,80840.6¢18¢$1,405−$1,763+$100
Will the Republican Party win the NC-03 House seat?Yes1,70185¢81.5¢$1,386−$60$0
Will the Republican Party win the NC-05 House seat?Yes1,59487.8¢84.5¢$1,347−$53$0
Will the Democratic Party win the MA-08 House seat?Yes1,38092¢97.4¢$1,344+$75$0
Will the Republican Party win the OK-02 House seat?Yes1,35192¢98.4¢$1,329+$86$0
Vanta IPO before 2027?No1,32678.7¢99¢$1,313+$269$0
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-52 House seat?Yes1,36090.7¢95.9¢$1,303+$69$0
Will the Democratic Party win the NY-16 House seat?Yes1,33992.2¢96.2¢$1,288+$54+$0.17
Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027?Yes7,71559.7¢16.5¢$1,273−$3,331+$594
Rippling IPO before 2027?No1,22079.3¢96.8¢$1,181+$214$0
Will the Republican Party win the HI-01 House seat?No1,21195¢96.5¢$1,169+$18$0
Will the Republican Party win the TX-08 House seat?Yes1,20090¢95.5¢$1,146+$66$0
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-44 House seat?Yes1,17391.5¢97.3¢$1,141+$67$0
Will the Republican Party win the KS-03 House seat?No1,14887.5¢95.5¢$1,096+$92$0
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No1,92974¢56.3¢$1,086−$341+$208
Will the Democratic Party win the WA-02 House seat?Yes1,12392¢96.6¢$1,085+$52$0
Will Donald Trump visit India in 2026?No1,12543.6¢94.5¢$1,063+$573$0
Discord IPO before 2027?No1,14236.3¢91¢$1,039+$625$0
Will Solana reach $160 by December 31, 2026?No1,23931.8¢82¢$1,016+$622$0
Will the Republicans win the Colorado Senate race in 2026?No1,02286.6¢98.5¢$1,006+$121$0
Will the Republican Party win the MI-09 House seat?Yes1,01690¢96.5¢$980+$66$0
Will Bernadette Wilson win the 2026 Alaska governor election?No1,21673.4¢80.5¢$979+$87+$120
Will the Democratic Party win the NY-09 House seat?Yes98793¢95.6¢$944+$26+$0.10
Will Walt Weiss win the 2026 NL Manager of the Year?Yes3,76919.3¢25¢$942+$213+$24
Will UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No95395.3¢98.7¢$941+$32+$3.83
Will the Democratic Party win the CO-05 House seat?No1,24765.6¢75¢$935+$117$0
Will the Republicans win the New Hampshire governor race in 2026?Yes97575.9¢94.5¢$921+$182+$18
Brex IPO before 2027?No92566¢99.2¢$917+$307$0
Will the Republican Party win the CA-26 House seat?No92190¢95¢$875+$46$0
Ramp IPO before 2027?No85580.2¢97.7¢$835+$149−$7.62
Celonis IPO before 2027?No80275.4¢97.1¢$779+$174$0
NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027?No85489¢91¢$777+$17−$238
Will Blake Miguez be the Republican nominee for LA-05?No78483.6¢98.6¢$773+$117+$1.29
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?No79681¢96¢$764+$119$0
Will the Republican Party win the TX-38 House seat?Yes83982.2¢91¢$763+$74+$11
Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?Yes13.8k24.2¢5.5¢$761−$2,590+$21
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?Yes3,94227.2¢19¢$749−$325+$4.59
Will the Republican Party win the FL-12 House seat?Yes87088.8¢85.5¢$744−$29$0
Will the Republican Party win the TN-09 House seat?Yes83377.9¢87.5¢$729+$80$0
Will the Republican Party win the NC-08 House seat?Yes75485.5¢96.7¢$729+$84+$0.72
Will Yordan Alvarez win the 2026 American League MVP Award?Yes76082.6¢94.7¢$719+$92+$139
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes2,77164.9¢25.5¢$707−$1,093$0
Will the Republican Party win the CA-23 House seat?Yes70183¢95.8¢$671+$89$0
Glean IPO before 2027?No67684.6¢99¢$669+$98$0
Will the Republican Party win the OH-08 House seat?Yes71480.9¢91.5¢$653+$76$0
Will the Republican Party win the FL-18 House seat?Yes71088¢91.5¢$650+$25$0
