PnL all-time−$33.2kvol $670k
PnL 30d+$119gains $0 · losses $0
PnL 7d+$26win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate35.2%adj 39.2% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$5,052cash n/a
Positions9 / 63open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age2.3ylast trade 2h ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL−$33.2kbelow peak −$49.5kOct 9
SharpScore inputs
19/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 35.2% · shrunk toward 50%0
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable60
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d100
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Worst markets
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? · Yesclosed−$17.0kWill LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27? · Yesopen−$10.1kWill Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election? · Yesclosed−$5,988Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? · Yesclosed−$5,559Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · Yesclosed−$4,248
Open positions · 9
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | No | 12.8k | 37.9¢ | 37.5¢ | $4,813 | −$49 | $0 | |
| Will any country leave NATO by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 2,727 | 11¢ | 4.9¢ | $132 | −$168 | $0 | |
| Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? | Yes | 3,797 | 11.9¢ | 2.8¢ | $106 | −$344 | $0 | |
| Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27? | Yes | 18.3k | 46.6¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$8,556 | −$1,541 | |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | Yes | 8,050 | 47.2¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$3,800 | $0 | |
| Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27? | Yes | 2,886 | 47.5¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1,370 | −$214 | |
| Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP? | Yes | 1,864 | 11.6¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$216 | $0 | |
| Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 Cadillac Championship? | Yes | 1,201 | 25¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$300 | −$6.75 | |
| Will Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP? | Yes | 409 | 2.1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$8.59 | $0 |
Recent trades
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