sharpside
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Traders/Rank #1,919

Itlliccaa

0x395…ee8d
PnL 10k+1y+PoliticsSport
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$47.0kvol $11.3M
PnL 30d+$54.7kgains $57.6k · losses $0.85
PnL 7d−$2,916win rate 7d 88.2%
Win rate25.8%adj 26.8% · 30d 35.2%
Open value$19cash n/a
Positions2,000 / 8,602open / all-time
Max drawdown−18.3%of equity peak
Account age1.1ylast trade 11h ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$47.3kbelow peak −$2,929Oct 8

SharpScore inputs

58/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale67
Adjusted win rateraw 25.8% · shrunk toward 50%0
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable100
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d98
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity82

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 100

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes1260.8¢0.5¢$0.63−$0.34$0
Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes270.8¢2.3¢$0.61+$0.40+$0.13
Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes250.7¢2.4¢$0.59+$0.40−$0.05
Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes210.8¢2.5¢$0.51+$0.35+$0.54
Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes1380.7¢0.4¢$0.48−$0.55$0
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes210.8¢1.7¢$0.35+$0.18+$0.63
Will Candace Owens win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes1380.7¢0.3¢$0.34−$0.69$0
Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes250.7¢1.4¢$0.34+$0.15$0
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes270.8¢0.9¢$0.24+$0.03+$0.20
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes270.8¢0.9¢$0.23+$0.02+$0.05
Will Hakeem Jeffries win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes1410.7¢0.2¢$0.21−$0.84$0
Will Elissa Slotkin win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes1410.7¢0.2¢$0.21−$0.84$0
Will Mitch Landrieu win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes1410.7¢0.2¢$0.21−$0.84$0
Will Abigail Spanberger win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes1410.7¢0.2¢$0.21−$0.84$0
Will Chris Van Hollen win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes1410.7¢0.2¢$0.21−$0.84$0
Will Josh Stein win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes1410.7¢0.2¢$0.21−$0.84$0
Will John McEntee win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes1380.7¢0.2¢$0.21−$0.82$0
Will John N. Kennedy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes1380.7¢0.2¢$0.21−$0.82$0
Will Joe Kent win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes1380.7¢0.2¢$0.21−$0.82$0
Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes210.8¢0.9¢$0.19+$0.03+$0.49
Will Tom Cotton win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes1260.8¢0.2¢$0.19−$0.78$0
Will the New York Giants win the 2027 NFL league championship?Yes253¢0.8¢$0.19−$0.57−$2.02
Will the Cleveland Browns win the 2027 NFL league championship?Yes253¢0.7¢$0.16−$0.60−$2.42
Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes250.7¢0.7¢$0.16−$0.02+$0.07
Will Samuel Wyatt be the Republican nominee for LA-05?Yes140.1¢1.2¢$0.16+$0.15$0
Will the Pittsburgh Steelers win the 2027 NFL league championship?Yes253¢0.5¢$0.14−$0.62−$2.37
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes270.8¢0.5¢$0.12−$0.09+$0.08
Will the Arizona Cardinals win the 2027 NFL league championship?Yes253¢0.5¢$0.11−$0.65−$2.58
Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes250.7¢0.5¢$0.11−$0.07+$0.16
Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes210.8¢0.5¢$0.09−$0.07+$0.40
Will the Miami Dolphins win the 2027 NFL league championship?Yes253¢0.4¢$0.09−$0.67−$2.50
Will the Tennessee Titans win the 2027 NFL league championship?Yes253¢0.4¢$0.09−$0.67−$2.45
Will Mark Cuban win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes250.7¢0.4¢$0.09−$0.10+$0.25
Will Chris Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes250.7¢0.4¢$0.09−$0.10+$0.20
Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes210.8¢0.4¢$0.07−$0.09+$0.45
Will Josh Hawley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes210.8¢0.4¢$0.07−$0.09+$0.24
Will Marjorie Taylor Greene win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes210.8¢0.4¢$0.07−$0.09+$0.38
Will Graham Platner win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes1410.7¢0.1¢$0.07−$0.98$0
Will Adam Schiff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes1410.7¢0.1¢$0.07−$0.98$0
Will Alex Padilla win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes1410.7¢0.1¢$0.07−$0.98$0
Will Tim Scott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes1380.7¢0.1¢$0.07−$0.96$0
Will Mike Johnson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes1380.7¢0.1¢$0.07−$0.96$0
Will Rick Scott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes1380.7¢0.1¢$0.07−$0.96$0
Will Doug Burgum win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes1380.7¢0.1¢$0.07−$0.96$0
Will Jalen Brunson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes1260.8¢0.1¢$0.06−$0.91$0
Will Alex Padilla win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes1260.8¢0.1¢$0.06−$0.91$0
Will Mike Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes1260.8¢0.1¢$0.06−$0.91$0
Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes1260.8¢0.1¢$0.06−$0.91$0
Will Tim Scott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes1260.8¢0.1¢$0.06−$0.91$0
Will Abigail Spanberger win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes1260.8¢0.1¢$0.06−$0.91$0
Will Hakeem Jeffries win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes1260.8¢0.1¢$0.06−$0.91$0
Will Candace Owens win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes1260.8¢0.1¢$0.06−$0.91$0
Will Adam Schiff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes1260.8¢0.1¢$0.06−$0.91$0
Will Elissa Slotkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes1260.8¢0.1¢$0.06−$0.91$0
Will John N. Kennedy win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes1260.8¢0.1¢$0.06−$0.91$0
Will Josh Stein win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes1260.8¢0.1¢$0.06−$0.91$0
Will Rick Scott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes1260.8¢0.1¢$0.06−$0.91$0
Will Doug Burgum win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes1260.8¢0.1¢$0.06−$0.91$0
Will Roy Cooper win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes250.7¢0.3¢$0.06−$0.12+$0.09
Will Katie Britt win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes210.8¢0.3¢$0.05−$0.11+$0.24
Will Rand Paul win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes210.8¢0.3¢$0.05−$0.11+$0.42
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes210.8¢0.3¢$0.05−$0.11+$0.05
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be 9% or higher?Yes150.1¢0.3¢$0.04+$0.03$0
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 2.0% and 3.0%?Yes220.1¢0.2¢$0.04+$0.02$0
Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes270.8¢0.2¢$0.04−$0.17+$22
Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes270.8¢0.2¢$0.04−$0.17+$0.13
Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes270.8¢0.2¢$0.04−$0.17+$0.12
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes250.7¢0.2¢$0.04−$0.15+$0.32
Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes250.7¢0.2¢$0.04−$0.15+$0.02
Will Gina Raimondo win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes250.7¢0.2¢$0.04−$0.15+$0.23
Will Jared Polis win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes250.7¢0.2¢$0.04−$0.15−$0.05
Will Hillary Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes250.7¢0.2¢$0.04−$0.15+$0.07
Will Phil Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes250.7¢0.2¢$0.04−$0.15+$0.30
Will Barack Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes250.7¢0.2¢$0.04−$0.15+$0.17
Will Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes210.8¢0.2¢$0.03−$0.13−$0.08
Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes210.8¢0.2¢$0.03−$0.13+$0.33
Will Byron Donalds win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes210.8¢0.2¢$0.03−$0.13+$0.03
Will Elise Stefanik win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes210.8¢0.2¢$0.03−$0.13−$0.01
Will Kristi Noem win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes210.8¢0.2¢$0.03−$0.13−$0.08
Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes210.8¢0.2¢$0.03−$0.13+$0.33
Will Eric Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes210.8¢0.2¢$0.03−$0.13−$0.06
Will Steve Bannon win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes210.8¢0.2¢$0.03−$0.13+$0.01
Will Elon Musk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes210.8¢0.2¢$0.03−$0.13+$0.47
Will LeBron James win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes250.7¢0.1¢$0.03−$0.16+$0.25
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 1.0% and 2.0%?Yes200.1¢0.1¢$0.02$0$0
Will Stephen Smith win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes270.8¢0.1¢$0.01−$0.20+$0.22
Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes270.8¢0.1¢$0.01−$0.20$0
Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes270.8¢0.1¢$0.01−$0.20+$0.03
Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes270.8¢0.1¢$0.01−$0.20−$0.04
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes270.8¢0.1¢$0.01−$0.20+$0.11
Will Eric Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes270.8¢0.1¢$0.01−$0.20+$0.03
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes270.8¢0.1¢$0.01−$0.20+$0.03
Will Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes250.7¢0.1¢$0.01−$0.17−$0.12
Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes250.7¢0.1¢$0.01−$0.17+$0.18
Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes250.7¢0.1¢$0.01−$0.17+$55
Will Beto O’Rourke win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes250.7¢0.1¢$0.01−$0.17+$0.07
Will Liz Cheney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes250.7¢0.1¢$0.01−$0.17+$0.18
Will George Clooney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes250.7¢0.1¢$0.01−$0.17+$0.04
Will MrBeast win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes250.7¢0.1¢$0.01−$0.17+$0.18
Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes250.7¢0.1¢$0.01−$0.17+$0.07

