sharpside
LIVE--:--:-- UTCdata as of —24h vol —trades —whale trades —markets —Polymarket flow, ranked — who’s sharp, who’s early, where size is moving.
Traders/Rank #2,676

rocky42024

0x391…def1
PnL 10k+1y+WeatherPoliticsSportOther
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$23.6kvol $11.1M
PnL 30d−$4,832gains $4,514 · losses $3,639
PnL 7d−$2,501win rate 7d 68.3%
Win rate53.0%adj 52.9% · 30d 52.8%
Open value$8,935cash n/a
Positions256 / 6,817open / all-time
Max drawdown−31.1%of equity peak
Account age1.3ylast trade 2d ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$23.1kbelow peak −$3,518Oct 12

SharpScore inputs

62/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale62
Adjusted win rateraw 53.0% · shrunk toward 50%32
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable100
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d93
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity69

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 100

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on October 11?No37158.7¢100¢$371+$153$0
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 84-85°F on October 7?No30354.9¢100¢$303+$137$0
Will Jynxzi, Ron and Los beat the Minecraft challenge by October 9?Yes29961¢100¢$299+$117+$27
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 20°C on October 4?No29174.7¢100¢$291+$73+$0.85
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 64-65°F on October 2?No28948.2¢100¢$289+$150−$19
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?No65533.5¢41.5¢$272+$52+$66
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 21°C on October 2?No26837.2¢100¢$268+$168+$9.12
Will Ronaldo Caiado finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No26195.8¢100¢$261+$11+$78
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?No43060.8¢58.5¢$252−$9.80−$91
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?No80528.9¢29.5¢$238+$4.71+$32
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 58-59°F on October 10?No23061.4¢100¢$230+$89−$1.22
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?No28872¢78.5¢$226+$19−$7.00
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026No1,17725.5¢19¢$224−$77+$138
Over 30M humans verified on World Network by December 31?No28989.3¢74.8¢$216−$42$0
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on October 13?No27364.9¢77.5¢$212+$34$0
Will Jynxzi, Ron and Los beat the Minecraft challenge by October 12?Yes19893¢100¢$198+$14$0
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?No44542.3¢43.5¢$193+$5.33+$86
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?No1,20018.5¢14.5¢$174−$49+$72
Will Jynxzi, Ron and Los beat the Minecraft challenge by October 7?No15088¢100¢$150+$18$0
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?No20360.7¢70.5¢$143+$20+$52
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alex de Minaur vs Alex MolcanAlex Molcan27530.8¢50¢$138+$53$0
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026?No13767.5¢100¢$137+$44+$0.90
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?Yes28142.8¢48.5¢$136+$16+$37
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes29946.4¢45.1¢$135−$3.98+$108
Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026?No64314.9¢19¢$122+$26+$28
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 82-83°F on October 7?No11967.6¢100¢$119+$39−$8.47
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on October 7?No11167.1¢100¢$111+$36+$19
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,800 in October?No11489.5¢93.8¢$107+$4.89+$6.64
Probable FDV above $100M one day after launch?Yes79210¢13.2¢$104+$25+$4.44
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 25°C on October 7?No10362.4¢100¢$103+$39+$3.33
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 24°C on October 5?No10052¢100¢$100+$48+$3.81
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on October 7?No9977.3¢100¢$99+$23+$3.82
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 18°C on October 4?No9992¢100¢$99+$7.92$0
W50 Burgas: Federica Urgesi vs Iva IvanovaIva Ivanova9718¢100¢$97+$80$0
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C on October 7?No9794.4¢100¢$97+$5.42+$0.36
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 28°C on October 7?No9584¢100¢$95+$15+$1.32
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C on October 5?No9554.7¢100¢$95+$43−$6.39
Will Seattle have less than 1.75 inches of precipitation in October?No13564.2¢69.5¢$94+$7.12$0
Will George Russell win the Sprint at the 2026 F1 Singapore Grand Prix?No9175¢100¢$91+$23+$0.12
Will Jynxzi, Ron and Los beat the Minecraft challenge by October 8?Yes9131¢100¢$91+$63+$196
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 88-89°F on October 1?Yes9050.5¢100¢$90+$45+$76
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on September 30, 2026?No9094.4¢100¢$90+$5.04$0
Will Jynxzi, Ron and Los beat the Minecraft challenge by October 11?Yes8484.3¢100¢$84+$13+$12
LoL: Team WE vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group StageTeam WE8049¢100¢$80+$41$0
Will Tesla deliver between 500000 and 525000 vehicles in Q3 2026No6996.1¢100¢$69+$2.71+$1.02
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 56-57°F on October 10?Yes6354.2¢100¢$63+$29−$0.39
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 20°C on October 2?No5993¢100¢$59+$4.12$0
Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by December 31, 2027?No17438¢33.5¢$58−$7.83−$72
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on October 9?No5532¢100¢$55+$38$0
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 76-77°F on October 5?No5553.5¢100¢$55+$25+$0.36
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on October 10?No5490.6¢100¢$54+$5.08$0
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 19°C on October 5?No5450¢100¢$54+$27+$6.44
Will the Democratic Party win the CO-06 House seat?Yes5693¢95.7¢$54+$1.48+$4.47
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on October 2?Yes5298.3¢100¢$52+$0.87+$1.65