Will the Republican Party win the NY-01 House seat?Yes75558.5¢86¢$649+$208+$11
Will the Republican Party win the NY-23 House seat?Yes68382.2¢95¢$649+$87+$26
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Yes9,79510.3¢6.5¢$632−$381+$25
Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?No68291.7¢91.5¢$624−$1.33+$19
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-17 House seat?Yes64293¢96.8¢$621+$24$0
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?No60796.8¢99.4¢$603+$15$0
Will the Democratic Party win the MI-11 House seat?Yes62090.2¢95.9¢$594+$35+$17
Will Hunter Biden announce a Presidential run before 2027?No61994.9¢95.6¢$592+$4.62$0
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?No2,00026¢29.5¢$590+$70$0
Will Solana reach $300 by December 31, 2026?No60786.8¢97¢$589+$62$0
Will the Republican Party win the OK-05 House seat?Yes63485.4¢91.5¢$580+$38+$3.06
Will the Democratic Party win the AL-02 House seat?No78973¢73.5¢$580+$3.95$0
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes1,33752.8¢42.5¢$568−$138$0
Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?No3,01521¢18.5¢$558−$76+$53
Ripple Labs IPO before 2027?No57181.2¢97.4¢$556+$92$0
Will Rebeca Grynspan be the next Secretary General of the United Nations?Yes1,19315.8¢45.9¢$548+$360+$18
Will New Orleans Saints win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship?No53291.7¢97.9¢$521+$33+$24
Will the Democratic Party win the KS-03 House seat?Yes54488¢95.5¢$520+$41$0
Will the Republican Party win the GA-12 House seat?Yes59384¢86.5¢$513+$15$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY YesWill the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?36¢11.1k$4,00066%59
BUY BuccaneersBuccaneers vs. Cowboys85.5¢414$35466%59
BUY BuccaneersBuccaneers vs. Cowboys92.5¢304$28166%59
BUY YesWill the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?36¢5,000$1,80066%59
BUY NoWill Dallas Cowboys win the 2026 NFC East?52¢6,463$3,36166%59
BUY Milwaukee BrewersMilwaukee Brewers vs. San Diego Padres87¢3,430$2,98466%59
BUY Tampa Bay RaysTampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees70¢21.7k$15.2k66%59Whale
BUY San Diego PadresMilwaukee Brewers vs. San Diego Padres86¢5,000$4,30066%59
BUY San Diego PadresMilwaukee Brewers vs. San Diego Padres77¢338$26066%59
BUY San Diego PadresMilwaukee Brewers vs. San Diego Padres79¢5$3.9566%59
BUY YesWill Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?10.1¢168$1766%59
BUY YesWill Alexandru Nazare be the next Prime Minister of Romania?11¢206$2366%59
BUY NoWill United States win on 2026-10-03?63¢915$57666%59
BUY NoWill Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?48¢762$36666%59
BUY NoWill Chicago Bears win the 2026 NFC North?75¢200$15066%59
BUY YesWill the For safe food – through strengthening sustainable domestic production, increasing plant-based foods and ensuring clean drinking water (food initiative) initiative be approved in Switzerland’s September 27, 2026 popular vote?1.3¢124$1.5966%59
BUY YesWill the Safeguarding Swiss neutrality (neutrality initiative) initiative be approved in Switzerland’s September 27, 2026 popular vote?2.4¢137$3.3166%59
BUY YesWill the Republican Party hold exactly 56 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?0.3¢2,011$6.0366%59
BUY NoWill Luis Arraez have the highest batting average in the 2026 MLB regular season?93¢20$1966%59
BUY NoWill Luis Arraez have the highest batting average in the 2026 MLB regular season?95¢759$72166%59