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
SELL YesWill Ted Cruz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?0.5¢126$0.6326%58
SELL YesWill Micael win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?0.6¢7$0.0426%58
SELL YesWill Hugo Lloris win 2026 MLS Goalkeeper of the Year?10.2¢6$0.6126%58
SELL YesWill Tom Cotton win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?0.4¢138$0.5526%58
SELL YesWill the New England Patriots win the 2027 NFL league championship?3.1¢25$0.7826%58
SELL YesWill Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 US Presidential Election?0.6¢126$0.7526%58
SELL YesWill Walker Zimmerman win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?1.1¢8$0.0926%58
SELL YesWill Green Party win the second-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?1.3¢6$0.0826%58
SELL YesWill Tristan Blackmon win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?1.1¢7$0.0826%58
SELL YesWill Carson Benge win the 2026 NL Rookie of the Year award?22.1¢7$1.5526%58
SELL YesWill Mark Kelly win the 2028 US Presidential Election?1.3¢126$1.6426%58
SELL YesWill the Baltimore Ravens win the 2027 NFL league championship?7.1¢25$1.7826%58
SELL YesWill the Kansas City Chiefs win the 2027 NFL league championship?9.2¢25$2.3026%58
SELL YesWill the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship?12¢25$3.0026%58
SELL YesWill Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?14.2¢27$3.8326%58
SELL YesWill Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?17.9¢25$4.4726%58
SELL Nerve of CowCounter-Strike: Nerve of Cow vs BRAWLSTARS (BO1) - ESEA Advanced Europe Regular Season1¢16$0.1626%58
SELL Clutchain FemaleCounter-Strike: BRAWLSTARS vs Clutchain Female (BO1) - ESEA Advanced Europe Regular Season0.2¢17$0.0326%58
SELL NoWill Oliver Marmol win the 2026 NL Manager of the Year?99.9¢7$6.9926%58
BUY DownBNB Up or Down on October 5?58¢5,000$2,90026%58