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?Yes29915¢15.8¢$47+$2.37+$23
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 15°C on October 5?No4567.4¢100¢$45+$15+$4.38
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 23°C on October 5?No4477¢100¢$44+$10$0
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?Yes1,22116.4¢3.6¢$43−$157+$116
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31?Yes29921.7¢14¢$42−$23+$67
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on September 30?No3853.5¢100¢$38+$18+$7.18
Will Petr Hlaváček be the next Mayor of Prague?Yes4023¢93.5¢$38+$29$0
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 22°C on October 2?Yes3720.7¢100¢$37+$30+$42
Will ByteDance have the third highest private market valuation at the end of October?No5488.9¢6.5¢$36−$13$0
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on October 13?No8054.8¢43.5¢$35−$9.06$0
Lai Ching-te out as President of Taiwan by December 31, 2026?Yes47710.3¢7¢$33−$16−$2.90
Will Elon Musk post 1000+ tweets in October 2026?No18723.4¢16¢$30−$14−$0.80
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 31, 2026?Yes27810.1¢10¢$28−$0.17−$81
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 62-63°F on October 2?No2784.5¢100¢$27+$4.18−$11
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30?No2696¢100¢$26+$1.02+$187
Will Augusto Cury finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes2598.3¢100¢$25+$0.42+$12
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on October 10?No2356.4¢100¢$23+$10−$18
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?No2211.8¢100¢$22+$20+$385
Will Ink launch a token by December 31, 2026?Yes10029¢21.5¢$22−$7.50$0
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 74-75°F on October 5?Yes2122.9¢100¢$21+$16+$22
Will Wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027?Yes29817.3¢6.5¢$19−$32+$11
Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by June 30, 2027?No2169.4¢89.5¢$19+$4.30−$2.88
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on October 1?No1764.8¢100¢$17+$5.91+$11
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026?No1595.1¢100¢$15+$0.72+$11
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 80-81°F on October 7?Yes1331.9¢100¢$13+$9.11+$38
Will "Primetime" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 7m and 9m?Yes1293¢100¢$12+$0.83$0
Will world GDP growth be 3.1% in 2026?No1766.2¢68.7¢$12+$0.42+$0.54
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 30°C on October 6?No1156.9¢100¢$11+$4.95$0
Will Israel strike 7 countries in 2026?Yes9174.8¢1.3¢$11−$32+$1.42
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 15, 2026?Yes30012.6¢3.8¢$11−$26−$35
Will Israel strike 8 countries in 2026?Yes1,1961.8¢1¢$11−$9.84$0
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 23, 2026?Yes10119¢11¢$11−$8.08−$1.75
Will Israel strike 9 countries in 2026?Yes1,2500.9¢0.9¢$11−$0.54+$1.85
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 28°C on October 5?No1072.8¢100¢$9.73+$2.65−$0.23
Will Amal Movement win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?Yes1,0702.8¢0.9¢$9.63−$20+$47
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 22°C on October 5?Yes932.3¢100¢$9.41+$6.37+$2.54
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by September 30, 2026?Yes993.7¢100¢$8.82+$0.56−$15
Will the U.S. invade Colombia in 2026?Yes2632.9¢3.2¢$8.29+$0.65+$0.11
Will Russia capture Novyi Donbas by October 31?Yes10145¢8¢$8.07−$37+$28
Will Rick Devens come in third-place on Big Brother season 28?No849.2¢100¢$7.51+$3.81$0
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 78-79°F on October 2?No880¢100¢$7.50+$1.50$0
Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?Yes2575.2¢2.9¢$7.33−$6.04+$14
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 71°F or below on October 2?No777¢100¢$6.52+$1.50$0
Trump meets with Mojtaba Khamenei by December 31?Yes2707.1¢2.4¢$6.35−$13−$0.72
Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes1,2410.5¢0.5¢$6.21−$0.51$0
Will Petr Hlaváček be the next Mayor of Prague?No8865¢6.5¢$5.72−$51$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
SELL NoWill Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026?89.1¢54$4853%62
SELL NoWill Max Verstappen win the Sprint at the 2026 F1 Singapore Grand Prix?31¢144$4553%62
SELL NoWill the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on October 10?40¢5$2.0053%62
SELL FuegoLoL: Disguised vs Fuego (BO5) - LCS Promotion Playoffs13¢114$1553%62
SELL NoWill the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on October 10?36¢28$1053%62
SELL NoWill Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,000 in October?54¢100$5453%62
SELL NoWill Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,000 in October?54¢100$5453%62
SELL NoWill Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,000 in October?54¢100$5453%62
SELL YesWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?53¢188$10053%62
SELL YesWill Jynxzi, Ron and Los beat the Minecraft challenge by October 9?51¢126$6453%62
SELL CyberHeroDota 2: HULIGANI vs CyberHero (BO3) - PARI Universe Closed Qualifier Playoffs46¢102$4753%62
SELL YesWill the highest temperature in Milan be 24°C on October 5?53¢14$7.4253%62
SELL NoWill Augusto Cury finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?63¢61$3853%62
SELL NoWill Augusto Cury finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?63¢270$17053%62
SELL NoSkin cancer vaccine FDA approved by December 31, 2027?33¢149$4953%62
SELL CYBERSHOKE EsportsCounter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs CYBERSHOKE Esports (BO3) - CIS LAN Championship Playoffs49¢159$7853%62
SELL NoWill Democrats win exactly 4 House seats in Minnesota in the 2026 midterm elections?32¢50$1653%62
SELL NoWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 64-65°F on October 2?52¢165$8653%62
SELL NoWill Democrats win exactly 4 House seats in Minnesota in the 2026 midterm elections?40¢166$6653%62
SELL NoWill OL Lyonnes win on 2026-09-30?31¢64$2053%62